Transcription
A lot just happened in fantasy football in week 11, and it was arguably the biggest week of the entire season. And not only did it impact week 11, but it's going to matter for the rest of your fantasy season. So, we're going to break down the most important takeaways from week 11 so you don't fall behind.
And we'll start with Brock Purdy returning for the San Francisco 49ers because, really, since week two, since he first suffered the injuries that he was dealing with, he hasn't been out there as a full go. What happens in week 11 when Brock Purdy comes in? Well, the 49ers offense looks like the best offense in football, like it did for about a quarter and a half in week one, or one of the best offenses in football because Purdy comes back, completes 19 of 26 passes for 200 yards and three touchdowns. More importantly, though, in this game, the San Francisco 49ers, for them and their fanbase, they win 41 to 22. It wasn't even this close. The Cardinals put up a couple of points in the fourth quarter. They put up 12 points in garbage time when the 49ers really aren't playing all that much defense. But more importantly, they were able to move the ball. And since they were able to move the ball, a lot of pieces for fantasy that were taken pretty high in drafts this year and that I liked: Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, Jauan Jennings, all these guys came through this week in one way or another. And that's going to happen when your quarterback has a 133.5 passer rating with three touchdowns to no interceptions.
And specifically in this game, the guys who really popped off: George Kittle, six catches, 67 yards, two touchdowns. George Kittle coming into the season, that we talked about as in like the fourth or fifth round of your draft, depending on when you drafted, was arguably the best tight end value in all of fantasy since Deebo Samuel was gone and Brandon Aiyuk had a pretty long recovery timeline. He's still not playing football. So now, since Kittle has played basically a game and a half with Purdy, he has this game of six catches, 67 yards, and two touchdowns. He has week one where he also found the end zone as well. Also in this game, Jauan Jennings had four catches for 54 yards. He continues to see a strong target share with the team-high six targets. Also in this game, Christian McCaffrey, five catches, 40 yards, and a touchdown. Christian McCaffrey on the ground, although he's losing carries. Brian Robinson had eight compared to McCaffrey's just 13. He remains more efficient with over six yards per carry, multiple touchdowns. Also, Brian Robinson was seeing a lot of work in that fourth quarter of this game where, for some reason, McCaffrey was still seeing touches on the final drive. So was Robinson as well. So, sure, it's a one-game sample, but man, you saw everything that makes Brock Purdy and this offense go. Brock Purdy is way more mobile. Brock Purdy just has a lot more tools to his game than M. Jones, who by all accounts has been good as well. But it's a different dimension to this offense.
Now, if we look at the 49ers offense specifically, and I want to call out another reason because Ricky Pearsall also returned from a knee injury that's basically kept him out for a month and a half now. And Ricky Pearsall right away plays 41 snaps. He plays the same amount of snaps as Jauan Jennings. He basically is an every-down player, running 23 routes compared to Jauan Jennings' 24 and George Kittle's 24. The only difference was Pearsall only saw two targets in this game. Now, here's the thing. Ricky Pearsall has had some bigger games this year earlier in the season, but in those games, M. Jones was the starting quarterback. Again, this is a one-game sample. Pearsall was coming off of a pretty serious knee injury. So, maybe he just needs some time to ramp up. But Ricky Pearsall was back as well in this offense, but it was still Jauan Jennings as the leading receiver with five targets. Still George Kittle heavily involved with six targets on a team-high 24 routes. So, a lot of moving pieces for the 49ers offense, but it was just helping the guys you would expect: McCaffrey, Kittle, and even the guy we've been saying to buy low, Jauan Jennings. So, your takeaway here is that if you've held on to George Kittle, if you put him in your IR spot, and now you're playing him, you probably have a top-three, if not higher, tight end rest of season. And Jauan Jennings still remains a buy-low candidate, while Christian McCaffrey remains the number one player in fantasy football. And you could just feel better about that now heading into the fantasy postseason for all of your 49ers. Instead of potentially feeling worse and regretting the 49ers going from M. Jones to Brock Purdy, we don't have to worry about any of that.
