Transcription
Hello everyone. Hi. Welcome to Lays Real Talk. Happy weekend. It's the weekend edition of Lays uh Real Talk. Okay. Wow. What a world we're in. Um, there's never a dull moment in CCP politics, for sure. And the leadership has never been so openly divided that some people believe that there's a war about to erupt. So, let's talk about what's going on.
We're in the final hours leading up to the CCP's fourth plenum. Jua has openly challenged Xiinping. A major drama unfolded in Beijing in the last 24 hours. Uh, yesterday, uh, Friday, a defense ministry spokesman held a presser and announced that nine senior military officials, including the vice chairman of the CMC, uh, had been expelled from both the party and the military for serious job-related crimes. Their cases have been handed over to military prosecutors for indictment.
Now, this announcement confirmed some of the names from a long list of missing PLA generals. I mentioned them to you, um, I believe, Thursday. Uh, so, the nine that were named yesterday were all Xiinping's diehard loyalists. So, the nine names are Hi Dong, uh, CMC vice chairman and politburo member. Um, but anyways, I'm not going to run down the list because I will talk about each one of them later. Um, we'll save the names for later because it's a mouthful to say. Now, of the nine generals, except for one, the other eight, um, are all members of the central committee, uh, central committee.
So, this announcement is extremely unsettling for five reasons, actually six reasons. The first one is the massive scale. Okay, it wasn't just one or two generals. Nine generals being removed in a single day due to serious crimes is unprecedented in the history of the PLA. And the announcement didn't specify the crimes, but the wording was damning and severe. It said something like, um, "seriously violated party discipline and are suspected of major duty-related crimes involving exceptionally large sums of an extremely serious nature and with extremely vile impact." Okay, pretty bad.
Okay, second unusual, uh, quality of this event is the timing. Now, people usually expect this kind of announcement being made after the fourth plenum, as the result of the meeting. But it was announced on the last working day before the plenum. And the defense minister was basically saying that the decision to remove the nine generals from the military and from the party had already been approved by the leadership and the Central Military Commission and would be endorsed at the plenum, making it look like a preemptive political move and a stark warning to the allies of, of the nine generals. Right. So, the timing is, is, is extremely strange. It's before the meeting instead of after.
And then third is the messenger. It was announced by the defense ministry, which is part of the State Council, a government apparatus, not a party organ. However, the purge involves some of the highest-ranking military leaders, including Kong, who was, uh, a politburo member. So, usually announcements like this, uh, come from the party's discipline inspection commission or the General Office of the Party's Central Commission. Definitely not the defense ministry because, in CCP's, uh, organization, the defense ministry is unimportant. Um, so, for example, in the removal of the former defense minister, Li Shan Fu, who was a CMC member, not a vice chairman, uh, it was said in the announcement that the, the decision was made by the Politburo. But in this case, there was no mention of the Politburo whatsoever.
Number four, the precedent. Now, it's the first time the PLA has removed its vice chairman of the CMC, a sitting one. There were only two precedents where active CMC vice chairmen were ousted. The first one was General Ling Jiel, Mao's chosen heir, who died in a plane crash in Mongolia in 19, I believe, 1971 or 1972, while fleeing to the Soviet Union. And the second was former party chief Xiang, who was also CMC vice chairman under Deng Xiaoping. Tao was removed because he opposed using force to crack down on a student movement in 1989. Now, Xian wasn't a military leader, and his vice chairmanship was purely symbolic. So, the two, the previous two precedents, uh, one died, and the other wasn't really a military leader. They weren't that relevant. So, Dong's purging marks the first time the PLA has ever removed a sitting vice chairman.
