Transcription
As they continued to attack, Trump saw that after the attacks, there was no way to get the Strait of Hormuz back from Iran. Therefore, he threatened to escalate, saying there would be attacks on bridges, and it would affect power plants, and desalination plants. Iran then fought back. The US's showcase, three people have died. The movement of oil tankers in large numbers, are they going to do the same thing again? That is, send B2 bombers to bomb Iran's nuclear development facilities. The president of the world's number one superpower must end it gracefully. [Music] >> This is the general feed system in [Music][Singing] the market. And this is Fan >> Fuel cost management system with no hidden fees, plus benefits and Max Points. Hello, Professor Teerachai. >> Hello, Khun Thani. >> Professor Teerachai Phurananan, former Minister of Finance, is here today as a news analyst and one of Iran's experts in Thailand. I saw many posts from the professor, so I was interested and wanted to ask the professor to analyze a bit. What are the impacts of bombing or shooting at Iran's freshwater production facilities? Professor, does it cause problems for Iran? Or even bombing nuclear power plants in Iran, will it make Iran surrender? Or is there a way? If it's bombed for 10 days, will Iran surrender? Professor, please. >> I have to start by saying that in terms of knowledge and depth about the situation in Iran, I think I am second to Khun Thani now. [Laughter] After Khun Thani observed it, he was able to experience the information himself. The problem now stems from the MOU that Trump wanted oil prices to go down. Therefore, he saw that there were ships carrying oil, ready to depart. Just sign the MOU, and all of it, 130 or 150 million barrels, is already on the ships. So, within one or two weeks, it can all be released. Therefore, he wanted it to be released, which would push oil prices down. This is what he had in mind, so he agreed to the MOU. You will notice that many people criticized, saying that America only gives and gives. So, it's like a document of surrender, a surrender of war by the United States. As for Iran, in reality, they got two things. First, they prepared oil tankers. When the time comes, they will release their oil tankers first. Therefore, Iran's oil tankers are floating tanks waiting in Southeast Asia. Waiting for when China is ready to receive the oil, they will send it in. Therefore, at least Iran will have foreign currency from selling oil to sustain itself. In this regard, Iran is aiming for this benefit. Another point is that they wrote in Article 5 of the MOU, using clear wording that Iran alone, Iran as a country, will be the one to manage and allow ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump at that time probably wanted oil prices to drop quickly, so he had to accept it. But after accepting it, he changed his mind because he was heavily criticized for agreeing to an MOU that was disadvantageous. So, he tried to find a way to open the Strait of Oman to compete with Iran. Iran did not agree, which is normal. Iran attacked American ships, and they attacked each other. Now, as they continued to attack, at the end of last week, I think Trump realized that after the attacks, there was no way to get the Strait of Hormuz back from Iran. That's why he threatened to escalate. From now on, he will attack civilian infrastructure, whether it's bridges, power plants, or desalination plants. It turned out that before he could even start, at the beginning of this week, at the end of last week, they already went ahead. And it turned out that they attacked a bridge near Chabahar, on the coast of the Strait of Hormuz, in Iran, and affected a power plant and a freshwater production facility in Iran. Now, the desalination plants, for Iran, because Iran has a very mountainous terrain, and mountains over 1000 meters, 2000 meters, there are many. So, it can capture moisture in the air, clouds that pass by, and it turns into rivers. Iran has a lot of freshwater within the country. Iran uses desalination technology for only about less than 5% of its total water consumption. It is used along the coast. Therefore, when Trump bombed one plant, it caused people in that plant, which supplied water to about 20 villages, to be without water. There were about a hundred thousand people, but because the military, the United States, bombed the bridge, it would be difficult for the government to bring freshwater from the mainland to help the coast. So, Iran fought back. Before that, Iran attacked American military targets in military bases in various countries, mainly in Bahrain, Kuwait, UAE, and Jordan, focusing on military targets. After they were attacked at the freshwater production facility, they shifted their focus to attacking the freshwater production facilities of Arab countries. They cited Kuwait as an example because Kuwait allowed the United States to place missiles there and fire them into Iran. These missiles are the same type that the United States gave to Ukraine to fire at Russia. Therefore, they had to destroy Kuwait's infrastructure to set an example. When Kuwait was attacked, it was a big deal. Because even though Iran uses desalination for less than 5% of its water, Kuwait uses almost 100% from desalination. Other Arab countries also use over 90%, such as Bahrain and others in that region. Except for Saudi Arabia, which might be a bit lower, around 70%, but still high. Therefore, Iran's attack on the freshwater production facilities of Arab countries is a strike at their weak point. And I think it made these countries tell Trump that they can't attack the equipment for desalination, or even the power system, because the freshwater plants are powered by the electricity system itself. For this reason, after that, the US attacks will avoid the freshwater production facilities again, but will focus on Iran's military targets. However, they are trying to intensify the escalation. And I see from the information that there is a movement of refueling aircraft, which are Boeing aircraft like the ones we fly on international trips, but instead of passengers, they are filled with jet fuel to refuel fighter jets and aircraft that attack Iran. But this time, Khun Thani, believe me, they have moved about 100 refueling aircraft, which means they are preparing for a major operation. It's like the situation is escalating step by step, escalating step by step. >> What Professor Teerachai said makes me feel that the back-and-forth attacks for 10 days must extend to 20, 30, 40 days. This kind of war, the Hamas war, and the war of mutual destruction using missiles and drones, I