And we also don't have to worry about Trevon Henderson losing a ton of touches, probably when Rhamondre Stevenson comes back, because the cat's already out of the bag with this one. Trevon Henderson has now delivered back-to-back breakout performances that a, that a New England Patriots running back basically has not done in years. I'm literally talking years for just one game. Henderson's done it now in back-to-back games, and he did it just four days apart because on Sunday in week 10, he has 14 carries, 147 yards, multiple explosive plays, multiple touchdowns in that game. He goes out there, he's playing 83% of the snaps, 64% of the rush attempts, 72% of the routes run. But you could say Stevenson is out, Terrell Jennings gets hurt during the game, they have nobody else to turn to, and it was just one game isn't enough for Trayvon Henderson, the rookie, to overtake the veteran Rhamondre. Well, then four days later, on Thursday night football in week 11, 19 carries, commands the backfield, just three for Dearius Johnson. No other running back sees a touch. 62 yards on the ground. Wasn't all that efficient, but he has two touchdowns. And more importantly, he adds five catches, 31 yards, another touchdown there. So, three touchdowns in this game. He's getting you 24 touches. He's getting you another 100 total yard performance or so. And for back-to-back games, he was a key, and really the key piece of this offense outside of, like, obviously Drake Maye and Stefon Diggs. And in that game in week 11 on Thursday night, he's coming out there and playing 58 of a possible 66 snaps. Workhorse usage for Trevon Henderson. I get it. Dearius Johnson was like signed off the practice squad. He wasn't on the team for all that long, but 58 out of 66 snaps is elite.
Now, Rhamondre Stevenson was practicing in limited fashion heading into Thursday night football. Now, with the mini-bye of 10 days of rest, there's a pretty good chance that we're going to see Rhamondre Stevenson play in week 12. The question now is how much usage does he take away from Henderson, who actually carved out a red zone and goal-line role in week 11. I mean, it's definitely a good chance that Rhamondre Stevenson comes in and starts to see some work. Like, I don't think we're going to see Henderson seeing 58 snaps to just eight for Rhamondre Stevenson. There's a chance he goes back to a split backfield, but that already is an improvement from what Henderson saw early on in the year. Henderson now has had three starts this year. In those starts, he's averaging 5.6 yards per carry, five touchdowns, 68 fantasy points. That's over 20 fantasy points per contest compared to Rhamondre Stevenson in his eight starts, according to Underdog over on Twitter. He's only averaging 3.4 yards per carry. He only has 70.8 fantasy points, less than 10 fantasy points per game. So, obviously, fantasy points per game are not why Mike Vrabel and the Patriots coaching staff is going to give a running back more touches or not. But it obviously shows you the explosiveness and the playmaking ability of Henderson versus Rhamondre. At the end of the day, your takeaway here is not only does Trevon Henderson look legit moving forward in the NFL, but right now, he should be carving out a larger role in this offense, if not pushing aside Rhamondre Stevenson, who probably still won't be 100% healthy even when he returns. But I will say, I will caveat all this by saying I'm not against selling high on Trevon Henderson. We might talk about it later in the week depending on the value that you get back for him. These are probably going to be his two best games, most likely, of the season. If we're talking about multi-touchdown games with over 100 in total yards and Rhamondre out, it could be worth seeing what the market looks like right now if people are going to overpay. The one thing that might make you pause, though, on that is the upcoming schedule matchups at Cincinnati and at New York. The Giants are literally the two best matchups in fantasy football. Those teams allow the two most rushing yards per game this year to opposing running backs. It doesn't stop there. You get the Buffalo Bills, who have been a pretty hot or cold defense in the fantasy postseason. The Baltimore Ravens, that you can run on this year. The New York Jets, that you can run on this year. If you play until week 18, the Miami Dolphins. There are literally, out of these next six weeks of the regular season for the NFL, five of those matchups are against bottom 10 defenses, and like four of them are against bottom five defenses. So, it's an unbelievable schedule. If you did want to hold Trevon Henderson, I don't blame you at all.
