Transcription
Week 11, fantasy football trade targets. Today, we're breaking down six running backs that you should go out and send some offers for and a couple of quarterbacks that you can send some offers for.
Since over the next couple of weeks, people are going to have trade deadlines coming up, we figured we'd do a two-part trade targets video this week in case your trade deadline is coming up soon. This week, next week, maybe the week after. So, we'll cover wide receivers and tight ends in tomorrow's video.
Um, but Danny, let's get it kicked off with the biggest running back trade target that you have here for kind of the stretch run. Like a lot of these trade targets we're going to talk about are in the frame of mind that you're maybe making a playoff run or maybe you need a couple of wins to get into the playoffs. Like if your team's, you know, dead right now, you're probably not making trades for the most part. But if you have a winning team, a lot of these guys can help you.
>> Yeah, my first buy at the running back position kind of has just been a forgotten name. I talked about it on the skyrocketing video, but not a lot of people have given the credit to really just how good Aaron Jones has looked when he's been on the field this year. And I think that makes him a big trade target because we saw the usage peak this past week. Obviously, he went into the game with a potential shoulder injury. We didn't know the severity of it. Seems to be a non-issue. 70% of the snaps, clear RB1 usage against the Baltimore Ravens. And we finally caught a glimpse of what a passing game script would look like for the Vikings. Typically, in the JJ McCarthy starts, it's been 25 or lower passing attempts. We haven't really seen the merit out. We saw 42 pass attempts from JJ McCarthy and as we know with Aaron Jones, he is the primary receiving back on this team. Realistically, I still think this guy's a good player. 5.2 yards per carry, 6.31 yards per target on the season. And with Aaron Jones, he scored double-digit PPR points in all but one game that he left early in. Not to mention with Aaron Jones, weeks 14 through 16, you have Washington, you have the New York Giants, you have the Dallas Cowboys. And to me, Aaron Jones is the cheapest running back on the market that I can see being an RB2 rest of the season. He's my RB22 in my rankings. And I think you can kind of get him for closer to RB3 price tags. Like if we look in the context of some of these deals, Derrick Henry hasn't really been producing. If you needed some depth, I don't mind turning him in turning him into two startable running backs there. Jaylen Warren and Aaron Jones, fine deal. Aaron Jones plus Parker Washington for JK Dobbins. I'm sure this is probably done before the news that JK Dobbins was going to get on IR. But even if we didn't know that news, let's just say JK Dobbins is playing next week. I honestly like Aaron Jones better than JK Dobbins rest of the season because Aaron Jones has already clearly proven he's going to be ahead of Jordan Mason. Whereas I think RJ Harvey is going to nip JK Dobbins even if he was healthy for that workload down the stretch. Aaron Jones for Quentyn Johnson. If you need a running back, perfectly fine making this deal. Achuka and Aaron Jones for Derrick Henry and Jameson Williams. I prefer Achabuka to Derrick Henry. I'd prefer Aaron Jones to Jameson Williams. And then this final deal, this is the only one I wouldn't make simply because I think Bucky Irving when he's back has league winning upside. And to me, Xavier Worthy and Aaron Jones kind of not getting you there. But at the same time, if you were like three and six or in a tough spot, you're probably fighting for that five six seed and you had to sell Bucky Irving. I don't think this is the worst trade in the world.
>> Yeah, Aaron Jones is I would say a buy high in most sharp leagues because most people understand, okay, Jones was healthy 70% of the usage and stuff, but I think in more casual leagues, people won't factor that stuff in as much. They've, you know, not seen Aaron Jones be healthy and that kind of thing. But at the same time, in casual leagues, Aaron Jones a multi-time RB1, big name and that kind of thing. So, his value could really be cut a multitude of different ways, I think, depending on your specific league market. But I think if the going rate is high-end RB3 price tag, then I would probably be willing to send out some offers. And based on some of these trades that you see here, I would say the going rate is in fact high-end RB3 price tags because, you know, high-end wide receiver 3 like Quint Johnson is being traded for him. And you know, other high-end RB3s like a healthy JK Dobbins being traded for him here. So yeah, I think Aaron Jones is a decent shout. I'm not like super in love with buying him just because I don't think he's like a super high ceiling guy at this point in his career, but I do think he can definitely help you if you need some wins to get into the playoffs.