And number five, uh, the most shocking part of this development is that all nine generals are Xiinping's loyalists without exception. And they're not just his loyalists. They are the pillars of the shei faction. They are his hand-picked diehard loyalists. So, let me tell you who they are so you understand, um, the scale of this. Okay. So, first on the list is vice chairman Hi Dong. He is the highest-ranking among them. He had been rumored to be sacked since March, um, when he went missing. He was Xiinping's right-hand man in the military, someone she had fast-tracked through every rule and rank. Now, before the 20th Party Congress in 2022, her wasn't even a delegate, not a central committee member, not a CMC member. But Xiinping personally decided that he was the most capable senior commander in the PLA and fast-tracked him upward, uh, three ranks in one go. He was promoted three ranks in one go to central committee member, politburo member, and CMC vice chairman, making him the third most powerful man in the military. Now, three years later, he has fallen from grace, becoming the shortest-serving CMC vice chairman and politburo member in the CCP's 76-year history. So, his downfall absolutely humiliates not just himself, but Xiinping.
And so, if her is she's right-hand man, then Meow Hua is Xiinping's left-hand man. From 2017 to 2024, for seven years, Meow was she's chief political commissar, especially, um, uh, playing the role of a personnel boss, responsible for promoting senior officers and ensuring ideological loyalty. Now, like Hi Dong, Meowa came from Xiinping's old base, the, uh, the old 31st Group Army in Fujian. Uh, she's original plan reportedly was that, um, was to have succeeded Jang Yosha as first CMC vice chairman because he was, he was second vice chairman. Jang Yosha was the first vice chairman. So, Xiinping's plan was to have Heron replace Jang Yosha and Meowa as the second vice chairman, so forming a triangle of absolute control. Now, Xiinping's both hands have been chopped off.
Next on the list is General. And now, I don't know if you remember July last year, that's when H was promoted to a four-star general and also to be, um, the executive, executive deputy director of the Political Department. So, he was basically groomed to replace, uh, Mia Hua to lead the Political Department and personnel. This promotion was so important to Xiinping that he held a special ceremony just for him. It was a one-person ceremony. And Xiinping likely planned, you know, to, um, um, like I said, to, to, to use him to, uh, replace Meowa, when, when Meowa moves up. But Meow fell, and soon after Hunging followed. So, the two men in charge of political loyalty and personnel are now both gone.
Uh, the next is Wanguin. Okay. Uh, another fallen general who also came from Xiinping's old base, the 31st Group Army in Fujian. Now, Wang rose fast from commander of the 80th Group Army to deputy commander of the Eastern Theater, then commander of the Southern Theater, and finally deputy head of the Joint Operations Center.
Uh, next on the list is someone you're familiar with. This is General Lingyi, the commander, the man who replaced Hi Dong to be the commander of the Eastern Theater. Now, he had commanded three different group armies: the 31st, the 47th, and the 72nd. Uh, a rare feat. And he participated in Xiinping's two military parades, one in 2015 and one in 2017. And he rose from lieutenant general to full general in just 14 months, the fastest promotion ever. And Xiinping counted on General Ling to lead the Eastern Theater Command, the main force for any Taiwan operations. But before any war began, Ling fell.
The next on the list is Chinuong. Um, okay, we have three on the, on the page. So, Chinuong, like Meowa, had once been political chief of the 31st Group Army, also based in Fujian. I mean, not all, I mean, that that group, that very, um, group that was Xiinping's old base in Fujian. So, he was promoted under Meow's watch. So, he was meant to be Xiinping's trusted, uh, political inspector in the army. Uh, so when Meow went down, Ching followed.
Uh, next is, oh yeah, on the same page, the, the, uh, the Navy officer. Uh, now Yuaja had also been Mao's subordinate in the Navy. He got promoted because of Meow. Uh, he was promoted on Meow's recommendation. So, when the mentor fell, the protégé fell too.
Uh, Wo Bing's fall hits even harder. Um, he is the fourth rocket force commander to be purged in, I think, the past what, two to three years? Yeah. Since 2023. In the last two years. It's only been two years. Now, the rocket force is Xiinping's crown jewel, responsible for China's nuclear and missile arsenal, key to both Taiwan operations and US deterrence. But this elite branch has now lost four consecutive commanders under Xi. And they're not just consecutive, they're all, I mean, it's only been around for 10 years, so it only has had four commanders, but they're all gone. The first one was Wei, the former, uh, uh, defense minister, right? So, they're all gone. So, think about it. One mistake is forgivable, two understandable, three disastrous, but four, that's catastrophic, right? Um, so, four rocket force commanders have been eliminated.
