Transcription
Hello everyone. I hope that you've had a good trading week so far. I hope that you've been on the right side of the market, as you should be. Long as we have been right, um, most of our analysis, well, all of our analysis for the past Sunday has, you know, been fruitful. So it's one of those weeks that are, you know, decent. Right in front of me, you guys can see the interest rate triad. And again, before we begin, right, before you enter any trade, right, you need to at least take a look at the three main triads, right? Right, which are comprised of the interest rate triads, the Forex market triads, and the index futures triads.
Here you guys can see that we had sequential, right, between here, which was the previous quarter, right, before Monday. So we ran out Thursday's high, right here. Right here, let me, I need to turn on the crosshair for you guys. Right, right. And okay, so right here in Monday, right, Monday's opening, right, first we had sequence. We had SMT here, right, which was sequential, right? So Thursday ran out Wednesday's high, right here, as you guys can see. Right, we're looking at the T-bond futures right now. And you know, you don't need to really, you know, have an in-depth understanding of what it is or what do they use it for or anything like that. You just need to know that the interest market, the interest rate market controls the market, right? So interest rates control the market, and the interest rate triad controls interest rates, right? So everything in the world revolves around these markets right here, right?
So here we had SMT, right, sequential SMT. And what would you wait for after this? After seeing this, what do you need? You need a lower time frame cycle sequential SMT. So this occurred on the weekly cycle, right? And if you guys can remember, right, we highlighted these lows right here, these equal lows in this Sunday's past live stream, right? And you can see that we did have price, you know, draw to those lows. And we were here. And as I've said before, right, when you are looking at the weekly cycle, you need to see a close above, right? So it's not just, you want to see a wick, you want to see price trade above, then close above the previous quarter's high, forming sequential SMT. Price broke down, right, when we were here, when we were here, right, when we, you know, instigate, when we referred to these lows. And whenever I refer to a low or high, it's basically me saying to you that I expect price to go there, right? I did not go here and say there are highs above the market or anything like that, right? All I did was refer to these lows. And that is just a, you know, I don't know, a strategy, a way of me, you know, trying to not give signals, but doing it at the same time, sub, you know, subconsciously, I guess.
Why this is due to the fact that I am aware that whenever I post charts or, you know, say that I expect this to go here, there are people that take that and put it in their own groups, which, you know, makes them look smart, which they're not. They're thieves, right? So for you to, you know, be in line with the market, right, you literally need to follow the steps which I give you, the things that you need to look for, the stages, per se, that you need to look for, right? So this was obviously stage one, right, when price traded above and closed. Then we had this occur right here, right? We had another sequential SMT occur here, right here. You can see that price closed above this close right here, right? So this was the as session high, and this was the, this was the London session's sign, right? So this was sequential. Price did trade above this by, you know, a few points, but we don't care about that. It's the closes that really matter to us, right? Here we had price close, you know, below here, and here we had price close below here. So we had two sequential SMTs, right, which was in sync with our bias. And then afterwards, we just had expansion.
So due to the fact that we were, you know, already bearish on this, and, you know, we were bullish on the dollar, not the dollar, bullish on the, sorry about that, bullish on Euro, EUR USD, and, you know, bearish on the dollar, right, due to the fact that the dollar moves in the opposite direction of these, right? One, a dollar, the Euro, and GBP USD moves in the opposite directions. Yeah, so there are times when you will even see, right, you see the dollar, right, in sync with the, the futures markets, right? There are times when you'll see the dollar in sync with the futures market. There are times when you will see everything out of sync except for the triads, right? Really, in truly, the triads are what relates to one another, right? The triads relate to each other. So if you begin to compare the dollar to the NASDAQ, you'll get confused. If you begin to compare, for example, the pound to the interest market triads, you're going to get confused. The only thing that you should really be comparing with one another is, you know, each asset within their own triad, right? What you should look for is for expansion. It's just SMT occurring around, you know, the same time, right? So, for example, here, which [Music] was, we had, we had SMT here, right? We had SMT here, and we had SMT here, right? Once this, you know, this was a range in market, right, which showed that we could expect movement here before this even happened, right? So here, right, this was, this high right here was formed at the 28th, Thursday. We had [Music] expansion. Monday, on on Monday's price section, we had expansion as well, right? So this was all down price action, right? And at times, yes, this will, you know, or some, each asset class will either drop more than the other, right? But that doesn't matter. Just, you just matters that they're in tandem, right? They're moving together. So this dropped, right? Then this dropped, right when this occurred. And right here, we had SMT, right? So on Tuesday, made the low of the week for the Euro, and the British pound made the high of the week for the US dollar. So here, right? And we even had a lower time frame sequence here as well. If you go down, you know, any, the lower time frame cycles, you'll see it. Then here we had expansion, as you guys can see, right? And this is where it gets, you know, interesting.
