Transcription
The NFL draft is over, and there are five rookies who could absolutely break fantasy football this year. Some of these players landed on the perfect teams for their fantasy value. And one player might even be the steal of the draft. Let's get into it.
Now, let's start off with Chris Bell. He's out of Louisville. He was a third-round pick for the Miami Dolphins. And this guy is a monster. He's 6'2", 222 lbs. He's known to play physical. Some people have compared him to AJ Brown. I think that's a little bit extreme, but I understand in terms of the size-speed comparisons. Unfortunately, we never got to see that speed at the NFL combine because he did tear his ACL in December. However, he was clocked at running 18 mph in-game, and a lot of people suspected that he was going to run a 4-3. So, a 4-3 at 222 lbs. If he was able to go out there and actually show that and wasn't coming off a December ACL tear, which might impact his rookie season, this is probably a second-round pick, not a third-round pick, no doubt about it.
So, the Dolphins took a little bit of a risk on him, and you can see last year at Louisville, his production spiked. 110 targets, a career-high 72 catches, 917 yards, a 27% target share. All of these were career highs for Chris Bell. And you got to see the nice thing here. His production all four years in college continuously improved. And the film last year, I mean, it didn't lie. This is a legitimate wide receiver in my opinion. A very good wide receiver. And the most important part, people will call out, "Oh, he played at Louisville. It's not the SEC. It's not the Big 10. He's not facing the meanest, the toughest uh defenses that are getting to the College Football Championship." I get that. But when Chris Bell faced his toughest competition, he delivered. This three-game stretch is fantastic. He faced a Pitt team that was good last year. They were ranked at times. 10 catches, 135 yards, and a touchdown. Then he faces a ranked Virginia team. 12 catches, 170 yards, two touchdowns. Then he faces Miami, arguably the best defense in the country, college football championship. They went to number two ranked when he faced them. Nine catches, 136 yards, and two touchdowns. To be specific, that 136 yards was second the second most yards that Miami allowed to any wide receiver not named Jeremiah Love. If you're not familiar, Jeremiah Love next year will probably be a top five pick in the NFL draft. He's the best wide receiver in college football. That's how good Chris Bell was. He dominated Miami's defense.
Now, check out this stat that I found. Let's see if we can make it bigger. Here we go. On Twitter from Adam Carter, he basically says this. Out of wide receivers since 2019, so you're talking the past seven drafts or so, power four wide receivers that had a single season yards per route run above 4.25. 25. So, we're talking as elite as it gets on a per-route basis. And when they were targeted, their passer rating was above 130. This is the complete list over the last seven years. Look at some of the names on this list. Devonte Smith, my opinion, stud wide receiver. Trey Harris was a second-round pick. He was a big producer at Old Miss, still yet to be seen in the NFL. Then there's Carell Tate, top five pick in this draft. JSN, the best wide receiver in last year's draft. There's Jaylen Wadd, Jamar Chase, arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL right now. T. Higgins, Chris Bell himself, Maris Brown who was a stud for the Ravens back in the day, Justin Ross, who had his own off-the-field issues, and Kyle Williams entering year two with the Patriots. It's still yet to be seen, BUT FOR THE MOST PART, THIS LIST, we can all agree, is very good that Chris Bell has found himself on this list.
Of course, there's the downsides, the fact that he's coming off of this torn ACL. Obviously, that's going to be the biggest weakness, the biggest thing the naysayers talk about, but he's a young player. He's recovering quick. He's already running/sprinting. You can see that in the video that we showed earlier. Granted, this is just on a flat surface on a treadmill, but this is a player like look, he's not running a five-minute mile or anything like that anywhere near this, but this is a guy who's probably running an eight, a seven-minute mile. This is pretty quick speed. Like it seems like that knee is holding up. Again, that's straight-line speed. That's going to come back to you a couple of months after a torn ACL, maybe 3, four months at most. So, we still have to see cutting and stuff in OTAA, but he should be ready by week one. That's 10 months out. Takes nine months for young guys these days to recover from a torn ACL.
