Transcription
Buying these players could help you win your fantasy football championship or save your entire season. Let's start with Bucky Irving. Bucky is a guy that's a luxury buy. Okay, he's going to be a guy that if you're 5-0 after this week, if you're 4-1 after this week, you're probably looking at Bucky like, "Yeah, I can probably afford this."
Even as a three and two team myself, I don't think I could necessarily swing Bucky Irving if he's going to miss two more weeks. And the reports are he's definitely going to miss next week. It's a matter of whether he comes back the week after that or not. Um, the by-week is in week nine for him. And so at that point, you know, you're talking two to three games before his by-week. So you are going to have, you're potentially, if you trade for Bucky this week, you're going to be without him for three weeks. But that's also why Bucky owners, especially Bucky owners who don't have three or more wins, are going to be selling Bucky Irving at a pretty low price at this point. And they're not, he's not going to go with the prices you're seeing on the flock side in the rankings and the rest of season rankings because realistically, everybody on the flock site is still being pretty, you know, generous with his ranking in the sense that they've moved him down because he might miss time, but they know what he is because he was the water, he's the running back 10 coming into this week's games. And you know, he's around guys that, I mean, if you just drop a little bit down low for Bucky Irving and and trade some of these guys for him, like you are only three, four spots away from Travis Etien, Bree Hall, Alvin Kamar, Kenneth Walker, Cam Scataboo, and Chuba Hubard.
So realistically, what this opportunity is, is if you have a a fantasy football team that has a good record, where you have the depth to live without Bucky for a couple weeks, or you have Rashad White potentially on your team, or you just have enough guys to plug in. Bucky Irving is a good buy for you because you're going to get him at prices cheaper than running back 10 prices, when when in reality, he's probably, when he comes back, it's going to be the running back 10 or higher. I think he could be higher at this point, and I'm not going to buy any of Rashad White cutting into that workload this week. Obviously, Rashad White was fantastic, but Bucky Irving is on a different level when he's playing. Bucky Irving, you know, 14, 18, 13, and 25 points in his first four weeks. And again, four, six, four, and five targets in those weeks as well. Um, he actually had 102 receiving yards against Philadelphia. 102. So with Bucky, I mean, he, that offense continues to hum. He's going to be a very valuable guy, um, at the end of the season. He has, he has a foot, a sprained foot, and he also has a shoulder injury. Evidently, the shoulder injury is worse. This is a classic buy low on an injured player, if you have the the the resources to do it, or if you have the record to do it. And those are the main things that you're going to need. But with Bucky, again, I mean, if you can send any of those lower tier running backs plus for Bucky Irving, or if you can even just get him at a decent value compared to where he's ranked in the overall rankings, and you can drop down into the 30s and trade for somebody who the rest of us creators have ranked in the 20s rest of the season, I think you're getting a good, a good deal there. And again, it's just that is the luxury of being a team that has started the season well. You can invest in these guys who are buy lows because of injury, because teams get desperate and stash them for when it counts, the playoffs. Bucky Irving is going to be back for the playoffs, and if you buy him now, he could end up winning you a fantasy football championship if you go get him.
A lot of trades involving Quinnzhan Judkins, uh, trade questions that we've been answering on the site over this last week, and a lot of them have had to do with like upgrades from Quinnzhan Judkins. And my question to you would just be, why, like, why, why do we need to upgrade from Quinnzhan Judkins at this point, unless you're getting like a J.K. Dobbins or a Bijan Robinson? Because at this point, what really is the production difference between a guy like Judkins and a guy like, um, who, like, like an Ashton Jeudy, a rookie in that range, or a Bree Hall, or, you know, just a ton of running backs kind of in that same tier, or or even just a tier above who are maybe in better offenses? But a guy like Judkins, I mean, this is a question that I think a lot of people had, and it was, what is Judkins going to do when he doesn't score a touchdown? Because he's kind of had more productive days, but not like crazy productive days when he's gotten goal line carries. Well, folks, you just answered that question. 13 points against Minnesota, 110 yards. His volume has gone up ever since he started playing for Cleveland, starting in week two against Baltimore. 10, 18, 21, now 23 carries against Minnesota. And I mean, he's looks very efficient, very solid with his opportunity. Again, in an offense where you can't really rely on anything else other than the run game there, and the volume that you're going to consistently see from Judkins. I think it's kind of the cute move for a lot of people to quote unquote sell high on Judkins because they invested in him so low preseason, that now it's like, oh, now I can just get an upgrade from him. Maybe he's just going to be a low-end running back one rest of the season. Like, maybe that's just what he's going to be. Maybe, maybe he's just capable of maintaining this volume. And I, I'm telling you that he is because he's being utilized like it, and he has plenty of solid matchups from here on out to continue and maintain this production. You're talking about a floor for Quinnzhan that is 12 points. He has a 12-point floor with this volume, and now a ceiling where if he gets a couple of touchdowns, he's scoring 25 to 30 points. Look, you might have people in your league that think it's, you know, not sexy to have Quinnzhan Judkins on their team. I'll tell you what's sexy is fantasy points, and you're going to get that from Quinn here on out, and the floor is just undeniably so, so high.