So here, right, you have Wednesday not taking out Tuesday's low. Same thing here. And this couldn't take out the high of the US dollar, right? Within the interest rate triads, right, you can see that we had price going up a bit, but they did take out Tuesday's low, as you guys can see, all of them did, right? And they even closed there too, and then rallied. So why would this even rally? Why would it rally? Like, there is no sequential SMT. Then you say there must be sequential SMT for price to rally. So in, you know, occasions like this where there is no sequential SMT, right, you'll just see price pull back and just rally forward. It's due to things, you know, like this. And this is why you need to understand the triads and how they relate to one another in intermarket sequence. Your SMT, wow, someone just said it, right? So it's not just, okay, I can just look for, you know, sequential SMT within this market. No, you can refer it, reference it, you know, market to, you know, each triad to each other as well. And this is something that no one will even, you know, begin to, you know, understand. They'll be like, I can't be looking at all these at the same time. Why am I, I just need to look at one asset class? Then you're going to be less accurate, right? That's, that's what's, that's what it's going to be. You're going to be less accurate. And also here, right, remember we talked about, you know, symmetrical highs or lows and unsymmetrical highs or lows being taken out, right? Here you guys can see that, right? This was not a swing low that was taken out. This, right, look right here. This candle right here is a swing low, right? The candle to the left higher than the one in the middle, the one to the right higher than the one in the middle as well. And the same thing for here, right? So this took the liquidity below here, and this was real liquidity, right? And then there was intermarket sequential SMT, which is what caused price to rally, right? Each asset class reflects upon each other. And then above that, you have each triad reflecting, reflecting, you know, on each other as well, just taking information from each other. And that's what actually causes, you know, fluctuations in the marketplace. That's what causes every move in the marketplace. There is nothing other than that. It's time and it's price. There is no level that is there. The only reason why a level even holds is because there is SMT, right? So you've, you've learned what SMT is, which is the base. You've learned what sequential SMT is, which is elementary. And now this is intermarket sequential SMT. This will be impossible for someone for you to understand, and you must practice. Do you understand? So this will make you even, you know, more accurate. Yes, it will be a bit harder. And no, you don't need to, you don't need to focus on this right now if you can't. But it's just, you know, me giving you what you want, right? It's always, can you give me more? And I'm like, okay, of course I can. And still, this is, you know, not, you know, as high as a level as the level can be, right? Still, you know, we're just, you know, climbing up into, you know, preschool, right? It's just, that's what it is.