Now, here's the draft picks for the Dolphins. At least some of them. They had a ton of draft picks, but as you can see right here in the third round, they took Caleb Douglas, a field stretcher out of Texas Tech before they took Chris Bell, which was very surprising. Caleb Douglas was outside the top 200 consensus wide receivers, but they still got Chris Bell. And this is very important because look at the depth chart for the Miami Dolphins. Entering the NFL draft, their depth chart was Malik Washington. No longer Nick Westbrook, he's now on the Colts. So it was Malik Washington, Jaylen Tolbert, and 22 Atwell. That was their starting three wide receiver sets. So now you throw in Caleb Douglas. You throw in Chris Bell himself, another rookie that they drafted, they drafted three rookie wide receivers. They needed wide receivers in Kevin Coleman. Uh, and this starts to look like a wide-open depth chart because let's not forget their leading receiver last year, Jaylen Wadd, 100 targets, they traded him to the Denver Broncos this off-season. Tyreek Hill, who had an injury last season, Tyreek Hill has been released. So, this is a totally new wide receiver room. You're talking about a wide receiver room that in terms of returning players, the leading receiver, Malik Washington, 317 yards, is the leading receiver currently on the team given that there's rookies and free agent signings like Jaylen Tolbert and 22 Atwell now on this team. I mean, that's insane. It's full steam ahead. Like Chris Bell at some point, if not right away this season, could be the number one wide receiver for Malik Willis. And honestly, their play styles fit pretty well. Chris Bell on the outside using his size, his speed to win downfield. Malik Willis loves a big downfield throw, 20 plus yards, big playability. That's what we saw all of last year, including in the last game, we got to see Malik Willis start where before getting injured in the second half. He had 288 passing yards and a touchdown against the Ravens and then he had nine carries for 60 yards and multiple touchdowns. So, I think this fit with Chris Bell and Malik Willis makes a lot of sense. You're going to get a lot of speed and a lot of big plays downfield in my opinion.
Now, the next player I want to talk about is Nick Singleton out of Penn State. Nick Singleton was drafted in the fifth round by the Tennessee Titans. He is a 6' 219lb running back and he kind of has some similarities to uh Chris Bell in terms of neither guy was able to test in the pre-draft process. Chris Bell tore his ACL in December while Nick Singleton is dealing with his own injury from January because at the Senior Bowl in January, it's supposed to be a showcase, a place an all-star game to show off Penn State Nick uh Nick Singleton on the third day at the Senior Bowl practices ended up breaking his foot. He had to have surgery. He then missed the NFL combine, which for a player who is rumored to be running in the four threes at nearly 220 pounds, he probably would have been right there with Mike Washington in this draft class as the most athletic running back, probably would have went in round four at the latest, maybe round three instead of round five. The broken foot hurt him. But unfortunately, that wasn't the only thing that hurt him. A very bad 2025 season also hurt Nick Singleton. A career-high 549 rushing yards. This was a player who had just 24 catches last year, his lowest in the past three seasons at Penn State. But let's be honest here. Penn State's coach got fired. Their whole season went to Drew Allar, their quarterback, he got hurt. He was out for the season. They brought in a defensive-minded interim head coach who leaned on Kron Kron Allen, the more physical grinder traditional running back. Nick Singleton's motivations weren't there. Now, of course, that's still a negative. If your motivations aren't there, and you maybe somewhat give up on the season, but at the same time, the whole offense fell apart. The whole offense changed with a new coaching staff in there mid-season. That's not great.
