Transcription
And good morning to everyone and welcome to Vision Crypto on this Monday, October 13, 2025, with a very green map. We have recovered good values. Yes, yesterday BTC and Ethereum pushed well upwards. It feels good, but this week will be extremely, extremely important. Of course, we will have to see what happens between the United States and China, what happens with the macroeconomy, and of course, how traditional finance reacts to all of this, because well, we are still correlated, aren't we, we cryptocurrencies, with traditional finance. So if, for example, the Nasdaq, the S&P 500, crash very hard, then there are strong probabilities that BTC and the rest of the crypto market will follow downwards. But there you go, for now, we had a very good Sunday. Look at the values there. We have recovered some big, big values. Well, after the fall we took, we could only recover big values. We see Tao which has recovered 40%. I think it has completely swallowed its drop. Dash 52%, Morpho 21%. In short, you can see here, we still have a nice green map. Let's go straight to our friend BTC. We see that we have indeed pumped on BTC, it's not necessarily enormous either. We haven't swallowed the entire drop on Ethereum. On the other hand, we have swallowed a little more. You see? So, I had my trade here. Well, it closed perfectly. So, you see that catching up with the 0.5 of the wicks in daily like that, well, it works pretty well. You see here, exactly the entry and I went to get my TP. So that's okay, it's closed. Now, we must still consider that we are here on a resistance. And yes, because we have both a resistance here and a resistance here. For now, we are in this resistance here. And so, of course, Ethereum will depend entirely on BTC. If BTC decides to go look for liquidity a little lower because, you see, it did not go to look for the 0.5 of the swallow of the large wick in daily. We didn't go there, we pushed immediately. So to see if we go there. And I remind you that there is an interest in coming here because there is liquidity. Remember here, I showed it to you and we accumulated even more liquidity. Look here, if we go up to 107,000, we have 8 billion to recover. So there is a strong interest in coming back here. So, will we come back here today and then rebuild and leave again? That's it, we will have captured maximum liquidity. Well, we have already recovered a lot, a lot of liquidity with that. Of course, we have cleared almost everything. But here, we have quickly rebuilt liquidity and we could recover it very quickly. So if, anyway, we look at where we are, well, we are in a short RLZ. Here, we will put the Fibonacci retracement. And you see that here, we are in a short RLZ. So, so to see if we will react within it and be rejected to go look for a little lower. And well, we will see. In any case, it will be a week where we will really be in observation. It will be very important to see how the markets behave. Once again, as I said at the beginning of the video, what is still extremely positive. Look here, I told you that we had to close above the previous lows here in weekly, here, I am in weekly, and if possible above this weekly wick. And well, that's what we did. Look, we closed above. So that's still very, very positive. Once again, that doesn't mean we won't go a little lower to capture liquidity. And anyway, here, we would have to swallow part of the wick. And if I switch to daily, look here, well, we would have to recover this liquidity here. After, what did we just do here? We just did what is called an OB. Here, you see, there, on this wick, an order block in daily. So that's still relatively bullish. There, here, that's an OB. So to see if we will respect this OB here or if we will go look for the 0.5 of this wick here. In short, in any case, what are we extremely tied to? We are extremely tied to this news between China and the United States. Firstly, we still have China refusing the phone call with the United States. So, we can say "Well, that's not really great, it's not going to go well." But we had other news. Look, let's move on to the news. Yesterday, Donald Trump tweeted, "Don't worry about China, everything will be fine. President Xi, highly respected, has had a bad moment. He doesn't want a depression for his country, and neither do I. The United States wants to help China, not hurt it." So, I don't know if this tweet was really something to do to ease tensions because frankly, if I were China, I would take it really badly. He had a bad moment. That means, basically, well, he's a good boy but he had a bad moment. He will make the right decisions. Don't worry, everything will be fine. I will bring him to reason. I find that really provocative. In any case, I don't think it's necessarily a good thing. But well, again, there is this third piece of news which says what? The United States and China are easing trade tensions as both countries signal their willingness to resume negotiations, raising hopes for a market rebound. Of course, that's what we're waiting for. And if there is positive news in this regard, really very positive. Like, well, they've found an agreement. The market should truly explode upwards again. And that, by the way, could even be the signal we're waiting for to have our last big bullish phase. Personally, I think it will take a little longer than that. It might take the whole week in negotiations. We might have a positive or negative resolution, maybe, I don't know, but perhaps next week. Well, in short, it's impossible to time. We'll see, we can only watch the news day by day, and that's why the daily updates are there. So don't hesitate to click the