All right, next up, we got to go to the Giants because the Giants had a new quarterback this week, and it might only be one week because it was a concussion that kept Jalen Daniels out, but it was Jameis Winston. There's a lot of hype going into this on how much he's going to sustain the passing attack here, but more importantly, yes, there was a new quarterback, but there was also a new coach, right? Kafka is the coach. He's taking over as the interim head coach, calling plays, offensive coordinator, with Brian Daboll fired last week. So, although we don't have the quarterback that will probably be there the rest of the season in Jalen Daniels, we do have a new offense to see how it kind of rolled. So, Isaiah Hagens, he had to get signed to this team. He used to play on this team in the past with Darius Slayton out in this game. Had a bunch of different injuries. He actually led the team with five catches for 57 yards, basically off the couch. Theo Johnson, three catches, 36 yards, continued to earn targets. Wan'Dale Robinson led the team. He didn't lead the team. Four catches, 36 yards. Didn't lead the team, but he led the team with nine targets. Lots of short-area targets. So, in the passing attack, nobody really did anything because they completely turned to the ground game. 38 rush attempts in this game for the New York Giants. 19 for Saquon Barkley, who looked good, almost five yards per touch. 16 for, sorry, 16 carries for Devin Singletary, who, yeah, he had 16 carries. This was a split backfield on the ground. More importantly, Devin Singletary basically saw every single carry in the red zone. Literally, Tyron Tracy would have an amazing drive. He'd catch a pass for 20 yards on third down, a key third down. He'd then run for like 11, seven, eight. They would get to the 20-yard line, sub him out, put in Singletary the entire game. That's why Devin Singletary comes into this game and he goes out there and he sees two touchdowns compared to zero for Tyron Tracy. I will say though, Tyron Tracy, what was maybe one of the best games of his career? Not only did he have 19 carries, which is a large workload, right? He comes out here, he also has four catches, 51 yards. He comes out in this game and he's getting you like over 135 total yards. He's looking like a legit running back. He made multiple key plays on third down. A 20-yard reception, I think, a 14-yard reception to move the chains, breaking tackles in the backfield, all that. He looked awesome in this game. So, when you try to look at like personnel groupings, it's a little bit tough with Darius Slayton and Jalen Daniels hurt. But the one I want to really focus on is this backfield. Tyron Tracy, 37 snaps. Devin Singletary, 35 snaps. They both run 15 routes. Tyron Tracy earns more targets as a former wide receiver and better pass catcher, but this was a backfield that was legitimately split in terms of the snaps. Maybe part of this is because they ran so many plays in the red zone and that led to Singletary getting more snaps.
If we go down to, uh, player profile here, let's see if they have the running back splits. Uh, I don't think that they do, or this is PFF. I don't think that they do. But if you watch the game at all, Singletary had all the five-yard and inside-the-five and inside-the-20-yard carries for the most part. But I will say Singletary is worth an add because of this. But Tyron Tracy, probably a buy low. People are going to look at this and be like, "Oh, it's a complete split backfield." When one guy was on the field and Tracy way more efficient, was averaging two times the amount of yards per touch than Singletary and is active in both the pass and rush game. You can see kind of just some stats here from Ryan Heath. He says Jameis Winston now has not thrown a touchdown three of his last five starts. Okay, that doesn't really matter assuming Jalen Daniels is back next week. But he says Tyron Tracy still hasn't had a carry inside the 5-yard line all season. Singletary had four alone today, but both backs set season highs in weighted opportunities. So now, in back-to-back games, by the way, Tyron Tracy has now, in back-to-back games, set a new season high in carries and new season high in rushing yards and total yards. I think that's only going to continue. Maybe not setting it every single week, but just being this involved in the offense moving forward due to all the injuries that the Giants are dealing with. The fact that Jalen Daniels was told not to run as much should only help the running backs as well. And he just looked super good in this game and almost knocked off as a big underdog at home. The, uh, the Packers. I recently traded for Tyron Tracy in the Flock League. And part of that is because what we're going to get in the fantasy postseason heading into the fantasy playoffs, you're going to get beneficial matchups against the Commanders, Vikings defense that has been hot or cold. But then in the fantasy postseason, a Raiders bottom-five tackling team, a Cowboys bottom-five overall run defense at home. These are the matchups that I like in Tyron Tracy for a player who can be an RB2 for you down the stretch or at worst, a flex option.
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Next up, I want to talk about Christian Watson because this is a guy that we were telling you pretty much all the way back in August to put in your, spend your last pick in your draft on him, put him in your IR spot, and then you could pick up another player immediately because he could be worth something down the road. He's been a good wide receiver in the NFL when healthy. And man, oh man, is that panning out right now because the Packers are just dealing with so many injuries and just unreliable wide receivers going out there. Dontayvion Wicks, even Romeo Doubs this past week with multiple drops. Watson, in this game, by far their biggest playmaker, uh, maybe at any position with Josh Jacobs hurt. Four catches, 46 yards, multiple touchdowns in this game for Christian Watson. He goes out there, he has five targets, the second most on the team behind Romeo Doubs. Romeo Doubs is going to continue to be involved. He just has to, even though he had multiple key drops this past week. But outside of that, like Jaden Reed is not expected back until at the earliest, week 13. Tucker Kraft is done for the season. Dontayvion Wicks did not look good in this game. They're literally bringing Bo Melton, who used to be a receiver, then became a quarterback, now he's back to a wide receiver out there on the field because they need wide receiver health. Watson is showing a pulse and that he can actually catch the ball and make big plays right now. I think that's going to lead to more plays for him moving forward, especially if he keeps making plays like this one. You definitely saw it if you watch football at all on Sunday. I will not play it unfortunately because we've gotten too many, uh, hits from copyright, but I can just drag it along like this for you just to see that. Yeah, Christian Watson is down there somewhere. Basically double coverage, but a spot where only his wide receiver can make the catch. And Christian Watson, a player who struggled with drops during his rookie season, really has not struggled with drops since then, makes the catch for his second touchdown in this game. His first touchdown was also crazy from Malik Willis, the backup quarterback, who had to come in for a couple of plays with Jordan Love's shoulder banged up. It didn't even look like the ball was supposed to go to him, and he still makes an incredible catch.