But let's not forget that Nick Singleton was a five-star recruit in this recruiting class. in his eight true freshman season at 18 years old at Penn State in the Big 10 over a thousand rushing yards, 13 touchdowns, a career-high 6.8 yards per attempt. 2023 was a somewhat down year before a massive 2024 season career year. Uh 1,000 rushing yards, 17 touchdowns, 41 receptions for 375 yards on a 12% target share. I mean, this guy was absolutely dominant as you can see right here. 12% target share, just 20 years old. If he would have come out after that 2024 season and not try to chase a national championship and run it back with Kron Allen, Drew and the guys in 2025, Nick Singleton was probably a second-round pick in last year's draft class. So, like I mentioned, he ends up going in the fifth round due to the injury, due to the bad 2025 season to the Tennessee Titans. And honestly, this isn't the worst landing spot. You're going to have Tony Pard there. By all accounts, in my opinion, as of right now, Tony Pard, the veteran running back, will be the RB1 for Tennessee to start the season. I don't think it's going to be Nicholas Singleton, BUT TAJ SPEARS'S JOB. OH, YEAH. That's on the line. I don't think Taj Spears is safe at all. This is a guy who's missed over the past two seasons nine games. He has his own long-term knee issues that maybe he doesn't even get to his second contract for a player in a contract year, not guaranteed to be on the team next season. Nick Singleton could beat him out for that pass-catching role. Eight to 10 touches a game in the Titans offense as soon as week one. I mean, what is Taj Spears giving this team? Sure, when he was drafted, he was like this exciting dual-threat player who was taking significant touches away from Derrick Henry and snaps, right? But since then, he's just dealt with injuries. This is a guy who only had 283 rushing yards last year in his 13 games. I think Nick Singleton is coming for Taj Spear's job uh really quick. And then Tony Pard ended last year strong like over his last five games averaging over 100 total yards per game. But he is turning 29 years old. This is his age 29 season. He has dealt with injuries in the past. Don't be shocked if Nick Singleton, who does profile out like a three-down back, 220 pounds, if he starts to see significant work in the second half of the season.
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Alrighty. Next up, let's talk about another Tennessee Titans rookie. This guy who went a lot earlier in Cardinal Tate. He was their number four overall pick in the first round. 6'2, 292 pounds out of Ohio State, the number one wide receiver by consensus in this draft class. And that's exactly where he went. He's just 21 years old. Now, a lot of people were concerned at the NFL combine because there's nothing else to talk about around that time with a Super Bowl over. No more football. Everybody's jumping up and down. Oh my god, Carell Tate ran a 45340 time. Oh my god, that's below average for a guy who's supposed to be a top 10 wide receiver. It didn't hurt him. NFL GMs, wide receiver coaches, I get it. It's a weaker class. He still went top five overall because they're smart. They actually understand what's happening. Cardinal Tate, based on his film, is not a player who was going to run a 4-3 or a low 4-4. He was going to run around a four-five. That's who Carnell Tate is. His play style shows that he's a good route runner. He could win contested catches. He's a polished wide receiver. He's not a downfield burner. And that's okay. And that's exactly why the Titan Tennessee Titans, they did their homework. They got their second-year quarterback Cam Ward a legitimate wide receiver. I think he should be their wide receiver one as soon as this year out of Ohio State and Carnell Tate.
This is a player who last year put up a career-high 875 receiving yards uh on 65 targets and a 16% target share at Ohio State. Are those numbers impressive? Uh on the surface, no. A 16% target share isn't great for a top five overall draft pick. But then you add in the context. This man was playing last year and the year before that at Ohio State with legitimate wide receivers. Jeremiah Smith who had over,200 receiving yards last year and the year before that Jeremiah Smith was there in some other wide receivers. Jeremiah Smith if you're not familiar is the best wide receiver in college football. Uh barring an injury or a terrible season out of nowhere will be a top five pick probably in the NFL draft next year. So yeah, Cardinal Tape putting up nearly 900 yards next to one of the best wide receiver prospects we will probably see since I don't know Jamar Chase is going to be seen as a good thing. I guarantee it will be seen as a good thing moving forward. There's a reason why he was still a top five pick despite not having a thousand-yard season last year. The film doesn't lie. He was just competing against the best of the best. Like we're not knocking T. Higgins if he only has a thousand-yard season in the NFL because Jamar Chase went for 1,700 yards a couple years ago right now. According to Matt Harmon, who has the site reception perception, he charted wide receivers. He's been doing it for a while. Be sure to give him a follow and check out his site. He said Cardinal Tate's 77% success rate verse man coverage is the seventh best mark for a prospect since the 2021 class that he's been charting. He had zero drop passes last year and posted an all-time contested catch rate. So this is a top seven receiver against man coverage. That's how good of a polished route runner he is. Again, he's not a downfield burner. He doesn't need 433 speed, which usually doesn't pan out in the NFL. He doesn't need that to win. He does it based on his route running nuances and his high IQ.