>> Yeah. He's more so you need an RB to help. Maybe you need an RB2 or an RB3 on your squad. You can get him for a solid deal. Like I'm not saying go and overpay for Aaron Jones because I think he's going to be the reason why you win your league, but more so if you need, let's just say you you're in a start seven or start eight league and you need a seventh or eighth starter in your lineup, I think Aaron Jones can fill that really nicely.
>> Yeah. And I'm actually going to pivot into my second guy just because he fits the same description as Aaron Jones. Um, and then we'll talk about our other more like league winning trade targets in a second here. Alvin Kamara is a guy that I actually recently purchased. And he also was coming at the price of like our high-end RB3 or so price tags. And the reason I'm actually interested in trading for Alvin Kamara is number one, he's been bad enough this year that people are quite soured on him, especially if the manager who drafted Alvin Kamara still has him at this point in time. After the Saints week 11 buy this week, they have the Falcons who are 26th, Miami 20th, Tampa Bay 19th, Carolina 12th, but they're still Carolina. Jets 14th, and Tennessee 29th in adjusted fantasy points allowed against the run. The Jets and Panthers there are the hard matchups. So, we're talking about a very favorable schedule. Since Kendra Miller's week six injury, Kamara has faced the 30th ranked strength of schedule over the last four games. So, this is kind of like peak time to buy him. We just saw kind of some signs of life from this offense as well. Since the Trevor Penning deal at the deadline, the Saints have posted their third and fourth highest run and pass block grades of the season the last two games. Tyler Shuck um in his two starts plus, you know, a little bit that he played against Tampa Bay. 13th highest graded quarterback per PFF on the season with a 73.9 grade, 7.1 yards per attempt to 16th in the NFL. He's fourth in the NFL with a 9.9 A.2. We've seen him kind of air it out to Chris Olave last week and in general kind of threaten the defense a little bit more vertically to Jawan Johnson as well. Kamara's top five in routes. He's top 10 top five in targets per game. He's getting 100% of his teams inside the five work when they've been down there. The problem is they've had three attempts inside the 5yd line this season. So, if this offense can improve from clearly one of the worst in the league to a below average offense, which I do think given the matchups that they have in the schedule that they have down the uh the stretch, I think they can perform as a 15 to 24 point per game type of offense on any given week. I think that you're going to feel good about a 17th highest opportunity share running back and Alvin Kamara has been a seven-time RB1 in his career who is getting receiving work and who owns his touches on the goal line. When you compare him to other guys in this territory, there's something missing about their workload. Whether it's like DeAndre Swift seeding carries to Kyle Manangi, whether it's Kenneth Walker losing goal line touches, Tyrone Tracy losing goal line touches, um Aaron Jones potentially um, you know, not really trusting him coming off of the injury. There's a bunch of guys in this territory and I think he ranks amongst those guys. I just do think because of the workload, the target share and the fact that he can maybe coming off the buy gets a little bit of rest and starts playing a little bit better. I feel pretty good about buying Kamara if you guys need a flex option.
>> Yeah. And there's no denying there is risk. Like for example, we saw 25 opportunities from him in week 10. For reference, the last game prior to that, he had 20 plus opportunities. Came in week four against the Buffalo Bills. So there is risk. Obviously, the Saints are not a very good football team. They're probably in the Fernando Mendoza sweepstakes. Probably not going to see them win more than realistically three or four games this year. But I do agree with you because people are kind of treating him lower than what we've seen so far. And to me at this point, what we've seen from Alvin Kamara is probably the 10th or 20th percentile outcome here.
>> And speaking to the point of like the Saints not winning a lot of games and that kind of thing, leading up to this win against the Panthers in the previous four games, their average margin of loss was basically like 20 points. Like they got smoked against the Buccaneers, smoked against the Rams, Bears beat them by 12. Like they lost by six to the Patriots, but that game had some lipstick on the pig by the end of it. So this is just a team that because they're playing Falcons, division opponent, Miami Dolphins, also a bad team. Tampa Bay Buccaneers division opponent. Carolina Panthers division opponent. New York Jets also a bad team. Tennessee Titans also a bad team. Atlanta Falcons division opponent. I don't see any blowouts on the schedule remaining.
>> Yeah. And the one I mean they might not be favored in this game actually because it's on the road. But week 17 when all the marbles are on the line if you do have to rely upon Alvin Kamara it feels gross knowing the archetype of player he is. But you can't ask for a better situation than going up against Tennessee in week 17 with the marbles on the line.
>> Yeah. Exactly. Especially when they're 29th ranked against the run. And Kamara, like I said, if we were just looking at a purely opportunity share-based buy, Kamara is a really good one cuz he is getting quite a bit of opportunity relative to the rest of the running back position.