Um, now, one built his career in the Navy. When he was promoted to lead the rocket force, many people were surprised because that branch requires specialized technical skills. So, one got the job purely because of his connection to Mea, because they both came from the Navy.
Um, finally, Wring, the armed police chief, commanding over 1 million officers. I should say soldiers, because the armed police is not considered police, it's considered part of the military. Now, Xiinping trusted this man very much. She had restructured the armed police out of fear of a coup, removing it from, from State Council oversight and placing it directly under the CMC. Yeah. So, the armed police force used to be under the State Council, and then Xiinping moved it to be part of the, uh, military, the Military Commission, and he purged the previous generals promoted during the Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao era and he installed Wang Trining. Now, just prior to show how much Xiinping trusts this man, prior to leading the armed police, Wang had served as commander of the Beijing Garrison from 2016 to 2020. Um, now he's purged.
So, think about it. Nine generals, all handpicked by Xiinping, all loyal, all toppled. In the past, these downfalls were only whispered rumors. Now, they're official.
Now, what I want to tell you next is what I think is the most striking: how the state media has treated this announcement. Um, that's the most alarming part of this, this, uh, latest development. So, the original announcement on Friday said, yeah, this is the original. It, it was said that the decision was approved by the party's central leadership and the CMC and did not mention Xi Jinping's name at all. Okay. Um, and not, and did not mention any of Xiinping's signature political slogans.
The defense ministry held, basically held a press conference, and, and its spokesperson basically delivered the news, and he was using some seriously damning voice. It sounds very threatening, the way he said it. So, after the press conference, um, the defense ministry posted the news on its website at 5:15 p.m. And the title reads, as you can see on the screen, "Dong, Meowa, and seven other generals seriously violated discipline and are removed from the party and the military." Xinhua reposted the same story 20 minutes later. Um, where is it? I, I want to show you, but I mean, they didn't post it to the front page. I mean, think about it. This would be headline news. I mean, your vice chairman, one of your politburo member is being, is being brought down because of some discipline, you know, some, some serious issues. This is, and it's not, and nine generals, right? You would think that it's headline news, but no. So, although Xinhua published the same story, but they buried it. Um, they hid it in some place on their website, and you could hardly find it. Um, and then around 11 p.m., Xinhua published a second version with a new title, and that one says something like this. Okay. Uh, it says, "Defense Ministry spokesperson held a presser and answered questions about recent military affairs." Suddenly, names disappear from the headline, and the piece downplayed the purge by mixing it with unrelated issues like the South China Sea tensions. So, it made a major event in the military sound like a Q&A session by the spokesperson.
Um, so that's on the Xinhua news. And then People's Daily. Well, People's Daily completely stayed silent, first yesterday. Well, it's probably because they are print media, but they could, if they want, they could still put something on their website. And today, they printed, they printed only the modified Q&A version, right? So, they printed this version, the one you saw. It's all about Q&A, um, on page six of its, I don't know what you call the integrated page. It's, it's this. So, it's not from page, it's not even, you know, it's on page six of the integrated news section. Um, so that's, yeah, there's no mentioning of Mua, there's no mentioning of Hi don't. It's trying to hide it. It's basically saying this is just, um, part of the Q&A.
Meanwhile, CCTV, right, one of the most important state propaganda machines, uh, CCTV's prime-time news evening news completely ignored this earth-shattering event, both yesterday and today. It's the first time in CCP's history that the defense ministry leads or led Xinhua and People's Daily. Usually, it's the other way around. Clearly, you know, Xinhua would usually publish this kind of story first, followed by other state media like the People's Daily, CCTV, and then like the PLA Daily, um, and the Defense Ministry. But in this case, it's the opposite. The, the Defense Ministry held a press conference with a statement and posted the statement on its website. And then Xinhua, People's Daily, uh, all tried to tone it down, right? And not just try to, I mean, they, they toned it down severely. They tried to cover it up, and then the CCTV basically didn't say anything about it. So, clearly, the division between the CC, between the CCP's propaganda system and the military is out in the open. The two sides are fighting, or the ministry, the defense ministry was operating on its own, per the order of the military, and then the, the, the entire propaganda machine stayed silent.