In this game, more importantly now, Christian Watson's usage since recovering from his knee injury and returning a couple weeks ago, has been trending up. And in this game, he officially, for the first time this year, played more snaps than anybody on the team. 43 snaps out of a possible 55 in this game. He goes out there and, like we said, he's running a team-high 24 routes. The fact that there's no more Tucker Kraft and now it's Luke Musgrave, who they clearly don't start because they benched him. He only played 19 snaps compared to John Fitzpatrick, who is not much of a pass catcher, playing 35 snaps. Like the Packers offense is falling apart. They need Jaden Reed back immediately, as soon as possible, if they want any hope at moving the ball. But in terms of big plays right now, sure, when Romeo Doubs catches the ball, it will be him sometimes, but it's going to be Christian Jama number one on this team. Watson, especially with Josh Jacobs also hurt. And down the stretch, he has some nice matchups. I mean, you're looking at multiple matchups against the Bears secondary that is arguably the worst in the league, including one in the fantasy postseason on December 20th and then December 28th at home against the Ravens secondary that, although that Ravens defense is getting healthier and they look good this past weekend, albeit against Dillon Gabriel and the Shadeur Sanders, it is still a secondary that even when at full strength, you can still target this year.
And speaking of targeting this year, hopefully you did that with Woody Marks earlier in the season on the waiver wire or as a buy-low like we talked about last week because he didn't have another blow-up like he didn't have this blow-up box score this past week. So maybe you could even continue to buy low on him. But everything is confirming that he is the full-on workhorse in this backfield now for two straight weeks. 18 carries, just 2.4 yards per carry. That's kind of sad, especially in a good matchup against the Titans. But 18 carries, just three for Nick Chubb. And the earlier, or the later we get in the season, the worse it's going to get for the veteran running back Nick Chubb, who already does not look all that great when he gets carries in games. You scroll down, Woody Marks also adds a reception in this game as well. Seven yards goes for there. So you're getting 19 total touches in this game. What does that lead to overall in terms of his usage? He handled 66% of the snaps and 79% of the backfield opportunities. And this was a game that was a closer game script, right? If we talk about last week, last week Woody Marks saw 78% of the snaps, 70% of the rush attempts, 55% of the routes run. But that was in a game where the Texans were trailing by multiple scores against the Jaguars and had to come from behind in the fourth quarter, pause, and win that game. So, overall, like this was a situation that you could say, "Oh, it was just a game script. That's why Nick Chubb wasn't involved." Even though we knew it wasn't. Woody Marks started that game, saw the first couple of drives of that game. But this past week, in a much closer game that was 16-13, that for most of this game at halftime it was 3-0, that the Texans at best were leading this game 10-6, I believe. Like this was a close game the entire time, and they still leaned on Woody Marks. Doesn't look like Joe Mixon is coming back this year. Doesn't look like Nick Chubb is going to regain this backfield. Rest of season, this should be Woody Marks' backfield, and that matters. That matters because this is a guy who is efficient on the ground, can pass protect. That's why he's earning a larger role. But more importantly for your fantasy leagues, this is a guy who all he does is catch passes. In college specifically, 83 catches in a season is insane for any position, let alone a running back. Then 48, insane for a running back. 23 is above average for a running back, and 47. This is a guy who had over 200 college catches. And now you're going to put him into a Texans offense that probably most weeks he's going to be in trailing game scripts when they're not facing the worst team in football. Like this past week when you saw them go up against the Tennessee Titans. If we look ahead at their schedule next week at home, or Thursday night football, it is at home against the Bills, probably going to be trailing. Uh, against the Colts, a good offense, probably going to be trailing. Against the Chiefs, probably going to be trailing. Uh, even against the Chargers in the fantasy playoffs, probably going to be trailing. And then they get, uh, great matchups against a bad Cardinals defense, bad Raiders defense. So, like, rest of season, Woody Marks either has good matchups on the ground or matchups where his team should be trailing and he could probably earn four or five receptions. So, I think my takeaway right now, and we'll talk about maybe later in the week, is to continue to buy low on Woody Marks.