But look at the lows that were taking out, right? Remember, whenever you have a triad, each asset class must, right, if price is supposed to continue, right, they must be doing the same exact thing, right? Here, if you just look, right, from afar, it seems that they all took this low. And as you can realize, it is specific lows. It's not just, we just took this random low right here. And it, no, it, it went for Tuesday's low. What, what was below Tuesday's low? Liquidity. Why, why is there liquidity? This low right, was formed different from this one. It's not random. It, it looks random. They made it so that we would believe that it's random, but it's not. Then what did we have here in the US dollar? We had a higher low than this one here. We had a higher low than this one. And here we had a lower low than this one right here. Look at this, right? What do you have here after this was established? So if you were looking at this and you would see this happen, then you would realize that, oh, price did not break below this low here. Wow, this must be bullish, right? And we were, we already established the low of the week. And remember, this isn't hindsight. Remember the, remember what we said about the pound, right? We expected the pound to be the best, the better trade, right? And it was. Look at this, right? It ran this low, which we highlighted, right? And what happened after this SMT was ran out? What happened there? SMT occurred, which is how liquidity is induced, right? Right here, what happened? What happened here? The pound traded in this fair value gap. What happened here? It did not. What is that? That's SMT F. So price was, you know, bound to go higher. If you, and if you were looking for everything that, you know, we talk about here, you see that are we relying upon any level at all? No. Do you understand that? We, we aren't looking at any level. It's just, it's just time. It's just time highs and lows and imbalances. It's not, oh, let's go back and we're going to mark out this fair value from, you know, the fair value from. No, no, no, no, no. We don't need to do that. We don't need to. And what made, you know, these lows important? What made them important? Now we're going to look at that. And we, you know, introduced this before, right? Here, what do you see, right? This was a lower low. This was a higher low, right? This is where real liquidity is found, everyone, right? And then here you have a high high. So this in itself would, you know, seem like it was SMT. But due to the fact that, you know, it was Friday, and we were trading, you know, Monday, and the pound was in a range, we need to see clear price action, a clear break below these lows, which were not symmetrical lows, right? These lows were, you know, caused by SMT. And then price failed to go here. When price broke below here, what did we see? We saw SMT, then SMT, SMT F. Okay, now we can go higher. Then price went higher. Then here, what happened? And we talked about this too, right? We had this candle break above this high. This one in the Euro did not break above this high, right? So here, price didn't go above this high here, right? And whenever you're looking for actual, you know, shifts of, you know, market structure shifts, which are SMT market structure shifts, right? And it's just that name. Of course, I could give it a, you know, a more difficult name, right? But there's no need for that. It's, you know, we're not trying to make anything, you know, harder than it already is. We're not trying to do that. Trying to, you know, make everything seem easy to understand, right?
So here, remember, right here, what happened? We had, you know, the intermarket sequence SMT occurring. Then you had price push above this high. This one didn't. Okay, now that became what? Bullish. That became bullish. And also, what happened here? And here we had this low being taken out, and here price failed to take this low out, meanwhile this was happening, right? So we first, we had the pound break below this low. Dollar failed to do so. Then the pound traded above this high. Remember I said that the pound would have the better trades, right? The pound traded above this high, right? The dollar, the Euro failed to do so. This was a shift. This was a real shift in sentiment. Then we had price expand, right, which I believe occurred with the news. So again, right, SMT directs order flow. It doesn't matter what the news, right, which news is being released. That does not matter. Doesn't matter at all. CPI, doesn't matter. If it was CPI here, and we had sequential SMT, what would, what would we expect? Price to just continue in the direction that it has been, you know, placed in, right? Order flow would just expand, right? There's nothing that is really that random about these markets, right? Everything, you know, follows this exact rule, right?
So the first thing was, we, you know, we studied each, you know, asset class relating to each other. Now we're studying each triad relating to each other, right? There are more triads right there for, there are some for, you know, obviously oil, gold, not oil and gold, but, you know, each of them have their own respective, you know, section, which we would, we will eventually get to, right? Um, crypto, of course, too, which, you know, relies upon higher time frame cycles, even real estate. But for now, we will stick to the main ones, so no one gets too confused, right? If you are simplistic, right, you want to be simplistic in your analysis, right? You do not need to be looking at everything. If you want to trade bonds, you can just look at this. If, it's just that you would probably miss certain moves, like for example, this right here, right? Because the fact that you would not be able to see that this was a crack in correlation on a broader spectrum, right? So literally, what you're learning, literally lows, specific lows of specific time, which is basically time, right? Time. The, the sweeps and gaps in a very simplistic way. And I think it's amazing, right? I, I think it's actually amazing, right? Due to the fact that we could like, you know, foresee price here, then we could, you know, foresee that, you know, an expansion here, which is what we said we would look for if price broke below this low, right? That's what it is. And then, right, we know that sequential. Listen, do you realize that every time this a higher, the low of the week, what, what causes it? Sequential. That's what causes it. It's literally there all the time. Like, literally, that's what it is. It's not, oh, this order block here, or, you know, if you do know that this was SMT, you just like say, oh, price traded into this fair value gap. This, it doesn't matter. It's highs and lows, highs and lows, you know, specific closures of price and so on, right?