>> Yep. No, I agree with you, Alvin. Kamara, Aaron Jones, they're your sexless players on this list. But don't worry, we got you guys covered with some enthusing players coming forward. These next four guys we'll be talking about, they're are guys that we think could potentially win you your league. And I will start off with Treylon Henderson, running back of the New England Patriots. You guys knew what uh this was coming. You guys would have watched the skyrocketing video, would have heard that I had him RB16 rest of the season. And before I get into the positive case for Henderson, I do want to acknowledge that there is risk. Like people will point out, well, Rhamondre Stevenson's coming back potentially. We'll see what ends up happening. But I think that makes it more of a buy because there's uncertainty right now on the market because people think that the threat of the 3.3 uh yards per carry or Rhamondre Stevenson can negatively impact Treylon Henderson. I think this gives you the last remaining opportunity to buy in on one of the highest ceiling running backs in fantasy moving forward. I can talk through the offensive insulation. I mean, Drake May, I think, is quite literally the MVP favorite at this current point. The Patriots offense has looked very good in recent weeks. But when you combine that with the easiest schedule in fantasy football, we could be looking at this downstretch weeks 11 on for Treylon Henderson as a 20 plus point per game run because the Patriots schedule moving forward in the respective ranks in terms of rush defense, EPA and fantasy points allowed to running backs. The New York Jets 27th and 19th respectively. For reference, 32 would be the greatest matchup. One would be the worst matchup on the docket. So 27th and 19th and as we know, they traded their two best defensive players away at the deadline. Cincinnati 31st and 32nd. The Giants 32nd and 31st. Buffalo 28th and 27th. Baltimore 26th and 26th. And then in the fantasy championship, he gets his rematch against the Jets, who by the way, if you look at sports books right now, he has minus 170 to score in week 11. And he is plus 300 to have two plus touchdowns. So, right off the bat, he's in excellent projection in the short term. And if he just keeps playing the way he has been, I think it's going to be a foregone conclusion that he is looked as the number one running back on this team. We already have some reports from Mike Vrabel that he's expected to get a big load on Thursday night. And I'm telling you right now, this is the type of talent that if you give a big workload, he is not giving it back up. And this really does remind me of the Jaleel Biggs situation. Now, obviously difference Jaleel Biggs went higher in the draft, but we both thought Treylon Henderson, Jaleel Biggs, similar type of prospects with Jaleel Biggs before David Montgomery got hurt versus after David Montgomery got hurt. We see the difference in terms of his overall workload. We see the difference in terms of his overall usage and we saw him be the league winner down the stretch. I really do think this Rhamondre Stevenson injury will be looked back on similarly to that David Montgomery injury and Biggs rookie season.
>> Yeah, the only thing I disagree with is that um I would say that it's probably a lot closer to like what Chase Brown was last year um down the stretch and I would say you'd be ecstatic if that's what Treylon Henderson is. I think this is kind of an against the grain buy because a you're buying high on him. like he's coming off of a two touchdown game in which he broke off two long runs. Generally, we don't like buying players after stuff like that. And B, I've seen that like domain guys is a good example.
>> Talk about this guy as a sell high because of that real uncertainty. I think this is more of a sharp league buy as opposed to like a casual league buy because casual leagues it'll be hard to buy on Treylon Henderson when he's coming off of that big of a game. But if the sharp league people are like, "Hey, he just had two touchdowns. Rhamondre's coming back at some point." then yeah, you could definitely capitalize and buy him for, let's say, RB 24 to 20ish price tags where he'll probably be maybe valued in the eyes of your league. But like you said, you have them 16, I have them 18 right now. I do think that there is some value to be had there. And generally, like when you're this good of a prospect, you break out like this, you're probably not going to give the job back entirely to Rhamondre Stevenson. Maybe seeds away some early down carries. Of course, Terrell Jennings got hurt last week. It looks like they were trying to use him in an early down role. Um, but like you said, when Henderson plays this well, it might be just like the the the straw that broke the camel's back and now he's getting the workload.
>> And I mentioned this a little bit on the skyrocketing video, but he also looked really good as a pass blocker, too, which we know with Mike Vrabel, that's probably be the hangup as to why he hasn't gotten more snaps. And I mean, once we get the report that he's going to get this big workload, if he gets 20 plus touches and he scores two touchdowns and he's clearly the best player on that offense on Thursday night, I just simply think Rhamondre Stevenson's coming back to a five to seven touch workload. I really do. And ultimately here, if the consensus is on Rhamondre Stevenson will still have a fair crack at this workload going forward, I'm willing to buy high because I think this the last opportunity you will have to buy.