Now, the next offense I want to talk about is the Carolina Panthers, led by Bryce Young. Because this past week, the Carolina Panthers offense, oh boy, did it go off on the back of 31 of 45 from Bryce Young, 448 yards from Bryce Young. He averaged 10 yards per completion or per attempt in this game, three touchdowns as well. Uh, all of this despite being sacked like five times in this game, despite constantly facing pressure. And the Carolina Panthers, they're now six and five. They beat the Atlanta Falcons 30 to 27 on the back of Bryce Young and on the back of this passing attack. Multiple pass catchers got involved, but no, nobody got more involved than the top 10 overall pick, Terrace Marshall Jr., who for the most part this year, week in and week out, has been consistent. He's like consistently earned, I don't know, a 25% target share. Some weeks he looks good out there for like 60 to 70 yards. He just never put it all together because Bryce Young was never putting it all together or healthy. But man, did that change this past week. Eight catches, 130 yards, two touchdowns. The breakout game of all breakout games. Over 30 points for the top 10 overall pick, Terrace Marshall Jr. He looked like Drake London out there. He looked like, at times, Mike Evans out there, the guys that he was compared to coming into the league. But it wasn't just him. I mean, you count them. One, two, three, four, five different receivers. When your quarterback is throwing for 450 yards, go for at least 50 yards in this game. Xavier Legette has another nice game. He's had a few of those this year. By far having a better season this year despite dealing with injuries, four catches, 83 yards, and a touchdown. Rico Dowdle got activated not as a runner in this game but as a receiver for five catches for 55 yards and the best game of Jalen Coker's season, although a lot of it was dealt with injuries, four catches for 52 yards. So, the Panthers offense comes alive in this game. Now, part of the stuff I want to call out here is that on the opposing side of this, the Falcons, a defense that looked like one of the best defenses in football the first month of the season, whether it's on the ground or in the air, right now doesn't look like that good of a defense anymore. But specifically for Terrace Marshall Jr., the buy-low window has officially closed. If you bought low on him, if you've had him on your bench and you've been stashing him, don't do that anymore. Have him in your roster. Terrace Marshall Jr., he set a career-high in receiving yards, 130 today or on Sunday, but he had four red zone targets and 36 fantasy points. But really, nothing changed for his role. Saw a 27% target share. It just happened to be, uh, compared to a 25% target share for his season average. It just happened to be a game where his quarterback goes off. So, there is like a world where you say, "Okay, I bought low on Terrace Marshall Jr. Let's play the game now." The, uh, the buy low, sell high. Do I sell high? As always, I'll say see what the offer is out there. If you could swap a Terrace Marshall Jr. for like a top 25 overall player or so, like maybe a Jaylen Waddle at this point, I don't think it's a terrible idea, especially with Waddle going on bye, maybe you can get him for a little bit cheaper. Not a terrible idea, but depends on your offer. Rest of season for the Panthers. They're going to be in in some favorable spots here in terms of game script. Like next week against the 49ers, banged-up defense, they might play from behind, especially with Brock Purdy back. Against the Rams, they likely will play from behind. That's a tougher matchup. But then you start to head into the fantasy postseason, you get matchups against the Saints heading in. Two matchups against the Buccaneers, awesome. That Buccaneers defense has not looked good all year. The bad thing, though, would be at home against the Seahawks on December 28th in the fantasy postseason. But outside of that, probably going to get some trailing game scripts. So you can see some more targets for Terrace Marshall Jr.