We do have our rest of the season rankings that we have been updating so far early this week that you can take a look at if you'd like to see where we have these guys ranked and where experts have them ranked over on the site. You can also plug your team into the my teams tool we have on the site and see where you rank after five weeks, no matter what your record is, how you project rest of the season. It's completely free. Check out the link below, create an account with code domain. You can use all of our free tools and see our rankings for rest of the season. But let's get back to it. This is going to be, um, dicey for old Nate sitting next to me because he just, he just can't wrap his brain around it. But Nathan, how do you feel about Derrick Henry right now as a Derrick Henry owner? How do you feel about him?
>> Miserable.
>> Every single Derrick Henry owner feels like this right now.
>> Yeah.
>> And the reality of it is, his four-game stretch here of two, 10, seven, and nine points. His rest of the season is going to be better than that.
>> And if it's not?
>> Are you sure about that?
>> I'm, I'm sure. And even if I'm wrong, you're going to buy into Derrick Henry at a price where the upside is league-winning. The Ravens are going to be better from a, yes, the Ravens are going to be playing from behind a lot and passing the ball a lot, and I understand that, but it's not going to be every game. I mean, they have played Buffalo, Detroit, and Kansas City in their first three games with Lamar Jackson. The game without Lamar Jackson, I mean, I think they would have been well in this game with against Houston with Lamar Jackson. But after the by-week, you've got Chicago, you've got Miami, you've got Minnesota, you've got Cleveland again, you've got the Jets, you've got Cincinnati Bengals. The schedule gets much better for a game script for Derrick Henry where he could end up running the ball more in this offense. But again, it's more about taking advantage of that right there. That face. That's the face you look for.
>> Here's, here's the thing. Why not, why not wait two more weeks because they've got the Rams, which is a very good defense, and then you've got a buy?
>> I mean, you, you, you very well could, but I think a lot of people are looking at Derrick Henry like, well, the next two weeks are the Ram Rams and the buy. I've got to get him off my team right now because of that. Like, he could, he could kill me if I hold him for two weeks because you're going to have a lot of Derrick Henry teams with where he was being drafted that are in a very bad situation because of it. Not everybody killed their draft and drafted Judkins the fifth like Nathan. So with that, I think now is the time to pounce. And again, I think you're going to get him at very cheap prices. I think in casual leagues, in home leagues, in leagues where pe all people see with Derrick Henry is the fact that he scored 28 points in the last four weeks total. I think once people, you know, kind of grasp that, you're going to have people selling low. And even if you don't get a deal done for Derrick Henry because he's not worth paying Derrick Henry prices, what we're, what we're at the beginning of the season. We're not worth paying those prices. But if you get him cheap, and and let's define cheap right now because I've still got Derrick Henry ranked as a top 16 running back rest of the season. But realistically, I had to move Kyren over him and Jeudy and ETN at this point. And so, you know, I've still got him, Kamar, Bree, Walker, but all in the same tier though. And so, but I'm tell, I'm saying I'm thinking if you can get like anybody in this C tier here in my rankings here, uh, like Trey Benson, Jordan Mason, Jaylen Warren, Chase Brown, J.K. Dobbins, Trayvon, R.J. Harvey plus Montgomery, any of these guys, like I'm not even thinking about it. Like I, I will take my shot in that price range now. But again, that's only one tier below where he's ranked at this point for most, most people because I have him ranked at 16, and I'm still being aggressive with Derrick Henry. Most people, I mean, he is not a, he's not a top 24 running back at this point in the season.