>> Yeah. Yeah. And again, I'm factoring that in, but at the same time, I think you'll get a discount for that reason. It's baked into his price. Like if if we had no like if Rhamondre got ruled out for the rest of the season that this is a guy that I would rank inside my top 12. What would be the big difference between James Cook and Treylon Henderson's projection if Rhamondre Stevenson was ruled out for the year tomorrow?
>> There wouldn't be a big one if if Rhamondre Stevenson was ruled out. Again, we don't know that for sure. Rhamondre could come back and could eat into the workload, but every game that Treylon stacks of good performances, the less likely it is that Stevenson gets a big workload.
>> Yeah. And quickly before we go on to the next player, uh just going through some of these deals, Joe Burrow for Brock Purdy, Treylon Henderson, obviously not going to happen in most one quarterback leagues, but we do have that there. uh Achuka, Treylon Henderson for D'Onta Foreman and ETN obviously probably not going to happen as well. I think these deals like if somebody's completely oh man is Bucky Irving going to come back maybe you can pawn them off of Rashaad White because they think they're selling high on Treylon Henderson. They view Treylon Henderson and Rshaad White as both short-term plays. You could buy in on the extra upside of Henderson. Again, not going to happen in most leagues, but maybe I can see that being somewhat realistic. But this is the ultimate realistic deal. If you can take an injured Garrett Wilson and Jaleel Biggs and you can go and get Treylon Henderson and James Cook, I think this is the process deal that I would be wanting to make.
>> Yeah. Yeah. I think there's there's a number of different ways you could structure a deal around Henderson. Ultimately, what you're looking to do if you're buying into Henderson is you're a playoff team. Maybe you're on pace to get a buy or something like that or maybe you need the production over the next couple of weeks, too. He kind of fits every one of those bills. whether it's you need the production now or you're stashing him for the playoffs or whatever the case is, he's a really good option for a number of reasons there. Um, this one I'm going to keep very brief because there's so many good reasons why Bijan Robinson is an excellent buy right now. For starters in prime time technically, um, on Sunday morning, people just watch Tyler Allgeier snipe this guy twice on the goal line. And that is a good narrative-based kind of way to buy in on a superstar player because I am not worried one iota about Bijan Robinson as a Bijan Robinson manager. This is going to sound bag defendy, but the reason I'm not worried about him is because he's averaging nearly 60 receiving yards and five receptions a game on an 18% target share. He leads all running backs in 6.5 yards with 6.4 yards per touch. Translation, he's an absolute monster. Other than Jonathan Taylor, for my money, he's probably the best running back in football. Carolina, New Orleans, New York Jets, his next three games. So, if you're looking to make a push to get a buy, to get into the playoffs, whatever the case is, he's a good buy for that reason. Seattle, Tampa Bay, Arizona, and Los Angeles Rams, who are a difficult matchup in week 17, the rest of season schedule. He is just simply too good to average 13.9 PPR points per game, which is what he's averaged over the last month of the NFL season. And despite this, he still averages 19.7 on the year despite having this really down month that he's had. So for me, he's the only running back in the NFL averaging other than Christian McCaffrey, who we know is an injury risk, 15 plus carries, five plus receptions a game. He's the only one other than Christian McCaffrey. So, this is a dude that especially in PPR leagues, you can feel very, very comfortable is going to have a very high floor and a very high ceiling because the dude who's only scored four touchdowns this year. It is there's a lot of meat left on the bone for him to break off some more big plays, get some more red zone opportunity. Is Tyler Allgeier going to snipe him every couple games? Yes, it's going to happen, but it happens to David Montgomery and Jaleel Biggs, and nobody's worried about Biggs.
>> So, I will rebuttal a little bit. I agree with you overall. I think he could still be a 20 point per game scorer, but I will pump the brakes on potentially the legendary profile simply because we're not seeing the type of red zone rushing usage that we did last year. Tyler Allgeier 11 to six discrepancy in terms of the inside the five carries and specifically in this last four games scratch, you know, when Bijan Robinson's quote unquote struggled so much. He's gotten zero inside the five carries, only two rushing touchdowns on the year. However, with that being the case, he's still averaging nearly 20 points per game this season. He's still at 14 points per game even despite only scoring one touchdown in his last four. If you can get him for more so mid to backend round one price tags, I'd be willing to buy him there. If he's still valued as a top four consensus player in your league though, that's where I'll pump the brakes a little bit.