All right, next up, we got to talk about the Commanders backfield because early in the day on Sunday in Madrid, Spain, the overseas Europe game. This backfield completely changed. It had been, for the most part, the past, I don't know, two months, Jaret Patterson usually getting like a dozen carries per game and guys like Jeremy McNichols and Chris Rodriguez filtering in. This past week, though, Dan Quinn, the head coach of the Commanders, in a press conference said that they were actually going to lean on Chris Rodriguez. Now, we didn't know what that meant, but normally means he's going to see most of the work, if not all of it. But that kind of felt strange because why is Jaret Patterson all of a sudden not being involved? Well, simply put, it might be because he just hasn't been good. Because in this game, Patterson still was involved. Krosky Merritt, nine carries, 28 yards. But once again, he just wasn't good. Three yards per carry. Compared to Chris Rodriguez, who quietly at this point in his career, the former, uh, Kentucky running back in college, he's always been efficient. 15 carries, 79 yards, 5.3, uh, yards per attempt. He also adds in this game a reception for six yards. So, you're seeing 16 total touches in this game for him. You're still getting double-digit touches, 10 touches for Jaret Krosky Merritt, but Chris Rodriguez was clearly the better back, and he was the back who was involved way more. According to PFF, Chris Rodriguez comes into this game and they do lean on him. He plays a team-high 30 snaps out of 67. 18 for Jaret Krosky Merritt, 17 for Jeremy McNichols. I'm going to be honest, Chris Rodriguez is indeed worth a waiver wire add after seeing 16 carries after being highly efficient, and maybe Jalen Daniels, if this team can win some games, comes back, although I'm skeptical. But man, if three running backs are still seeing 17, uh, 17 snaps at least in this game, three running backs are seeing at least four carries targets in this game, like what is really the upside for Chris Rodriguez? Like, this past week is probably the upside. Ideally, he finds the end zone moving forward. But let's just break it down right here. If we look at what this backfield was looking like, according to PFF, Chris Rodriguez, he's getting all the short-yardage work. He's this light blue color right here. He's getting most of the early down and goal-line work. So, that's all good as well. But when you look at Jeremy McNichols, he's the light green, 100% all seven snaps in the two-minute offense, six out of seven snaps on third down. And then you're basically getting Jaret Krosky just splitting some early down carries. So, Jaret Krosky's role is pointless now. He's not getting goal-line work. He's not getting passing down work. Jeremy McNichols, though, is seeing all the passing down and third down work, which really hurts the upside of Chris Rodriguez. It's just a messy backfield. Sure, you could probably add Chris Rodriguez. He's going to be a priority at this point in the season, getting that many carries and looking that good, but I don't really know if there's that much upside to kind of put a pin on this.
As you can see right here, the Commanders' backfield, according to Ryan Heath, meaningfully shifted toward Chris Rodriguez. He hit a season-high 53% of the backfield carries while Jaret Krosky Merritt fell to 32%, his lowest since before the Ekeler injury. Now, if we were to look at this rest of season matchups against the Broncos coming up, not great. The Vikings, hit or miss, not great. Then you get some nice matchups, uh, heading into the fantasy postseason with the Giants and the Cowboys, but multiple matchups against the Eagles in there. So, I am a little bit concerned. Like, outside of that week 16 matchup, I believe, against the Dallas Cowboys in the fantasy postseason, where you could probably put him in your flex spot if you're in a bind, I don't really know where you're starting Chris Rodriguez outside of maybe week 14 if you got like McCaffrey and Tyron Tracy on by.
All right, we've talked about a bunch of players in this video, and a lot of them could be potentially waiver adds because of all the stuff that just happened in week 11. So, if you want to see for free my number one waiver add at every single position, you can check it out now at the link in the description below or by heading to waiverwins.com. That takes you to this page. You just enter your email right here. Once you enter your email, I then send you the number one waiver add at every single position, not just for this week, but rest of season. It'll take you to this page where it just tells you a little bit about what to expect. Tells you that it's basically going to go in your email now. And more importantly, right here, if you don't find the email in your inbox in the next couple of minutes, please check your spam and also check your promotional folders as well. It should be in there within like one to three minutes. If you don't see it after like five, check your spam and promotional folders. That is waiverwins.com. Link in the description below.
Next up, you got to talk about the guy who arguably had the best game of, uh, definitely his season, but of the entire week, uh, this past week. We'll talk about another guy who had an impressive week, but that's Sean Tucker at the running back position. Uh, because this has been building for a couple of weeks now, kind of in the background. They've been saying they want to get Sean Tucker more involved since Bucky Irving has been hurt. He's been seeing more carries. He scored a touchdown last week as well. I tried to get him in the Flock League on the waivers, but Zack bid more money than me. I put two, he put six. Anyways, my regrets are still there not going higher after this past week. Sean Tucker goes 19 carries, 106 yards, 5.6, 2.6 yards per touch, two rushing touchdowns. Let's not stop there. Let's add 34 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown in this game as well. Sean Tucker had 135 yards, three