>> He was a running back 22 coming into this week. He's going to be a running back three after this week.
>> The prices you're going to see for Derrick Henry in the next couple weeks are going to be extremely low. Derrick Henry is somebody where if you buy him that low, if you miss, darn. But it shouldn't kill your fantasy football team. But if you hit, and if Derrick Henry does what I suspect he still could do this season, it will win you a fantasy football championship. And and a lot of people are gonna be like, "Ew, no, I'm not buying Derrick Henry anyways." And that's exactly why he's buy because the public perception on Derrick Henry right now is as low as I've seen it since I, I don't remember actually that, I don't think I think since he was in 2017 maybe, like, I don't know if I've ever seen people this low on Derrick Henry. And if there's one thing that we should have learned about Derrick Henry at this point, it's that when you doubt Derrick Henry, he reminds you that he's the king. I'm going to bet he's going to do it again and again. I think that the prices you can get him at this week are going to be extremely cheap. I'm taking advantage. I'm going to go try to buy him.
So, Courtland Sutton is a guy that I really feel good about at wide receiver. This is another honestly kind of like Judkins type argument where it's like, why are we trying to up tier from Courtland Sutton, honestly, unless you're getting like an elite top tier guy? Courtland Sutton is a wide receiver one and he should be a wide receiver one rest of season. Uh, 18, 23, 19, and 17 points aside from the dud game against Indy, uh, in week two. The, the target volume has been so consistent. 10 targets again this week against Philadelphia's secondary. Of all the weeks you would expect him to have a down day, it would have been against Philly. And no, he has a great, great day. 17 points with no touchdowns. This was his first game without a touchdown where he was very productive, and he had 17 points. Like, this is sustainable with this target volume. He is a high-end wide receiver two, low-end wide receiver one. And right now, with the trades that you can get them for, again, this is not going to apply to every single league. It might not be applied to your genius league, but a lot of home leagues, a lot of normal leagues are just kind of looking at Sutton and they're like, "Huh, yeah, I mean, he's, he's a guy that they're willing to to deal off of their off of their roster for what is a pretty palatable price, honestly, right now." And when you're looking at the expert rankings at the moment on the site and where Courtland Sutton is being ranked among wide receivers, it's right there by T.J. Hockenson, A.J. Brown, George Pickens. Uh, that is a wide receiver two. A.J. Brown in an offense that hates passing the ball. T.J. Hockenson who can't get the ball in the end zone. I mean, he looks great. Devonta Adams is a wide receiver two. Um, Marvin Harrison is super inconsistent. Zay Flowers has Lamar Jackson injured. Like, why are we not preferring Courtland Sutton in that same tier as Garrett Wilson and Rashi Rice and Emeka Egbuka right now? He's a wide receiver one in an offense that is totally comfortable throwing the ball, and there's no one else really there to contend with targets. I know people were scared about Troy Franklin there for a week, that was really cute. But, uh, in reality, Sutton is the alpha there, and he's a very, very good alpha in a solid offense that is going to consistently get the ball to him here, just like they did in the latter half of last season, and like you're seeing it continue on this year. Again, a wide receiver 15 prices when I think he should be priced as a top 12 wide receiver, honestly, rest of the season. Uh, that, that's a good enough discount where it's like, yeah, I, I would just honestly, I'd pivot to Sutton from a, I would pivot from Adams to Courtland Sutton.