>> Yeah. And I would imagine that you're going to get a minor discount. This is a dude that you're not going to get a significant discount on because everybody knows what he is. But if any kind of minor discount exists like for example some of the ones that you can see on the screen where you can sell Bucky Irving and Breece Hall or Mecha Aguka and T.J. Hockenson or you can trade Christian McCaffrey and DJ Moore for Bijan and Kamara who are both guys that we talked about in this video. Derrick Henry and Rico Dowdle for Bijan Robinson. I know that seems like a lot to give up but Bijan is just absolutely worth it in a start eight full PPR type of format. So yeah, I'm sending out offers for him. If I didn't already have him in pretty much every redraft league I'm in, I would send out offers for him. and in the listener league. Maybe I'll send out some offers for him because yeah, Arthur's not going to get ultimately this dude's an absolute beast and we all know he's one of the best running backs in the league and he's just ran cold on touchdowns and big plays. Is Tyler Allgeier a factor? Yes, I can absolutely acknowledge that he probably doesn't have 25 point per game upside because of Tyler Allgeier being a factor, but 20 to 23 points is still very much within the range of outcomes and if Allgeier gets banged up, he could absolutely go for 30 points a game.
>> Yeah. No, I think that's reasonable. We do have the implied upside like you said if anything were to happen to Allgeier. I mean we saw it with Jaleel Biggs and David Montgomery. Those two running backs kind of have that factor where we know talent-wise if they were getting all those opportunities they would legit be pacing the position. I mean we see what for example Jonathan Taylor's doing without target or we see for example what Jonathan Taylor's doing over 27 points per game without significant running back touches behind him. If we had a situation where Bijan and Biggs were like Taylor and didn't have to worry about an Allgeier, didn't have to worry about a Montgomery, we could be looking at a similar type of ceiling.
>> Yeah. And add three to four more targets a game. And that's what Bijan would be because he's he's literally he's the best receiving back in football right now.
>> Yeah. I don't think quite as much touchdown equity because the Falcons offense still ain't the Colts, but at the same time that gets supplemented in the receiving game.
>> Yeah. Yeah, that's for sure. and and they have um um some matchups that while they're not like all easy against the run, he's kind of got like a mixed bag as far as his schedule, they all are like comparable teams that like are not going to blow the Falcons out and they should stay in the game. Um, but anyways, let's move into the final two running back targets here. We can try and speed this up just a little bit. Uh Quinon Judkins is a guy that we've talked about, I think, at least a couple of times over the last month or so. Um, but I'll let you take it away with why you think he's a good trade target because I think ultimately it's probably going to follow the same formula. He's a young rookie running back. He's still getting better and the Browns are giving him most of the touches under the sun.
>> Yeah. I mean, very similar case with Treylon Henderson. As we know historically through years past, these talented rookies coming out of the gate only get better as the season goes along. When you combine that with the type of schedule that the Browns and Quinon have coming up, it's easy to see this guy being a legitimate top eight running back rest of the season. First and foremost, let's get the elephant out of the room. I did expect a big game against the Jets. 10.5 PPR points. Not really what you wanted, but you have to look at the glass half full here. He handled 25 opportunities and he's crossed 69 plus% of the Browns carries in all but one game this year. You know, Corey, that one game that he didn't happen.
>> Was that the game where they were like down the entire time and Jerome Ford randomly outsnapped him?
>> It was his first game where he got a limited workload coming off of the suspension stuff in the offseason. like that that that was the only week it happened, his first week back when we still didn't know what his overall workload would be and they eased him back into the offense. Since that game, he has been this complete engine of that Browns offense and he has a smasher schedule. Like I said, he goes up against those aforementioned Ravens and Bills rush defense I said earlier, but also gets, you know, potential close game scripts as we know with the Browns. Not the greatest football team. However, we do have game scripts potentially against the Raiders, against the Titans where the Browns should be competitive in those games. And no doubt in my mind, obviously we want to see more points than what we saw against the Jets, but at the same time, in the games he's played 50 plus% of the snaps, Corey, he's averaging 17.7 PPR points per game, and we have seen nearly 22 carries per game and nearly 24 opportunities per game for Judkins. Ball control is his middle name, and he's only going to continue to get better coming out of the buy coming down the stretch of this season. He's gotten 80% of the sort down and distance work, 70% of the Browns inside the five carries. and D'Onta Foreman, you can make the case in week 10 is arguably coming off his best game of the season. So to me, when I'm looking at it, can the Browns even be the 25th best offense in the league if they can even just be not a bottom three, bottom five unit in the league? Like I said, this is top eight level upside. And it reminds me of Joe Mixon in the years before Joe Burrow.