So, now here's the big question. So, did Xiinping take down these generals himself, or did his opponent, Jua, do it? Right. Here's his, our favorite picture. Um, I think the answer is obvious, but believe it or not, some people still believe Xiinping is firmly in control and that he's simply being ruthless with his own loyalists, just like Mao Zedong or Stalin, Joseph Stalin. So, they're saying that it was Xiinping who took down the nine generals. But the other camp, and I belong to this one, believes there's no way Xiinping would take down nearly all his top military leaders, and he's no Mao Zedong. Mao's authority was unchallenged, but Xi's far from it. And these loyalists, I believe, were taken down by Jang Yosha. I don't think Xiinping has the guts to take down this many of his own people. Even if he did, it would make him look very bad, and he has no reason to do it unless they went against him. But there's no way these, these nine generals would rebel against Xiinping alone without the support of Johnny Oia, without, you know, it just doesn't make sense. And the biggest evidence to me is the split between the military media, or I should say, between the defense ministry and state media. Because if this were Xiinping's move, state outlets like the People's Daily, the CCTV would be all over it, right? But they're not. They muted the news and played it down. Remember I said that Xiinping still controls 95% of the propaganda machine, even though he only controls 10% of the military? So, that's proof that this was not Xiinping's action. It was Jang Yua's doing.
Now, the next question, you know, I, I mean, I want to talk about this because there are still many, I mean, if you watch, uh, media outlets like, uh, like the BBC, I don't even know, there was some, maybe Radio Free Asia, there was some media outlets that still are saying that this is Xiinping's action. There are still some highly respected China experts who claim that this is Xiinping's own house cleaning. I don't know what you think. It's not, not when the state media collectively remains so silent on this. That division shows that it's not his action.
Okay. So, now let's talk about, so why were they removed, right? Why were they removed two days? Was it? Yeah. Two days before the, the plenum? Um, well, judging by the stern language in the announcement, it wasn't about corruption. It was political. It was clear that they were anti-party, and anti, I mean, when I say party, CCP, they were anti-CCP. They were anti-the PLA. They were involved in a political coup against the military's leadership. And that's not Xiinping, that's Jang Yua. And based on previous reports, after Xiinping fell ill during the third plenum last July, Jang Yua took control of the military. And when Xiinping recovered, his loyalists tried to help him regain authority, but failed. And these nine generals were most likely the key players in that failed attempt. And it may not be just one attempt. There were multiple attempts.
Um, now, just as we were digesting and trying to understand this, this announcement, another bombshell dropped today. And this came from a commentator who has accurately disclosed many of these military downfalls before, that's Mr. Tai Chi-Chuan. Now, uh, now, by the way, Mr. belongs to the camp. Interestingly, I should tell you, he belongs to the camp that believes that Xiinping is still in control. So, the fact that, I mean, he's, he's highly respected, he's very objective. Um, uh, even though he believes that Xiinping is, is in control. I don't know if he still holds that view as of today after this bombshell that he dropped, but he's just being very cautious in saying that Xiinping has lost power. Okay. So, and he has made many revelations, or many leaks related to these generals' downfalls. So, today, he revealed to the Epoch Times in an interview that the military purge is far from over, and following the expulsion of the nine generals, another four generals have reportedly fallen. They are, um, the, I'm just reading the names in English. I think it may not be translated correctly. Chang, Minister of Equipment Development. Uh, and then the Deputy Chief of the Joint Staff Department, and then, uh, and then the political commissar of the rocket force, and then the president of the National Defense University, I think his name is. In addition, he said nine lieutenant generals and 15 major generals have been dismissed, including the very important Jun Xiao Jing. Oh, I don't have a picture of him. I forgot. Who was Xi Jinping's chief of staff in the CMC, uh, who was formerly the director of the Central Military Commission's General Office and currently the political commissar of the National Defense University. So, the National Defense University lost its president and political commissar. Uh, Jung Xiao Jin was transferred to the university last April and was last seen, I think, during the summer, in July, when Singapore's defense minister visited Beijing. Um, he is, uh, another diehard she loyalist. So, that's another 28 generals on top of the original nine.