I moved off of Quentin Johnson last week in the Flock League essentially for Rasheed Rice. Um, and, you know, the reason I did it was because I was looking at Quentin Johnson's, you know, four-game stretch here and I was like, I don't know if from a public perception, also coming off a week where he had 13 targets, eight receptions, and a touchdown. I'm like, this is probably his ceiling in terms of how how people are going to value him rest of the season. Now, there is always the chance he continues to be a wide receiver one in the wide, a top five wide receiver in the season, and I just look like an idiot for it. But this week against Washington, uh, his value, his trade value dropped significantly. He had 6.9 points, which is nice, but four targets, four receptions for 40 yards. And it came at the hands of Lad Makoni and Keenan Allen. And it's just, it's just a Chargers offense where, look, I mean, there's not going to be three productive wide receivers there every week. There's always going to be an odd man out. And for the first pretty much four weeks, the odd man out was Lad. But today, Lad kind of came back and and Quentin Johnson didn't have a touchdown. He had his lowest target volume of the season, and, you know, he was the odd man out today. I don't think it's the last time he'll be the odd man out. But here's what I do know. Well, I don't necessarily think based on what I've been reading so far, even during this video right now, I, I don't think the Amari Cooper injury is going to be serious enough for him to like go on IR or anything, but I think he misses a week or two. And realistically, I think people are probably going to look at this week's with people have such a short leash with Quentin Johnston. And the reason for that is number one, he's burned a lot of people in the past. But number two, he has historically been one of the most hated fantasy players I've ever seen, just because of where he was picked and the expectations and the fact that he didn't do anything at all. People still in the back of their minds think that QJ's a bust. And what we've seen so far this season is far from bust material from Quentin Johnson. He really should have had nine points in this game. Had a fumble. But I mean, I said this on the Dynasty video on the Dynasty channel. I'll say it on this channel as well. I think what QJ is doing is legit. I think there are going to be games where it's tough, and you know, he has seven points, and and that's rough, but seven points isn't going to kill you, and the dude has 25-point upside. And now that Cooper's going to be out, even for a little bit of time, I think I, I don't think the running backs there are going to be productive. I think they're going to throw the ball 45 times. I legitimately think Herbert's going to throw the ball 40 times. So because of that, I think I think Quentin Johnson's a decent buy low candidate. Now, again, there are going to be some people who are reasonable and say, you know, like, I traded Quentin Johnson, but I traded him for Rice. Rice, in my opinion, is a top 10 wide receiver rest of season in for the for fantasy football. That's just my opinion. It's a hot take, but whatever. I mean, look, I would trade him for that. But I still think there are going to be a lot of people who are smart and be like, "Yeah, you know, I'm not trading him unless I get a top 15 wide receiver, top 12 wide receiver." That's smart. But I think there's going to be some people that are like, "Yeah, you know, QJ, I, I think the run is over. I think the magic's over. I think his longevity run is over, and I'm just going to trade him now." And realistically, I think he's probably a top 20 wide receiver rest of season still. And so I think you buy, I, I think you go try to send trades for Quentin Johnson because again, I think people were kind of just waiting to see anything negative from him to say, "Okay, now, now this is the Quentin Johnson we know, we can move him back down our rankings." But I'm not buying it. I mean, at this point, I mean, I'm just going to look at the expert consensus rankings on the site here because, you know, he, he, he's going around, he's pretty volatile, honestly. He's going around a lot of different guys that I think you still could trade away for him this week, and I would be very happy with it. But right now, I mean, he's ranked two spots, I mean, three spots ahead of Chris Olave. Ricky Pearsall is right behind him. Lad Makoni's on his, like, right on his heels. Um, you, you got guys like Jameson Williams, Michael Pittman in, in that next tier. And Pittman's been great, but and I mean, obviously Jaylen Waddle's going to be moving up there. But, but you don't have to go too far beyond Quentin Johnson's rankings to find guys that you probably would be comfortable moving for him. And I think after this week, there are going to be a fair amount of Quentin Johnson owners who are like, "Yeah, I'm ready to cash out." And so, you know, buy him after a down game. I, I think QJ is legit the rest of the year. Even though I sold him, I believe in QJ. It was very hard for me to sell him, and I only sold him because I believe in Rasheed Rice so much. But realistically, I would have been just as fine holding Q. QJ. I think I think a lot of people look at today's game like, "Oh, QJ's falling back down to earth." I don't think so. I think this is going to be an offense that still throws the ball a lot. QJ still looks good in today's game. He had a bad fumble, but that was it. He's not like, "Oh, back to old QJ making drops or anything." It's none of that. I try to send some trades for him. See, see if you can get him for wide receiver two, wide receiver three prices because if you can, I think that's a really good deal for QJ.