Here you can see that, right, even if we, you know, didn't have the wick, we had this price closing below this price, right here, whereas we had this price closing above this one, right? It's the closures, right? That's what the, you know, algorithm sees. Until right, you get to market structure shifts, right, which are not reversal. This is, this is not reversal, right? This is price hinting to you that it wants to go higher after, you know, the order flow has already been established, right? And there are times, right, when, and you should listen right now because this is important, right? You will have sequential SMT, right? And this can occur between any quarter, as you already know, including Friday. So it could even occur between Friday and Monday, right? So here we have price trading below this low, right? But what else is important, right, here? When did this low form? This low was formed when, remember, nothing in price is random. And take everything into consideration, right? When was this low formed? This low was formed in the New York session. And this one was formed in the, what? This one was formed in the London session. So here, right, when you have a higher time frame sequential SMT, right, there are times when the lower time frame sequential SMT will be mirrored across, you know, different quarters. So regularly, right, you would see sequential SMT, you know, between Q2 and Q3, right, here, right, right? This is Q3 and this is Q2. It's just mirrored and, you know, placed, positioned within a higher time frame cycle sequential, right? So there are times when, you know, you will even see, you know, this low being formed here at, you know, during the London session, then you have this low come here, you know, within the Asian session, expand. Or you have this low form right here, right? It would be, you know, within the fourth quarter, then this one would take that low out while completing a 100 time frame sequential SMT here in the New York session, right? So it would, you know, look something like this, right? So like here, you have, right, this responding to this, why? Because there's a higher time frame sequential SMT, right? So it's, you can get more, you know, in tune. And there are times when you'll see, right, this low form here, and this one form here, right? Just as out. There are times when you'll see this low form here, and this low from here. Anyways, right?
Also, right, we, you know, basically we did expect, right, not basically, we did expect price of all over. What did we wait, what were we waiting for here? We were waiting for SMT. One second, I think my computer is going to die. Just saw the screen dim, so going to plug it in. Sorry about that. Okay, so here, right, this is basic, right? And the highs and lows which we were, we would be focused on would be these. And guess it's the monthly cycle, right? So it would be this high right here, and this high, which would cause the market to, you know, tip per. And then we had this right here, right? Price failing to break above this high. Then here we had see price, you know, overextending from, you know, a high as well. So whenever, right, remember I've said this before, I've said this before. Whenever there is, right, there is SMT, which is just regular SMT, right? It can be confirmed by a lower time frame sequential SMT. So basically, if there is a SMT which occurred over a wider range of time, right, this is a lower range of time, right? As you guys can see, if you, you know, count how much candles are here, right? They, you get more from here to here, and here you'd get less. So this is a lower range of time, right? But this is sequential SMT. This was not, right? So when you see this happen, right, if there is a lower time frame sequential SMT occurring after this, then price would be prone to go lower. And remember, within the, whenever you're looking at the monthly cycle, you need to be using this exact time frame, the 4-hour time frame. It needs a 4-hour close. So once price closed here, right, this one closed here below this close, then we would expect price to go lower, as it did, right? Remember, we expected a reversal here after sequential SMT, and that's what happened, right? What would, you know, confirm the sequential SMT to close? So once price closed here, that it's over, right? And here as well, you have price closing slightly above this high, you know, with, above that doesn't matter, but, you know, for visual purposes, it's here, right? How we would, you know, see, we would see price like this, right? Price is closing above here. That's what the algorithm sees. It doesn't really care about wicks, but, you know, we have to take it into consideration. Just as of here, you have price just wicking right below here. It's just quick wicks or gaps, right? Then that's what it is. That's all it is. Wicks or gaps.