Um, and then Mr. But said, he said, "I've been told there are still hundreds of generals waiting in line to be investigated." He said, "The so-called Xi Jinping army that took shape after the 20th Party Congress has basically been wiped out." And he also revealed that according to credible sources, both, and let me just match the names. Here's this guy has been, is said to have died of a sudden heart attack in detention. I mean, rumors about his death came out months ago. Remember it was in May and June, um, many sources said that he died, but the cause of death was, the cause of death was not known. So, Mr. Sai is saying that he has died, uh, due to a heart attack, and he had been in poor health and had undergone a kidney transplant. Okay. So, I don't know. I mean, in such poor health, how is he going to lead the military? And I'm just curious. I mean, if he, I mean, Jua is 72 years old, but the man is very healthy. Even Xiinping envies his good health and good energy, but this guy looks, does not look very healthy to me, you know. But, but he, if he's in such poor health, I don't know how Xiinping could have trusted him for leading the PLA. Anyway, so he, is said to have died, um, due to a heart attack, and Hung, uh, reportedly committed suicide. All right.
So, um, so according to Mr. Sai, this is an all-out purge. Now, again, the nine, um, the nine generals, the purge is official because it came from the defense ministry. The rest, uh, was only disclosed by Mr. Thai, and they obviously have not been officially confirmed.
So, so what's going on, right? Well, some people say this is Jang Yosha's last-ditch effort to prevent Xiinping from staging a comeback. Where I just want to show their picture, and it's to stop, they said that it's to stop a civil war from breaking out inside the PLA or inside the CCP. It said that the battle between Xiinping and then the anti-Xi faction, and I think in this case, mostly Jang Yosha, has become so intense that Janga hasn't been going home at night due to safety concerns, and he works in the PLA Bay building during the day and goes to the Shishan command center to rest at night. But that was weeks ago. Now he probably stays somewhere, you know, um, for, for, for the whole 24 hours. And three days ago, a YouTuber named Shanghu, this, this man, this man has a lot of connections with China. He revealed in his program that Jaya had recently made an urgent visit to Hu Jintao. And according to him, Jang told, I mean, he met not just Hu Jintao, he also went to see, you know, Wang Yang and Wu Bangguo. So, Janga told them that he had observed several deeply unsettling developments, especially the frequent personnel rotations and many new faces appearing within the Central Security Bureau, something extremely rare. Now, the bureau is the agency that protects Xiinping and other six standing committee members. You know, the Central Security Bureau is responsible for the security of the top seven leaders, and then the Public Security Ministry is responsible for, for the leaders, uh, at the next level. And I think the military provides security to Jang Yosha. I don't think Johnny would trust anyone, um, for his security details other than his own military people. Anyways, so John told them that he noticed that there's some very strange frequent personnel rotations and new faces within the central, um, security bureau. He also noticed that Wang Xiaohong, the minister of public security, and Tai, had been seen frequently visiting the fourth plenum's venue, which Jang believed was related to the upcoming meeting. So, he is concerned and he reportedly said that under normal party procedures, it would be almost impossible for Xiinping to agree to a peaceful retirement. Therefore, the fourth plenum might evolve into a more radical power struggle, something that would undermine the unity and stability that Hu Jintao and others have been trying to preserve. So, it also suggests that Xiinping's earlier promise to step down and transfer power may have been a smokescreen just to buy time for him and mislead his opponents. But he's quietly preparing for another move.