>> Yeah. And I think given that the Browns, five of their last seven games are at home and also like you said, uh, the offense played a little bit better. I think a large part of that was Jerry Judy playing better and Cedric Tillman being back and Harold Fannon and Njoku both being on the field. So I mean if they're able to just move the ball get red zone opportunities against Baltimore easy defense Raiders easy defense 49ers been easy since Fred Warner and Nick Bosa went down Tennessee Titans Chicago Bears Buffalo Bill like from now until week 16 he doesn't have a single hard matchup. The only hard matchup he has against Pittsburgh in week 17 and Pittsburgh is a divisional opponent and the Browns are at home.
>> Yeah, exactly. And historically the Browns I mean I understand Judkins struggled against them earlier in the year but historically the Browns always play the Steelers tough >> especially at home. They like they what do they beat the Bengals? They always beat the Bengals every year at home. Like it always happens. So like the Browns are generally a much better home team than they are an away team. And again we still don't know what's going on with the QB situation. Maybe D'Onta Foreman just keeps getting better. Maybe Dorian Thompson-Robinson gets in there. We don't exactly know. Um the last guy that I kind of want to mention here too is also in the NFC or the AFC North, sorry. Uh, and that's Chase Brown who was a league winner last year. And I think it's possible he could be a league winner again because when you look at Chase Brown's kind of outlook for the rest of the year, second easiest strength of schedule in the money weeks, weeks 13 to 17, his his hardest two matchups over the next six games are his next two. In weeks 13 to 17, he plays the Bills, Ravens, Dolphins, and Cardinals. Since Joe Flacco took over this offense, Chase Brown averages 18.9 PPR points per game after having the second basically the biggest league winning season down the stretch last year. him, Bucky Irving, and some of those other guys were like key figures to people having um championships in their in their trophy cases here. Joe Burrow's 21-day practice window also was just opened up. So that also unlocks even higher of a ceiling for Chase Brown that all of us may be expected for him coming into the season because if Joe Burrow is back by and I'm circling the week 13 game against Baltimore as potentially the game that he comes back for because a it's their first game against Baltimore over a 3-week period because they play Baltimore again in uh week 15 I believe it is and Baltimore is the current Vegas favorite to win the division. So, if you're Cincinnati and you're trying to make the playoffs, Joe Burrow being back for the division leader game and another game against the Browns in week 18 of the season. It'll probably depend on if the Bengals can make the playoffs or not when we get Joe Burrow back. But if they rip off a win or two here over the next couple of weeks, I would say that there's a very good chance that Joe Burrow is back at the very least for the fantasy playoffs, but maybe even for week 13, week 14 when that beginning of that easy part of the schedule starts. So Chase Brown coming off a game in which he had a 30% target share and three games in a row now where he's a looked good and b produced a lot of fantasy production on a very good workload. 71% of the snaps over the last three weeks, 61% of the carries, 65% of the routes. Yeah, Samaje Perine's a little bit more involved than maybe we thought he was going to be at the beginning of the season, but this is still a very clear every week starter.
>> Yeah, I completely agree. Now, obviously, there is a factor because Perine, prior to getting hurt, was getting about 40 to 45% of the overall snaps in this backfield. And I don't get me wrong, I do think Perine's going to have some type of workload. He does have a receiving skill set. He's good at pass blocking. He's a type of player, quite frankly, that every NFL team likes getting on the field based off what he does. But, but there's no getting around the fact that we've seen Chase Brown be a league winner before with Joe Burrow. And he is getting Joe Burrow in week 13. Played 96% of the snaps. Sure. That's not going to maintain every week, but can you be a 70 75% snap share guy? Absolutely. Because we saw him literally do it last year.
>> Yeah. No, exactly. So, those are kind of our running back buys. I will kind of just shout out a couple of guys that you could maybe use to sell high to get to some of these dudes like the Aaron Jones, Alvin Kamara territory. You're probably going to want to use overperforming RB3s and wide receiver threes. There's a number of different guys that we could potentially list off there. to get to a guy like Bijan. I do think some of the better guys to use are like the Rico Dowdle and Javonte Williams of the world who are producing who are great options, but you can use them in a package deal to get up to an absolute star.