So, in a matchup that really should have been awesome for Woody Marks, um, he didn't do anything. Two and a half points. Uh, this sucked for a lot of people, this sucked for our take because we're like, yeah, you, if if you have a flex spot open for a guy like Woody Marks compared to, you know, a Pacheco, for example, then like go ahead and just go with Woody Marks this week. Um, and it ended up not looking great. And I will say in the Flock League, I am somewhat thankful because I was going up against Woody Marks, uh, and it was nice to see him not do anything. But look, this is a comeback down to earth week in a matchup that really should have been friendly for Woody Marks against the Baltimore Ravens defense, which hasn't been able to stop anyone. And they didn't today, but that was clearly in the passing game more than anything. Uh, Nick Chubb also was the one that got the touchdown in the red zone this week as opposed to Marks last week. Nick Chubb's usage is going to be Nick Chubb's usage. And that's kind of what I've landed on here with with Marks' outlook. And I think a lot of people are going to be like, "Oh, Marks was a one-hit wonder, a one-week wonder. He's not ever going to do this again. Will he ever score 27 points again?" I don't know. But can he score 15 or more? I still think he has the ability and the upside to do that because Nick Chubb's usage did not increase despite Marks going down a little bit and not producing as much this week. Woody Marks still had the nod in terms of snapshare over Nick Chubb. Um, he still got a lot of the, he got a lot of lay down work. He got all the two-minute work. Um, and compared to compared to Nick Chubb. Now, what you want to note here is that Dameon Pierce actually got usage. That was more towards the end of the game when they were just absolutely dominating and throwing other guys in there to give him chances. I do think this is a two-back field with Marks and Chubb for the foreseeable future. Marks does have a more versatile skill set than a guy like Dameon Pierce does, so I'm not really worried about him coming in and making it a three-way split. And Chubb, again, based on what we've seen over five weeks with Chubb's volume, he gets anywhere from 10 to 14 carries. And he's not gonna get anything more than that. If he gets a touchdown, it's gonna suck for a guy like Woody Marks. But you still have a nice upside shot on a weekly basis with Marks from here on out in my opinion, in in situations that aren't going to be as ideal for like the passing game, like the, like the Baltimore matchup. So when you're looking at his rest of the season outlook in the rankings right now, Woody Marks kind of right around, um, R.J. Harvey, Trey Benson, Chuba Hubbard, Swift, those types of guys. You are going to see Marks fall down rankings quite a bit this week. And obviously, the the valuation that he's going to carry in your league is going to go down quite a bit as well. Um, if you can give up a Khalil Herbert to get Woody Marks, I would do that. If you can give up, um, Rhamondre Stevenson or Michael Carter to get Woody Marks, I would absolutely do that. Kind of all these backups, some of these guys coming back, Tyjae Spears, if someone wants to take the shot on Tyjae Spears instead of Woody Marks, then who when Spears comes back healthy, like I would rather just stick with Woody Marks here. Um, the with Tyjae Spears honestly coming back healthy, um, if someone's high on him or someone's still high on Tony Pollard, even though we're not super high on him now that Spears is back and that's going to be a split backfield as well, like if you could get Marks plus, again, take some shots here for for a guy that is still objectively in a better offense. Um, I think Marks will be okay. Again, he's not going to have 27 points every single week. He's going to have some dud weeks because he will be splitting a backfield with Nick Chubb. But I don't think it's going to get any worse than what you saw against Baltimore, honestly, because they, he showed enough flashes in the matchup against Tennessee, and his skill set is good enough for them to maintain his opportunity there, which is about like half of the snapshare.
So Calvin Ridley finally had a decent week this week. Um, and you might say, why would you buy Calvin Ridley after he had 18 points of fantasy? Because I think a lot of people, a lot of Calvin Ridley owners are going to be looking at this like, perfect, I have my sell window. He's gone because he didn't do anything for the first four weeks. Did nothing for your fantasy football team. And Calvin Ridley's, I, I won't spend a ton of time on this one. If you don't want to buy Calvin Ridley, I don't blame you. I don't blame you. But last week, I, I mentioned this, Kyle, one of our research guys, he said, "Hey, you should tell people to buy Calvin Ridley." And we're like, "Yeah, we're not doing that." And Calvin Ridley, you probably, you could have bought him, and it was good.