Now, my story is not over yet. I'm going to tell you another interesting drama that has unfolded today. Today, the PLA Daily published an editorial making a 180-degree turn. And the piece, where is it? Oh, here it is. The piece, not only mentioned Xiinping, but used the entire set of, uh, jarens, that's signature, that's Xi Jinping's signature, that the, the cookie-cutter jarens designed to glorify Xiinping. Um, so this, I'll just read you one blurb. It says, "The Party's Central Committee has decided to expel Hona, blah, blah, blah, the nine people from the Communist Party. Their suspected criminal cases have been handed over to the military prosecutors for investigation and prosecution according to law." This shows the firm determination of the Central Committee and the Central Military Commission to carry the anti-corruption campaign through to the end. It also shows that corruption will not be tolerated in the military. And here's the last paragraph that embellishes Xiinping's authority. It says, "All officers and soldiers in the PLA and the armed forces are required to firmly support the Central Committee's decision, stay closely aligned in thought, politics, and action with the Party's Central Committee under Xiinping, and strictly follow the orders of the Party Central Committee, the Central Military Commission, and Chairman Xiinping." So, we haven't seen that kind of language, you know, for a while. I mean, we, the occasionally the PLA Daily will have something like that, but this piece was a dramatic turn from yesterday's statement from the defense ministry.
So, here's the question. Did the PLA Daily issue the above editorial because they were under pressure from Xiinping and the party elders? So, what has happened, or they don't care, you know, um, so the question, it will be interesting to find out what made them to publish this editorial. I think the CCP is openly divided and already at war. Xiinping doesn't want to step down. Jua is forcing him to, um, and the CCP is standing on the brink of an ugly war, and we're now 24 hours away from the plenum. So, anything could happen. Stay tuned. And if you haven't subscribed, please do so. I will bring you the latest updates. All right, that's all. What do you guys think? Uh, I found this shocking that there are still people who believe that the purge, the purging was, was Xiinping's decision. I don't know how people could arrive at that decision. Um, but all right, here we go. Vancet. Oh, Vance Le, happy birthday in advance. Oh, all right. Hey, well, you remember my birthday because I announced it. All right. Uh, not sure if I can attend your program on the 21st. Wow. Well, thank you very much for thinking, um, thinking of me. Thank you. Thank you for the birthday gift. All right. Um, uh, let's see who's next. R Arjang. Oh, this name Ar A R Jane Solace. I don't know how to say your name. Sorry. Well, thank you for the super sticker. Thank you, Argent. I, I don't know. I don't even want to try. I mispronounce. Um, Louis Raymond EP5TP. Well, thank you, Louis. Thank you, Michael the Michael Tharia. Thank you for everything, Le. How do you think this affects the chances of an invasion of Taiwan before 2027? I talked about that in Thursday's program. Yeah, it was, of course, John's opponents do not want to start a war, not right now. I'm not saying that they're completely abandoning that idea. I'm just saying they know that the PLA is not ready. So, they're not, they're against the idea of starting a war right now. But Xiinping is playing the war card to hold, to hold on to power. But then they don't, the two sides don't appear to be very different because John is using the war rhetoric to empower himself. So, if you haven't watched my program on Thursday, I think it was, yeah, two days ago, please, please watch it. Anonymous, I have faith that our clever protagonist will find a way to come out on top. He always does. There are some people who wish he does that because they think that he's doing everything he can to take down the regime from within, which is great, you know, and they think that there's no one else who is as destructive as he is. So, let him, you know, keep him on. Let him do the work. Let him kill the economy. Let, let me, the only thing that, that it would be terrible is to start the war. But some people say he's only, he only threatens to start the war. He's afraid to actually start a war. Um, so, there are people who believe that by keeping Xiinping in place, it's actually good for geopolitics because he's taking the regime down from within. And then it's actually not advantageous for the West if, um, if a reformist, if a quasi-reformist takes over, um, it will give the regime more time to survive. All right. So, yeah. So, who knows? Anything could happen. We don't know. All right. Let's see. Oh, okay. All right. Wow. I got a lot of comments, comments, questions. Okay. Let me