touchdowns in this game. He's scoring like 35 fantasy points. He looks so explosive after contact. It looked a lot like that game against the Saints last year when he ended up going out there with Bucky Irving when Rachaad White was injured and he took over that game. Now, overall in this game, Rachaad White still started and played more snaps. He played 43 of 71 snaps, but it really happened like in the second quarter. Sean Tucker had his first long touchdown run down the right sideline. And since that point, moving forward, they gave Sean Tucker a lot more work. He finished the game with 31 of a possible 71 snaps, but he commanded a lot of the second half touches in this game. Overall, when you look at it at the end of the day, he actually led the team with 19 carries compared to just 10 for Rachaad White, who Rachaad White actually looked efficient in this game as well, over five yards per carry after not looking all that efficient lately. So, this is something that's important. Sean Tucker is definitely worth a waiver wire add now because at very worst, even if Bucky Irving was to return from his injury in week 12, which is no guarantee, it looks like Sean Tucker could be carving out the backup role behind a running back who's been banged up with multiple injuries this year. Here's Ryan Heath just talking about it. He said after Sean Tucker ripped off a 43-yard touchdown in the second quarter, he out-touched Rachaad White 12-2 in the second half. He easily set a season high in carries, or at 67%, 66% in this game. Now, obviously, the one caveat, Bucky Irving with his foot and shoulder injuries was seen practicing on Wednesday in limited fashion. He ended up closing the week in limited fashion, but he didn't play. He was ruled out yet again. So, obviously, normally when you get three limited fashions in a row, limited participants at least for practice, you're usually suiting up. Seems like this injury is not yet 100% healed. So, there's a chance that Sean Tucker could start in week 12. Rest of season schedule, but more importantly, next week the schedule against the Rams, not a good matchup at all for Sean Tucker if he did have to play. But then after that, you're getting some nice spots. The Cardinals at home, the Saints at home. Um, you're also getting the Falcons at home, and then in the fantasy postseason, you look at the Panthers and the Dolphins. Like the final five to six matchups of the season for this Bucs team are awesome. Whether that's Bucky Irving coming back from injury or Sean Tucker, and when Bucky Irving comes back, he'll probably be somewhat limited after missing the past two months of the season. So I do expect Tucker to be involved and at very worst be a top handcuff in fantasy. So he'll be worth an ad for sure.
All right, the next situation we have to look at is the Denver Broncos backfield because this was a changing backfield as well with Javonte Williams ruled out for the season just days before this game, and a lot of expectations was that Jaleel McLaughlin was going to command the backfield in this one, and Tyler Badie and Samaje Perine would maybe be involved a little bit, but not a ton. What did we get in this game? 11 carries for Jaleel McLaughlin, 30 yards. Six carries for Samaje Perine. So no carries for Tyler Badie. So, in some ways, Jaleel McLaughlin, who saw almost double the amount of carries in this game, did command the backfield, but early on in this game, it was like a 50-50 split for the first half. You scroll down here, Jaleel McLaughlin, where he contributes probably most as a dynamic player, three catches for 20 yards in this game as a receiver. Samaje Perine only had one catch, negative five yards. So, overall, the touchdowns, 12 for Jaleel McLaughlin, seven for Samaje Perine. Maybe you were expecting a little bit more, but it was a difficult matchup against the Chiefs, which the Broncos actually pulled that game off. Pretty good game. This is where things get really interesting was just the overall usage when you actually break it down. 38 out of a possible 62 snaps for, uh, Jaleel McLaughlin, over 60% of the snaps, easily a season high. No other running back saw more than eight. Eight snaps for Samaje Perine, eight snaps for Tyler Badie in this game. So, yeah, overall, like even though the box score just shows you 12 carries for, or 11 carries for 30 yards, doesn't look great, and six carries for Perine, Perine only played eight snaps in this game. So, easily Jaleel McLaughlin was on the field the most, just didn't get a ton of plays from that. But if that continues, if he remains on the field, the back that they trust, he's going to keep seeing more than just 12 touches like he did this past week. You can see the backfield breakdown right here. According to Ryan Heath, he says Jaleel McLaughlin had 65% of the carries, 8% of the targets, 68% of the backfield opportunities compared to Samaje Perine, who did, did get two out of the three carries inside the 10-yard line. So that is a little bit concerning. But overall, the profile for Jaleel McLaughlin, who's averaging over five yards per touch this season, the rookie that they spent significant draft capital on in the second round, we're probably going to get to see that the rest of the season moving forward. Uh, because this game is an indication, if you're playing nearly 70% of the snaps, that you're probably the guy now in the backfield as we expect, and probably a decent buy-low candidate after this past week only having like, I don't know, seven or eight fantasy points. Amazing matchups coming up. Matchups against the Commanders, matchups against the Raiders, matchups against the Jaguars, and oh yeah, a Packers defense that just got smashed by both Devin Singletary and Tyron Tracy on the ground. These matchups are going to be great. The one downside for this backfield, though, is that in the fantasy postseason, the Chiefs, the Chargers, not great matchups by any means, but hopefully by that point, he has a more solidified role, especially as a pass catcher.