don't know how it can end. How can negotiations happen? And Iran says no negotiations, Trump says no negotiations. Will it be a prolonged war like Ukraine, or will it end quickly, Professor? >> This is hard to predict, as we don't have internal information. But I look at the accompanying information like this: when the United States was attacked at bases near Iran, whether it was Kuwait, Bahrain, or UAE, they moved aircraft and equipment to Jordan. Jordan is 1,400-1,500 kilometers away from Iran, very far. It turned out that Iran attacked Jordan several times, penetrating accurately. And the nature of this accurate penetration, Khun Thani, you must understand that the US airbase in Jordan is very large, it's their main base. Mostly, there are no less than 60 aircraft stationed there at all times, and it's a base that monitors the situation in Syria, Iraq, and around there. Therefore, this base is used to protect Israel. When Iran attacked Israel, at that time, the United States' radars were ready. So, they would see the radars, the nearby ones, whether it was Kuwait, Bahrain, or others. The radars would see Iran's missiles flying overhead, and they would say, "They are coming." So, US aircraft in Jordan would immediately take off from the airport and fly in wait. When they saw missiles or drones coming, they would intercept them. Therefore, the US base in Jordan is considered their pride. And a base like this, to say it has no defense mechanisms is impossible. Oh, it must have teeth, whether it's THAAD missiles, Patriot missiles, there must be many. It turned out that they couldn't stop it. Someone sent a clip. When Iran's missiles entered, later it turned out that Iran was able to develop missiles that were unconventional. That is, when they go, in the final stage, normally, when a missile comes, the computer can tell where it will be at this second, at this second, at this second, it can calculate it. But when it goes, it turns out to have small motors or small thrusters that can change direction at the end. Just 1 or 2 degrees at the end when it's about to land, and that's enough to not be stopped. Or it can change, there are small final thrusters that come out when it's close to the ground, and they explode, increasing the speed. That's enough to not be stopped. Therefore, the base, which is their prized possession, a showcase for America, was attacked. And one of the heavily attacked areas is this: the accommodation. Looking at satellite images, we can see that the accommodation used shipping containers, stacked and attached, and soldiers were placed in them, arranged in rows. When Iran's missiles hit, 2 or 3 people have died so far. But the latest information is that C-130 aircraft, which are troop transport aircraft, which are modified to transport injured people from Jordan to Europe, have flown in large numbers. This means there must be injured soldiers, and they have to be rushed for treatment. They are so injured that they have to be admitted to hospitals in Europe, whether in Italy, Germany, or England. There are quite a few. In conclusion, if I were Trump, I would think that the exchange is not worth it. Therefore, I must find a way to end it. In terms of the president of the world's number one superpower, and how to end it, suppose I want to end it, I must end it gracefully. I must come out and say, "Here, I ended it because I chose to end it, and I ended it victoriously." So, I sit and think, what is the way to end it victoriously? I look at the movement of oil tankers in large numbers. So, I asked AI. [Laughter] This AI, I'm wondering if they are going to do the same thing again? That is, send B2 bombers, which fly out from Minnesota, from America, and fly across the world, refueling along the way, and then bomb Iran's nuclear development facilities to end the game? AI said it's highly possible. I asked why. Because Iran has dug its nuclear development facilities into mountains. And the main target is a mountain. In English, it's called "Peykān," which means a digging pickaxe, but it's a hammering pickaxe. They named it after the Farsi language, calling it the "digging pickaxe mountain" because it's very hard. It took a long time to make a hole underneath, a tunnel. So, this is Trump's target. And suppose Trump wants to bomb it and have an effect, it might not reach the facility. But at least, suppose they bomb it to close the entrance and exit, for example, to block it for at least 6 months or a year. If it's like this, the bomb they will drop must be a bomb that is called a "bunker buster" in English. It's a very large bomb. And when it goes down, it will have bombs hidden inside, arranged in layers. It will explode, explode, explode to penetrate. According to the information, when it penetrates a strong concrete wall, it can penetrate up to 60 meters. It won't reach the facility because the facility is said to be 100 meters deep or more. But if it goes down and closes the tunnel entrance and exit, it might be possible. Now, in this direction, believe it or not, the bomb I'm talking about is very heavy, very large, and one of the heaviest bombs. One bomb weighs 13 tons, not 13 kilograms, 13 tons. [Cough] And the aircraft that can carry it is only one type, the one used for bombing last time, which is the B2 stealth bomber. And one aircraft can carry 2 bombs. So, I guess if it's like this, AI explained that if it goes like this, it will consume a lot of fuel because the weight of the bomb is very heavy. So, they will have to refuel the B2. In addition, when the B2 travels, it needs a swarm of fighter jets to escort it, to protect it from interference or from ground-launched missiles. These also need refueling. So, I guess they are preparing for a major operation now. And when it's finished, they will probably announce that the nuclear issue, which was supposed to be discussed with Iran about what to do, whether to have inspectors from the World Nuclear Organization come and inspect, which Iran refused, there's no need to talk anymore because it's now buried by these bunker buster bombs. In this way, if I analyze it, Trump can temporarily withdraw from the situation. However, if he does it publicly, he might have to say that if this is the case, the Strait of Hormuz is the responsibility of whoever benefits, whether it's Korea, Japan, or China. If you want oil, you go and protect your own ships. That's how I see Trump's way of clearing things up. I'm guessing, and it might not be correct, that it will come out in this direction. >> Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe to the DB Suthaw channel to not miss interesting clips and watch new clips first.