see. Le, this one is from Armen Santiago. Armen, Armen. When military officers are removed, when do they announce the replacements? Shouldn't this be done immediately? That's a good question. Uh, we have not seen this. This is, this is another reason why people don't believe that the, the PLA is ready to launch a war because they haven't announced any replacements yet. Of course, internally, they have someone put in place temporarily to do the job, but there's no promotion. They cannot do any promotions because it would, because Xiinping, the chairman, would be the one to confer titles, right, to make the announcement. But would Jang Yua want Xiinping to host the promotion ceremony? Absolutely not. So, not until the fourth plenum, not until they sort out who, who the real chairman of CMC is, they're not going to promote any officers. And because there's no promotion, it's a big blow to the officers' morale because there are so many empty positions and nobody knows who's going to be promoted. And so, everything, it looks like a musical chair, right? So, you need to, the military is not in a stable state when you have so many vacant positions, but they can't announce any replacement because there's no one, no one can announce that. They don't want Xiinping to do that. So, they just hold on. They just, they hold off, um, they're holding off all the, all the promotions, but that's self-destructive. Um, you could do that for a, a little while, but how long has this been going on for, for a year? So, that's very destructive. Okay, that's a good question. Euro Bing MC, an organizational structure of who is related to whom will give me some context of how things work. An organizational structure of who is who, who is related to who. Um, that would be, yeah, I, I, I have covered those in early years of my YouTube career. Um, you, you have a good point. You have a good point. Um, yeah, there's only, there's so many things to discuss and there's just Lelay only has 24 hours a day. Thank you. Thank you. A good point. All right. The wisdom to know. Oh, I love that name. I absolutely love that name. Stargazer 1000. Thank you. Thank you for the super sticker. CC Calvinist 777. Well, thank you. Berg Berg TV. What's the likelihood that Xiinping is replaced? Um, I would say 50/50. I really, I really think maybe 51 to 45 if you have to place a bet. I think there's a 51 chance that he will be replaced. But there's a 49 chance that he's staying. Yeah. Someone Jenny, some Lelay, there will be no war, even though you want it so much. I think there is war. We're just not seeing it. But now we're seeing it because the CCP is very good at hiding it. Just because we don't see a war doesn't mean that it doesn't exist. It, it's, you know, I mean, people say, you know, how many times Hu Jintao survived assassination attempts? At least three times, if not four. Do you know how many times General Liu Yuan, the son of Li Xiaoyao, who is currently Jang Yosha's helper? You know how many times he survived assassination attempts? I heard six. Six times. So, these are war, there's a war going on. We just don't see it. I mean, what I have revealed to you is probably a small fraction of what's really happening, and then the rest of the media is absolutely not talking about it at all. So, that's why people think there's no war. Michael Estrada, happy birthday. Thank you. Thank you. All right. Well, I'll be under so much pressure for my Tuesday's program. Um, they will kill Chairman Shei. Okay. Nice glasses. Oh, thank you. Oh, happy birthday. All right. John Fallon, Fallen Lei, you are amazing. Why do ma people, China hawks like Bannon, like Bannon, not know your perspective? You are totally amazing and explain Trump administration actions. That is weird. Crazy smart think. Um, yeah, I think I'm weird. I do. I agree with you. I think I'm weird because I was talking to a fan who, uh, via email, and somehow we came to the conclusion that I'm, um, a 15-year-old redneck, or Lei has the aspiration to become a 15-year-old redneck. Um, but anyways, it's, it's hard to explain. Weird. Oh, I want to answer a question. Um, should I answer that question? Well, I'll save that for Tuesday. I'll save that for, for, for my birthday talk. It's, it's interesting. All right. Well, thank you. Thank you for the, for the, for the super sticker and then the comments. Uh, yeah. Okay. Weirdly weird, crazy smart. I, I don't think I'm smart. I think anyone can be smart if you keep your mind and thinking simple. You know, wisdom does not equal knowledge. The AI could be an, could be the AI has more knowledge than than we, right? So, knowledge is only just how much information you know. But wisdom doesn't come from that. Wisdom comes from having a very simplistic approach to a difficult situation. If your mind, let me put it this way. If your mind is very, very peaceful and simple, you could see things clearly. Only when you're