So I hope that you guys, you know, took something from today. That was a lot, right? There was a lot that we, you know, we spoke about. And everything here is basically, you know, introduction to intermarket sequential SMT and going deeper, you know, into the, the behavior of the market, right? The algorithmic nature of the market, the real reason why price moves. If you realize, we have not been, listen, we haven't been focusing on higher time frame levels. That was literally, and that was just one of the videos where, you know, that's just, that was introduction, right? You don't, what, what you need is time and price, right? What you need is time and price. And it's, it's not that it's just, you know, oh, it's just they just saying this hindsight. It's not hindsight, right? Right. I would actually love to be, you know, more active, you know, actively posting this, but like maybe like whenever we get over to up when, you know, people can't just be screenshotting, posting another group, you know, and charging people for, you know, what I've done, right? My work, literally, you know? And this is what it is. And as you guys can see, it works. I don't even have to be up, you know, you guys will literally see it in your charts. Post it, post it in the group, and you're like, is this sequential or SMT? Which, yes, it is. And then you get it correct, right? That's how you learn. By doing it yourself, going to your chart, taking what I talk about, and just applying it to your charts, looking for the things that I say to look for, taking notes, looking for for exactly, you know, what I tell you to look for. And I'm saying it again, yes, and that's how you will learn. You will not learn by just watching it one once. You need to go into your charts and get and get, get some, some hours in. Need to get some experience. Then, right, basically, we've before, you know, I think it is, before NFP, it's NFP, right? I believe so, right? We have, you know, call majority of the range of the market, right? It's Q2. We did expect expansion, as we should expect in Q2. Q2, as I've said, will have, you know, more opportunities. And it's just the beginning. We're just like three days in, right? So, and this is one of the lowest probability weeks of the month. It's the first week of the month, which usually has, you know, expansions on, you know, within the first half of the week. The first week of the month, latter weeks, you know, you usually, that's when you get your Thursday reversals, Thursday high of the week, Wednesday high of the week, right? Incredible one shot, one kills. That just seems too good to be true, right? But yes, there will also be a time when, you know, you will make, you know, human errors, cuz this is actually, actually the market. I don't care what anyone says, right? I don't care what ICT says, oh, you need to focus on, focus on what order block. No, we, we don't even look at that stuff. We realize just like once you start looking at it, you realize that, you know, which one works, where does it work, why does it work, why is it even considered to be an order block or whatever it is, why is a breaker even considered to be a breaker? It's because of SMT. And it's not even just SMT, we go deeper than that, because of sequential SMT. We have a lot, we know about. And what else? Now you know about intermarket sequence, right? Now you know about how, you know, each asset can affect the other, right? Bonds fell here on Monday, then what happened? We had EU falling on Monday, GU falling on Monday. That we had the dollar expanded. You see that, right? Bonds fall on Monday, what happened here? These indices, they fell too, right? So we had a high time frame sequence SMT here, we had a lower time frame sequence SMT here. That's two stages across two different asset classes. And hearing for retreat. I hope that you guys have a wonderful day. I've been talking for too long. And yeah, we will, you know, probably have a, not probably, let me promise you, I, I make promises, but we'll be here either Friday or Saturday Q&A, where we'll just answer questions that you've guys been asking in the questions chat. And then, you already know, Sunday. So yeah, have a nice day. Nice day, right? I just say go have a nice day, everyone. And I will be in touch with you guys. Only you want to me. It's a b obsession. I am the Maring tent on burning the stream. How many times can I ask you? How many days can I go without you? Show. [Music] Tces a. Can the fire? Days can I go without you? Show. [Music] [Music] [Music] H.