subscribe button. So there you go, in any case, this will be the topic everyone will be talking about, as the market will depend very heavily on an agreement or not between China and the United States. Also, it will be important. We have a relatively busy week, hoping to get the figures out. On Tuesday, we have Powell's speech, but on Wednesday, we have Core CPI, Annual CPI, Monthly CPI. On Thursday, we have retail sales, we have jobless claims, very important, the manufacturing index also very important, and on Friday, we will especially have non-farm payrolls and of course the unemployment rate. So, we have a relatively busy week in terms of macroeconomics. So, so we have geopolitics between China and the United States, very, very important, and there will also be macroeconomics which will be relatively dense this week. Also, what will we need to monitor? We will need to monitor inflows or outflows in ETFs. Last week, we ended with a small outflow on the BTC ETF and a slightly larger outflow indeed on Ethereum here. So it will still be very important to see if there are inflows or outflows this week, if there is a certain investor confidence or not. And so, of course, we will check all of that together. So, regarding liquidity, look here, I told you there was an interest in coming to get liquidity at the 107,000 level. Well yes, liquidity has been recreated here. So we could, if we are strongly rejected from the RLZ where we are. And if, anyway, there is bad news, then we will go look for this liquidity. Here, we can't really do much technical analysis since we will be extremely correlated to geopolitics and macroeconomics. So it's clearly them who will drive the market. In terms of interest, if we wanted to push, there is a lot of liquidity to the north, we saw it in yesterday's daily. So, so the interest is clearly to the north anyway. That's precisely why I remain entirely bullish, as you know. So even if we have a small correction, we go look for liquidity a bit to the south, well, my vision remains entirely bullish. So, we pushed while shorters were well present. So, what did we liquidate? We liquidated shorters for 410 million here. And we liquidated longs for almost 200 million. We liquidated twice as many shorters as longs. So a total of 610 million again. We have a lot, a lot of liquidations this weekend. We had, I think, more than 400 million liquidations on Saturday, and now we have another 600 million liquidations. So we have over a billion in liquidations that happened this weekend, which is a lot. I remind you that we have already liquidated 19 billion, so 1 billion more is always 1 billion too much since we have already had a real carnage. Alright, let's get back to the news. We have Binance compensating users up to $283 million after the malfunction of three crypto assets. So, as we know, there were liquidations, there were liquidity problems on the Kraken, Coinbase, and Binance platforms. So, so we have Binance, which seems to want to take things seriously and is acknowledging the non-performance, we can say, of the platform. So if you were liquidated on the Binance platform, inquire because perhaps you will be among the people who will be somewhat reimbursed. Somewhat or fully reimbursed, I don't know. Alright, let's continue with Forbes, which states that Trump is one of the largest BTC holders in America with over $870 million in BTC exposure. So, well, clearly, does President Trump have an interest in pushing BTC very hard? Yes. So, for example, this makes me very bullish. He has a significant position in the BTC asset, but he has no interest in making it fall. Well, it fell sharply. It's possible he simply positioned himself at the bottom to buy even more. Well, we won't denounce it, but it's clearly possible, and these are practices that are totally done in the USA. It's not at all to be proven, but on the other hand, he has every interest in making BTC explode to make his investment explode. So that makes me extremely bullish for the last bullish phase. And what also makes me very bullish is BlackRock. Of course, we know they are also exposed to BTC and that they have every interest in making BTC explode as well. So BlackRock CEO Larry Fink states, "Cryptocurrency has a role to play," just as gold has a role to play. It's an alternative. So this is an interview he gave to 60 Minutes. So, Fink, we know very well, the CEO of BlackRock has every interest in doing what is necessary for BTC to explode. So he is also on our side, and that also makes me extremely bullish. It seems that BlackRock, attention, I have not verified the information, but it seems that BlackRock bought 45,000 BTC during the crash. So, well, who benefits from the crime? That's another topic. Well, team, I'm bringing you back to this beautiful green map because it's extremely pleasing and puts a smile on our faces. I also remind you in terms of market sentiment, so of course, we have recovered, but we risk falling again if we go looking for liquidity a bit further. We will return to fear. We are just between neutral and fear here. So, so be careful because people are still clearly in fear. So, be careful, no, actually, that's a very good thing. You know that. I like it when people are in fear because the market generally recovers afterwards. In short, you've understood that this week will be very, very important between China and the United States, and of course, in terms of macroeconomic news. We will follow all of that on the channel. Don't hesitate to click the subscribe button, and I wish you once again an excellent Monday, and I'll see you tomorrow in the daily, and above all, above all, stay curious. Ciao!