buried in complex issues, you cannot see it. So, yeah, that's what I think. Children are smarter than than adults. Okay. All right. Enough of Lelay's crazy talk. All right. Will, okay. Richard Hingman, will video of the plenum be available anywhere? No. I think it's a closed session. We, we don't, we don't see them. They're not, they're not open sessions that we could watch. So, there's no video. There's no video. A lot of, I think a lot of us would be just guessing, you know, guessing or or or contemplating what has happened based on leaks and insider information and or and public statements and and state media. So, all right, who is the mother of Xiinping's daughter in Australia? Well, she, Okay. Rumor has it, well, Yang, you're referring to Yang Allan, the 23-year-old who got herself into a car accident. She is believed to be a she family princess, but whether she is Xiinping's daughter or Xi's daughter is not known. Uh, or is, yeah, but more people believe that she is Xiinping's daughter. And there are people who said that the mother is an actress from from, yeah. So, that's, that's what many people believe. But yeah, and by the way, she didn't appear at the third court hearing. Did you know that? The, the judge required her to appear in person, but she didn't. She defied the court order. Her lawyers showed up, and then that's, and then this, and there was only the exchange between, uh, between the, the court and then her, her lawyer was only five minutes. It was very brief. So, what has happened, you wonder what happened to the judge? It's unbelievable. Burge TV, is he, if he's replaced, would it have to be at the plenum? They better, I think it will. I mean, the question, of course, he can be replaced any time, um, but the plenum will give his opponents the legitimacy to make it official. Any other time, you could replace him, you could arrest him, like, you know, what they did with the Gang of Four, with Madame Mao, but that doesn't make the move look legitimate, right? And then, and then his opponents have such an urge to want to appear legitimate. So, um, so that's why the plenum becomes the perfect opportunity to do that. It's, it's, it's explained like that. It's not that you can replace him at any time, um, if his opponents do not have this attachment to appear legitimate, they can replace him any time, like the CCP has done before with the Madame Mao and her Gang of Four. All right. Um, inspiration partner, like I have been aware of China's war behavior towards the US since 1996 when my company was in Long Beach, California. An FBI agent friend told me 5,000 Chinese agents were being watched in and around Long Beach. I'm not surprised. You don't know how many people are working for the CCP in the US. And they're not, they're not like official spies. Yeah. So, if, if you look, you know, how could, how could Yang Lan, the 23-year-old woman, have so much influence over an Australian court, over a car accident that she is responsible for, right? You, you think it's unbelievable. So, all right. Um, I think I reached the bottom of all the comments. There are a lot of questions I'm not able to get to. Oh, here's one. The car crash lady in Australia didn't appear in court. Yeah, she did. She didn't appear in court. So, it makes me believe, it makes me believe she is seriously a she family princess. Um, it, it's got to be. It has to be. Otherwise, how do you explain? And also, the Chinese government announced that they stopped importing iron ore from Australia. As people think, people link that to Yana's case as retaliation to the mandate from the judge's order requiring Yangalan's appear personal appearance at the court. You know, right after that, China pulled the ore, the order, Austral from Australia for its iron ore, and then I think the Australian government caved in. You know, it's, it's very wrong. This, this is this is wrong. It's a bad example to show that we're allowing the CCP elites to come into our society and turn our society into China. So, will Japan make Chinese leave? I hope so. I hope, um, it looks like the new, um, uh, the head of, um, the lady who, um, I think she is going to be, she is going to be the prime minister, right? She found a new partner, and I think she's, I think the new alliance is only missing two votes, and she could find two votes from the independents. So, yeah, so she's most likely going to be the next prime minister of Japan. And when that happens, I think they're going to be, they're going to be targeting the Chinese. And the Chinese have a big influence in Japan. They have bought many Japanese properties. Um, so they have, the Chinese have large investments in Japan. So, it's time to do something about it. All right, I reached the bottom of the comments. And I thank you everyone for joining me. Uh, till next Tuesday. How's that? Enjoy the rest of your weekend, and I'll see you next week. Alrighty. Bye.