>> I think Kyren is a big one too for me. Uh Kyren's going to be a guy that's probably got, you know, top eight, top nine type of name value in your league. He's been performing, you know, 15 plus points per game. And someone might be looking at it, well, if I could turn Bijan Robinson into another RB1 and you insert like a Quentin Johnston archetype on it, like you might be able to convince them if they're lower on Bijan right now. I mean, if they're higher on Bijan and they're still expecting market price, maybe you have to pay upwards of what's the the most at wide receiver you'd be willing to attach to Kyren because I'd probably be around the like I'd honestly be willing to throw Michael Pittman plus Kyren Williams.
>> Yeah. I would be willing to put like George Pickens on top of it.
>> Yeah. And I don't think that's not that's going to be the price cuz people are still high on Kyren right now. Even though the fact is Blake Corum's gotten 12 plus carries in three straight games. You're not getting the 70 75 plus percent workload Kyren Williams. Again, the offense is still going to be good. I don't have concerns with Kyren long season. But at the same time, I don't think he's got the upside of a guy like Bijan.
>> Yeah. And one other sell I would like to say at the running back position is Zamani Vidal, just because Zamani Vidal will only be useful for one more game most likely. It looks like Amari Demarcus Hampton's going to be back after the week 12 buy, meaning in week 13, which means you have one more game probably of usage out of Zamani Vidal. Find a team in your league that needs a win desperately this week. Find a team in your league that maybe is underperformed or something like that. Maybe they're just thinking, "Hey, I'm going to buy on the guy." Or maybe they're not following the news and they think that Zamani Vidal is going to be a huge part of this backfield for the rest of the season. So, those are the running back position. We can move into the QB position. I'll keep this really brief. Lamar Jackson's a good buy at quarterback simply because if I'm going to buy a quarterback, period, I'm probably just going to go big or go home. I want an every week starter, a guy that can be a legitimate needle mover for me after this week's game at Cleveland, which may be a tougher matchup for him because Cleveland does perform well at home, specifically against the Ravens and Bengals. No quarterback has it easier than maybe the best quarterback to ever walk the face of the planet as far as fantasy production. Like Lamar Jackson literally when he's done his career, he's probably going to be going down as the best fantasy quarterback to ever live. So anytime you can low on guys like that, you should. He's coming off of a bad game. Jets, Bengals, Steelers, Bengals again, Patriots and Packers weeks 12 through 17, especially if you're needing like wins now in addition to planning for the playoffs. Um, all of the games that week 12 to 14 stretch, if you're trying to make a playoff push or secure a buy or something, all of them are in Baltimore. So, you should have a bunch of good implied point totals for Baltimore in that situation. Even this week against the Cleveland Browns, the um Lamar Jackson led Ravens in week two, they lit this defense up for 41 points. It was in Baltimore, granted, but um they have put up some points against it. Goff and the Lions threw up 34 points against them. Drake May went for 27 fantasy points two weeks ago against them. So um Lamar Jackson, if you need a quarterback or if you're looking to upgrade your starting lineup, like let's say your wide receivers and running backs are already loaded, there's not much else you can do. Look at your onesies. See if you can address your quarterback position. Maybe you have a Drake May, maybe you have uh Caleb Williams, maybe you have a Bo Nix, maybe you have somebody that's good but not excellent and see how much more on top of one of those guys you would have to pay to get to a Lamar Jackson. Like can you pay, you know, David Montgomery types on top of your current quarterback to get to a guy like Lamar Jackson?