Now he lands on a depth chart that surprisingly and quickly is much improved since last year. Now last year their leading wide receiver was Ella Imanor, a fourth-round rookie who had 515 receiving yards. Calvin Ridley was dealing with multiple injuries including a season-ending injury. Wanda Robinson is a free agent addition who comes over with Brian Dable from the Giants. Back-to-back seasons of 140 plus targets there. Pretty interesting because he has the same coach this year and Brian Dable coming to the Titans from the Giants. And Shamir DK had like 400 yards and change last year for the Titans. More so like a big special teams all-purpose yard type player return man. So uh yeah overall here like I'm not too concerned about the target competition for Carnell Tate to start right away. I mean he's a top five pick. He should be a starter because in terms of how this rotation should work and here's the leading receivers like their overall leading receiver was Chigaku a tight end who's no longer on the team 560 yards last year. Then it's their two fourth-round rookies in Alec Imanor and Jamir DK and then it was a a rookie in Gunner Helm from last year. Van Jefferson no longer on the team Calum Ridley coming off of an injury. Like there's just nobody here who is commanding a lot of yardage production and targets. Cardinal Tate should be dropped right into this offense. They're starting three wide receiver sets. Should be Cal Ridley on the outside. Cardinal Tate, Wanda Robinson in the slot, Ella Kimor, and Shamir DK backing those guys up. And look, I mentioned this, but Brian Table is now the offensive coordinator on the Titans. And I get it, he was fired from the Giants. Real-life success might not be there, at least with the Giants. But if you look at his fantasy production, he creates fantasy-friendly environments and fantasy-friendly players. Uh Jackson Dart last year, stud rookie quarterback, late-round pick. Cam Scataboo was great. Wandell Robinson 140 targets the last two seasons. Malik Neighbors in his rookie season, 170 targets, was fantastic. So, I'm not worried about the Titans offense. I'm actually excited for it with Brian Dable with Cam Ward entering year two with more weapons. I think this is going to help everybody involved. Let's not forget when Brian Dable had a rookie Malik Neighbors two years ago who I think is levels better than Cardinal Tate. But when he had Malik Neighbors, Neighbors in that rookie season was fed 170 targets, over,200 receiving yards. This was even in a season when Wild Nell Robinson was the number two on the team with 140 targets of his own. So I'm not going to say Cardinal Tate is as good as Malik Neighbors. I don't think he is. I'm not going to say he's going to get 170 targets. I don't think he will, but I do think Brian Dable knows how to use his personnel and his most talented players.
Next up, let's stick with the rookie first-round receivers and let's go to Jordan Tyson, who I believe might actually be the best wide receiver in this class now that we have the landing spot. He was taken eighth overall by the New Orleans Saints. I think they got a steal there. I thought the Chiefs when they traded up to number six were going to take Tyson, but they took Mansor Delane, the quarterback instead. This is a 6'2, 203 pound wide receiver and Jordan Tyson. I like this profile a lot. I like the landing spot a lot. And just like we talked about with Nicholas Singleton and we talked about with Chris Bell, Jordan Tyson also did not test in the pre-draft process at the NFL combine due to an injury. And that was the big concern with him, right? You can see from this tweet by ZCance FF on Twitter, he has a long injury history. ACL, MCL, PCL injury, a multi-leg ligament knee injury. That's all one injury. Uh and then he has the collarbone fracture and then the hamstring injury, which apparently got reinjured. It's why he couldn't test at the NFL combine. It's why just a couple of days before the NFL draft, he held a private workout where he ran some routes, he caught passes, and he basically just showed teams that he was healthy. You can see a snippet of that right here. Uh just kind of the short-area quickness. He's a human joystick is basically what Jordan Schultz put on this tweet. Like you're not doing these things, the pushoff, the quick movement, the acceleration upfield. I know this is just one 5-second clip, but if your hamstring is still sore, pulled, or achy, you're not doing these things. Trust me, from somebody who had a hamstring injury to hamstring tendonitis, the hamstring pulls, and all these different injuries, you're not doing that. If your hamstring is still banged up, you're not doing the quick twitch movements. You're not moving back and forth. You're not accelerating like that. He seems to be healthy, which makes sense. Even the worst hamstring injuries, assuming it's not tendinitis, only are going to take a couple of months to heal.