Um, the, the one thing to, uh, to note about Calvin Ridley is his percentage of offensive snaps in this game actually, uh, continued to be below 75%. And so he's actually on the field a little bit less. He just did better today from a production standpoint. Had 10 targets, had five receptions, had over 100 yards receiving. Um, but with Ridley, I mean, again, there's not a ton of other guys there outside of Alec Pierce. Um, you know, he had four targets today. That's what he's had all season. Christian Kirk had five. Tyler Lockett had four. And it was Ridley that led the way. And so, look, I think you can get Ridley for nothing. I think you can legitimately get him for free. I don't, I, I don't think that people are going to charge you high prices at all for Ridley after one week. And I think a lot of Ridley owners are going to be trying to sell high. I think it's probably worth taking a shot because there's a chance he ends up as somebody you like, you can stream in your flex spot if you end up having byes or injuries or things like that. And it gets brutal. It's getting brutal with injuries and byes already when there's four teams on by. It's like, oh my gosh, who do I start?
And so people kind of take for granted these these veteran wide receivers who, yeah, he hasn't done anything yet this year except for this week, but even if he's like a 10-point per game guy, that is valuable, that has value, especially in 12-team or deeper fantasy football leagues. So, um, you know, again, I'm not even going to give you prices here for Calvin Ridley because, um, I think you can get him so cheap. Like, like move guys that you would couldn't even put in your starting lineup or think about putting in your starting lineup for him, move, try to move him for FAB or something like that, or maybe like a bad player plus FAB or something. Um, but, you know, with Ridley, I think if somebody wants to try to get on him for nothing because of he had a good week, then maybe send a trade offer for him.
So, J.K. Dobbins is going to be our last guy here. Again, I'm not going to spend a ton of time on him either because, uh, look, this just might be a guy that's going to maintain his workload this season. And while he's going to split snapshare with R.J. Harvey, R.J. Harvey is just looking to be kind of the scatback's change of pace back there. And I think this is a question that not a lot of us have asked ourselves, and that is, what if we've just been wrong about R.J. Harvey taking over the backfield this year? And what if J.K. Dobbins just maintains it? I mean, he gets all the goal line carries. Dobbins does all three today. Early down work, it's not even close. It's not even close. 75% of it's going to Dobbins. Uh, total plays, half of it goes to Dobbins. The rest of it is a split between Harvey, Batty, and some like miscellaneous, some miscellaneous backs.
>> No, what I want to say there, Batty took all of the third down snaps.
>> And the passing down snaps. My bad. Two-minute drill was all Batty. Third down, eight to two to one in favor of Batty. Batty had more relevant snaps today than than Dobbins did.
>> Yeah. And I, I think our, our takeaway here, you mean than Harvey?
>> Yeah. Than Harvey did. Yeah.
>> And I think our takeaway here is Dobbins right now is being priced like he's going to get this backfield stolen, um, by R.J. Harvey in the near future. And he's putting up 15-plus points every single week.
>> So at that price point, you can't get that level of production for the price point that you're getting Dobbins right now. So it's like, yeah, you take on that risk. I just mentioned Woody Marks where, you know, that's going to be a split backfield. Like this is one where I would trade a guy like Woody Marks for J.K. Dobbins if he could swing it. I would trade a guy like Tony Pollard for J.K. Dobbins at this point. I would trade Jordan Mason for J.K. Dobbins at this point because none of those guys have really, really solidified backfields where you know, like they're going to get this constant opportunity all the time from here on out for the rest of the season. They're all in question. So at this point, just bet on the guy that's the most consistent producer. I mean, again, the sexy thing for us to do and for every creator to do is like, "Oh, it's, it's R.J. Harvey time." Like, legitimately, there wasn't a single creator in fantasy football that didn't tell you, "Hey, sell J.K. Dobbins now and buy R.J. Harvey before it happens."
>> Yeah.
>> It's not, it's not happened. And we'll be the realistic ones here. It might not.
>> Yeah.
>> Like legitimately, I'm, I'm not going to tell you what, what I want to happen. I'm not going to tell you what we thought would happen because we thought Harvey would get the role.
>> Yep.
>> What it looks like is happening is is Sean Payton.
>> Dobbins just looks good. So.
>> And why would they move away from him at this point? I, in my opinion. So, do us a huge favor. If you enjoy the video, please drop a like. Make sure you subscribe. If you're here watching the video, you're part of the family. If you subscribe, it helps Nathan and I help support the channel as well. And we've got some free tools for you. Again, free rankings, free rankings, weekly rankings, free my teams tool, free trade calculator. To create an account with code domain at the link below, you can get all that for free. But we appreciate you guys. Thanks for watching, and we'll see you soon.