Now, earlier I mentioned Sean Tucker was like the guy who was maybe the highlight of the entire weekend in fantasy. But there's one other player who would like to rival that outside of your obvious like Christian McCaffreys and obvious names that are popping off every single week. And that new name and that new face has to do with the wide receiver core from the Arizona Cardinals. It is this first game with Marvin Harrison out. That's why this is a takeaway. This was going to be a takeaway either way to see what the wide receiver target share looked like with not only Marvin Harrison out, but also Zay Jones because earlier this season when Marvin Harrison was out, Zay Jones led the team in catches, targets, and receiving yards amongst all positions. So, both of those guys are now out. So, what does this wide receiver room look like when it's led by Michael Wilson, Greg Dortch, and obviously tight end Trey McBride? Let's take a look at it. Oh my goodness. 15 catches, 185 yards for Michael Wilson, who in this game gets 18 targets. I mean, Jamar Chase level production is what you're getting here. Uh, if you remember Jamar Chase's first couple of games with Joe Flacco, every single target I, I mean, I was watching this game. Then I went on a walk around halftime and I come out in the second half and I'm looking at my phone on updates trying to watch like the quad box on your phone, which is just a terrible experience. It's like impossible. But I'm trying to look at the, the stats. Every single stat is like, "Oh yeah, seven-yard catch to, oh, incomplete pass to Michael Wilson." Kyler Murray was just hammering targets to Michael Wilson, especially in garbage time in the in the fourth quarter of that game. Both Michael Wilson and Trey McBride got there, and it's because they were down big. We showed the score earlier. The 49ers ended up winning 41 to 22, but that also includes 12 points from the Cardinals in the fourth quarter during garbage time. So, they were just running the ball, moving the ball downfield. But the important takeaway here is that I mean Kyler Murray is going to be the starter on this team for probably the rest of the season. It seems like I know they said six to eight weeks. That means basically the rest of the season. This past game, 47 of 57 passes completed, 452 yards. This guy is going to chuck the ball, especially how bad their defense is. Um, and it seems like for the time being, Michael Wilson, 15 catches, and obviously Trey McBride, 10, and maybe even Greg Dortch, 6 for 66 and a last-second touchdown in garbage time, could be worth a waiver add for you. But this is important. I mean, Marvin Harrison in his absence, Wilson put up 185 receiving yards and a 32% target share. Marvin Harrison has only exceeded a 30% target share twice in his career and hasn't had 100 yards in a single game this season. Look, I know Marvin Harrison has some lovers and he has a lot of haters out there, and he's been inconsistent. Some of it's his fault, some of it's not. Michael Wilson literally just did something Marvin Harrison has never done in his first game. Maybe it's a coincidence, but Michael Wilson is a good wide receiver. It's not like this is some random receiver who came out of nowhere. No, this is a legitimate ex-wide receiver, 6'1", 216 pounds. In his past seasons in the NFL, when he's had to compete with guys like Marvin Harrison, like last year, he still had 47 catches for 548 yards in a bad offense led by Kyler Murray. In college, he came out, he kind of had like a medical condition coming out of Stanford. So, he fell a little bit in the draft. Um, you can see here, he never put up major production because of his health. He only had like 418 yards, his highest total in his final three years. But, he only played four, four and six games. Like, he missed so much time in college. He, uh, he missed like 70% of his games his final three years, which is why he fell in the drafts. Not a lot of people trusted him as a prospect. Probably would have been a second-round pick by most people's standards. Went in the late third round because of these health issues. But now we're getting to see the dude break out, and it's awesome. And here's the thing. Marvin Harrison, he didn't play in week 11 because he underwent surgery for appendicitis. There's a chance that he misses future weeks as well moving forward, is what they were saying. And if that's the case, uh, Michael Wilson probably has to be the top waiver add behind Emanuel Wilson and Christian Watson this week. The schedule right now, Jaguars, awesome schedule. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, awesome schedule coming up in the fantasy postseason. Matchups against the Falcons defense that has looked bad, and the Bengals defense. Yeah, I know Michael Wilson by the time he has that matchup in week 16 against the Bengals, probably at that point Marvin Harrison will come back and the target shares will get a little bit more, uh, uh, separated. But it looks like Kyler Murray likes throwing way more to Michael Wilson on this one-game sample than he ever did Marvin Harrison.
All right, so these are the key takeaways and the most important takeaways from week 11 fantasy football and how they're going to help you not only in week 12 but the rest of the season moving forward. You got to know this information, and now that you do, before your friends, you're going to have all the ability in the world to smack them around. Now, on Tuesday this week, the waiver wire video will pop up right here once it's ready. Be sure to check it out. And also, be sure to subscribe. Make sure you're double-checking that you're subscribed. We are less than 1,000 subscribers away from 200,000. That's a major goal of mine. So, I appreciate you all a ton in advance. And I'll see you all in the next.