And that's a good thing that Jordan Tyson appears healthy because if he can stay healthy, the last time we saw a healthy Jordan Tyson in 2024, like a full season's worth, over 1100 yards, an insane 30% target share at Arizona State, 75 catches. He continued to do this last year in 2025 through nine games before the hamstring injury with another 100 targets, 711 yards, a 23% target share. I mean, this guy was dominant in college at Arizona State. Let's look at that 2024 season. He had those 1100 yards in that season. Cam Scataboo was on the team then. He had 65 receiving yards. The next closest receiver, Xavier Xavier Gillaroy had 339 yards. So Jordan Tyson literally had more than 3x the next wide receiver on the team in receiving yards. That's how dominant this guy was. And the film don't lie. I'll lean on Matt Harmon for the film. The guy watches every single route he charts it all. You can see right here, he says Jordan Tyson's 85.6% success rate verse zone coverage, which is not only the best result in this draft class, but it's the fifth best mark since he's been charting since 2025. And then he said he's excellent in the intermediate area. Jordan Tyson, if he's healthy, will be the next freak wide receiver. I don't know if he's going to be like a Garrett Wilson type wide receiver, but he's just going to be an absolute monster. He has the size, he has the build, he plays with physicality, and might be the best route runner right up there with like a Casey Conception in this class.
And he landed on a very quality depth chart. Like look, Chris is there. He was a stud last year for fantasy. He was one of our biggest hits in the fantasy blueprint. Be sure to check out this year's fantasy blueprint at jointhebloopprint.com. Currently available at the cheapest prices. But at the end of the day, Alav ended up balling out because of this. He was fed targets, 156 targets, was fifth in the NFL, 100 receptions because the guy had no target competition. This is the Saints target competition last year. It was Chris Ave dominating for 156 targets. And then Jawan Johnson had over 100 targets. Look, former wide receiver now turned into a tight end Jawan Johnson. I think he was actually quality last year, but if your offense is giving that guy over a 100 targets and nearly 900 receiving yards per game, that's a problem. Then there's Rasheed Shahid. He was traded away from the team after having 499 yards. So the returning wide receiver second on the team, Devon Vele, 293 yards last year with this team. So yes, I think it's pretty obvious that we're going to get Chris Ave as the wide receiver one to start the year. Jordan Tyson is the number two and then Devon Vele will be battling some of the other rookies they drafted in like a Bryce Lance most likely for that wide receiver three spot. Uh, at the end of the day, I think that when Tyler Shuck, if he can keep playing the same way that he played towards the end of last year, those final six to eight games, he can support both Chris Ave and also Jordan Tyson, no problem at all. We just saw him do it last year with Joan Johnson and Chris Lava. From weeks 12 to 18 last year, the final six games of the season, Tyler Shuck was a top five fantasy quarterback in fantasy points per game. He was a top 10 graded passer according to PFF. So, this is a legit guy. You have Kell Moore calling the offense. He calls a fast offense. They're going to run a lot of plays, a lot in passing plays. So, as long as Tyler Stucky, he doesn't have to be a top 10 quarterback, can just be solid in that quarterback 15 to 20 range, I think he could support both guys, and there's an outside not that crazy of a chance that Jordan Tyson's actually the best receiver on this team.
Now, before we get into the next player, just a quick heads up. If you want to win your fantasy league with confidence this year, you can check out the fantasy blueprint, but this is for the waitlist. So, you enter your email right here at blueprintdrop.com. I'll link it down below, and I'll put it on the screen so you can see how to spell it. If you're watching on your TV or laptop, type it in on your phone. blueprint.com. That takes you to a place where you can get on the waitlist for the fantasy blueprint. That means one week before it drops for the general public, I'll send just to that waitlist, an exclusive offer to get the blueprint at the cheapest price it'll be all year. So, if you had the blueprint last year, if you know you're going to get it this year and you were planning on getting it in August, no, get it right now. Get on the waitlist so you can get that exclusive offer to get it the cheapest. Only the people on the waitlist will get it. Blueprint.com.