>> Yeah. And I would say Lamar Jackson ultimately out of the big fish available like you're probably not going to be able to get Josh Allen. Patrick Mahomes obviously like is a factor too, but Lamar Jackson is the guy that that's kind of been the forgotten man. Like al although it's funny because we saw him, you know, absolutely light it up against the Dolphins a couple weeks ago, but it just feels like there hasn't been as much buzz on Lamar Jackson. And to me, this is still very clearly a guy that can actually pass Josh Allen in terms of the rest of the season. So like that call. If you want to get a little bit cheaper, maybe you don't want to go up for, you know, a top three, top four option. Dak Prescott's still my quarterback six rest of the season. And I get that. Two down weeks prior to the by-week. Cowboys, a lot of controversy. They have that game against Arizona. people, it it almost felt like the sky was falling. And honestly, the most similar feeling to that game against Arizona was that 2023 game we had against the 49ers where we lost, everybody was saying the sky was falling and then we saw Dak Prescott coming out of the buy legitimately be a quarterback two in fantasy. Prior to these last couple of weeks, he was a top three quarterback in scoring. On top of that, in three of his last five games, Corey, another underrated factor, three of his last five games, we have seen 25 plus rushing yards from Dak. on top of that as well, four plus carries in four of his last five games. So even though he's a pocket quarterback, even though we expect for Dak Prescott, we're going to rely upon the offense, rely upon the pass catchers, one of the best passing projections in the league. If he's also able to contribute you a little bit in the rushing game, that's only going to be a factor because coming out of the by-week, the Cowboys are 35 and one. They need to pile up a bunch of wins. And we have high octane offenses on the other end here. Philadelphia, KC, Detroit, the hard matchups he has, weeks 12 to 14 are all going to be high-scoring game environments because Philadelphia, KC, Detroit, all going to score points on his end. Las Vegas, big pass funnel defense. Minnesota, they've been a lot worse against the pass in recent weeks. They started off extremely strong about week five, week six. They've been a lot worse since then. The Chargers, they're definitely a difficult matchup, but if you're able to get to week 17, the Washington Commanders have been an absolute train wreck defensively. Dak literally carved them up in the last time they played in week seven. three passing touchdowns, 250 plus passing yards, and he always fries the Washington Commanders. So, you're getting that in week 17, especially if you're able to pair it with a CeeDee Lamb or a George Pickens. To me, this offense needs to put up production in order to give themselves a shot at the playoffs. And I still believe given the acquisition at the deadline, they go and make an aggressive deal. This team hasn't given up on their season.
>> Yeah. A totally I mean, not discrediting anything you said, but a totally unbiased buy on Danny's part here with Dak Prescott. It's more so just the cost because I think he's the clear quarterback six for me and you're not going to have to pay a quarterback top five quarterback price tag. So if people are viewing him more so similar to the mid to backend quarterback ones like the Cowboys will need to put up points if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.
>> Yeah. I mean, he's in a cluster of a bunch of guys like from like six through like 12 or whatever. If you wanted to say hey I'd prefer Justin Herbert. I would prefer Matthew Stafford. I would prefer Caleb Williams. Somebody like that. I wouldn't really argue with anybody. Like if you guys are streaming Sam Darnold right now or streaming Jordan Love or Jared Goff right now, those are the types of teams that should probably be going after the likes of a Dak Prescott. The other quick like honorable mentions maybe I want to shout out here. Um Brock Purdy you could stash. He's probably on waivers in a lot of people's leagues. If he's coming back soon, he has a really nice week 15 through 17 schedule. So if you want to go pick up Brock Purdy, he's not a bad option. Daniel Jones has a really nice schedule down the stretch as well. Jacksonville, Seattle, San Francisco, Jacksonville from weeks 14 through 17. and Seattle's the only hard matchup there. So, if you're on pace to get a buy and you would miss that week 15 matchup against Seattle for Daniel Jones in week 16 and 17, he has the 49ers and Jaguars. So, those could be really good options. And the other kind of big fish, quote unquote, that I think is not a bad option is Jalen Hurts, who has a top nine uh rest of season strength of schedule at quarterback, good for teams looking to make the playoffs, especially if uh if you look at his next couple of games, Detroit, Dallas, Chicago, and Los Angeles. So, those are all potential high-scoring game environments. Detroit, Dallas, and Chicago specifically are pretty easy two fantasy quarterbacks. So, um yeah, bunch of quarterback uh buys that you could go after, a bunch of running back buys. We will have you covered with wide receivers and tight ends tomorrow. Um, figured we'd give you guys kind of like a little bit more of an extended trade targets video just because there are going to be some people out there that have their trade deadline coming up either this week or next week or the week after. Next week, we'll just go back to normal like five buys and a couple of sells kind of thing. But we wanted to give you a little bit of an advanced look at some league winning trade targets, guys, that you could maybe use to either get to the playoffs or help you win the championship once you are in the playoffs. If you guys want our rest of season rankings, all that good stuff will be linked down below in the pinned comment, promo code FSE over on flockfantasy.com. Start a 7-day free trial, check out the site, use the my teams feature, the calculator, check out our rankings and all that, and uh, you know, decide at that point if you want to purchase a package, monthly, annual, etc. If you do purchase an annual package, you get a free live team review voucher with an annual with that promo code FSE. So check that out if you guys are interested. That'll be linked down below in the pin comment. But with that being said, peace out. We'll talk to you soon.