Next up, we got to talk about Jadarian Price. He was the biggest fantasy winner out of rookies in round one of the draft because he got that first-round draft capital from Seattle. a 5'11 203 pound running back lands with the Seahawks in round one when a lot of people thought he would go in round two. Heck, maybe even round three. We had the tickets on him being the second running back off the board. We cashed that. We had the tickets of him being in the first round a long shot 5x our money turning 100 25 bucks into 125 and $100 ticket into 500. We hit it. Thank you, Jaren Price. And look, the Seahawks needed a running back, so they took him. He was easily the second best running back in the class based on the fact that only one running back went in the third round, none went in the second round. So clearly Jarian Price in round one made sense. Seattle knew they had to get him. Uh, look, a lot of people were making up were saying like his combine was bad. I don't think so. 449 speed. Sure, it's not the greatest, but it's well above average. 66 percentile, well above average burst. I think he's fine there. I think the film is fine overall as well. That's why the Seahawks took him in round one. And look, the Seahawks, it's not like they had a lot of valuable draft picks. They had one first-round pick, one second-round pick, one third-round pick, a fifth, a sixth, and two sevens. So, it's not like they had multiple second-round picks, a fourth-round pick, multiple third-round picks. So, they can get a lot of good talent in those rounds. So to spend a first-round pick on a running back, they're going to use this guy.
And I think all in all, when you factor in the context that he played behind Jeremiah Love, the best running back in college football the last two seasons, Jadarian Price's production was pretty good. 746 yards in 2024, 6.2 yards per attempt, and seven touchdowns in 2025, 674 rushing yards, six yards per attempt, and 13 touchdowns. Now, he doesn't have a lot of passing down volume. That's going to be the biggest knock against him. Only 15 career receptions the last three years in college because Jeremiah Love was that third and fourth down passing down back. But when you get taken in the first round, it doesn't mean you can't catch passes just because there was a far superior pass-catching running back in your draft class. If you're taken in the first round, there's a good chance they're going to put you out there in some third-down situations. I like this tweet right here from Ian Hardit. It's called the cool tweet. It's a running back's total touchdowns, explosive plays, and tackles divided by their carries and targets. So, the top two producers in this class, number one was Jadarien Price over his teammate Jeremiah Love. So, this is a guy who goes out there, he knows how to find the end zone. He knows how to, more importantly, break tackles and create explosive plays. One of the best tackle breakers in this draft class. Makes a lot of sense that he lands on the Seattle Seahawks. A Seahawks team that last year ranked tied for third in the NFL with 507 rush attempts, just four behind the Giants for second overall in the NFL last year. And they're doing this like without any type of mobile quarterback. It's not like the Giants who had Jackson Dart and the Bills who are above them on this list, right? The Bills have Josh Allen. You can see the Ravens are also up here with Lamar. You could see that the Bears up here with Caleb Williams. No, the Seahawks were literally just giving the carries to their running backs, Kenneth Walker and Zack Charbanet last year. Walker had over a thousand yards on 221 carries. Charbanet had 184 on 730 carries.
But here's the part that's really important. As you most likely already know if you're watching a fantasy video this early before the season, Kenneth Walker's no longer with the team. He signed a deal with the uh Kansas City Chiefs and they brought in Emanuel Wilson in free agency from the Packers. Never really did much there. He was like, "Okay, a four-yard per carry type player." And also, Zack Troy tore his ACL in the playoffs. He's not going to be ready until November, like week 12 at the earliest. Maybe misses the entire fantasy regular season. Jadarian Price, the runway is there for week one for him to be the clear RB1 on this team. I mean, he's currently competing with George Hani, who has 25 career regular season carries, and Emanuel Wilson, who I thought at times filled in nicely when Josh Jacobs missed time sparingly the last two years, but at the end of the day, when he got more carries, he wasn't like all that elusive or efficient of a running back. He was just a downhill runner who could break some tackles. Last year on his 125 carries, four yards per carry. Okay, fine. He's like an average running back. I think Jadarian Price with his draft capital should be able to beat this out. And just his talent alone, I believe he should be able to beat out Emanuel Wilson and George Helani this season.
So, there you go. There are five running backs who I believe could absolutely break fantasy football as soon as this year. Now, if you want to see the five players who are skyrocketing up the fantasy rankings in my rankings right now, not just rookies, across all positions, veterans, all that, you can check out this video right here. I think it's going to help you out a ton. I appreciate you all and I'll see you in the next.