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😱 Grosse peur sur le marché ! Capitulation en masse, plus personne n’y croit…

Vision-crypto7•10:24

Transcription

And hello everyone and welcome to Vision Crypto. This Saturday, October 18, 2025, with a market still very red. We went to look for liquidity a little lower. We did a lot of liquidations. We did over a billion in liquidations if we go look at them right away. So right now we are at 904 million currently, but yesterday we surpassed a billion in liquidations. Just in longs, we were almost at a billion. When I looked, we were at a little over 900 million just in longs. So we did a lot of liquidations once again. So, what happened? We went to look for liquidity a little lower. Now, it's true that this contrasts with the video I made yesterday where I said I was bullish. But this is a reality. I am totally bullish. We are just purging. I am clearly putting everyone in fear. Look here, we can see it, we have fallen again. Yesterday we were at 28, so we were already in fear and now we are really approaching extreme fear. So, so we are soon at the bottom. We really have a strong sense of fear. So we are going to check a little bit what happened on the charts and especially why. So we will see, we have quite a bit of news, but there you go, I totally reiterate my video from yesterday. We have much, much more liquidity to the north if we go see it here. We even went to look for, you see, all this liquidity here. We revisited the 103540 where we captured all the liquidity. So well now, we clearly have liquidity to the north. Yes, there is still liquidity that will be created to the south. Anyway, there will always be liquidity, but the market's real interest is clearly to the north. I think we have finished purging a maximum of people, and yesterday, by the way, in the daily update, I told you that just because I was ultra bullish and everything was pointing north, it didn't mean we couldn't go a little lower, and yet, you see, that's what we did. We scared everyone. Enormous capitulation, even in the comments. Anyway, we see that people have capitulated, that people have no more hope. And well, that's clearly what the market wants. I'll show it again, though. Look here, we have almost nothing left at the bottom here on BTC, whereas to the north, look at this, we have billions to recover, and it's exactly the same thing on Ethereum. We'll wait for it to load. Look at this, almost nothing to the south, and on the other hand, we are truly armored to the north. So the interest, that's for sure and certain, is to the north. Now, when will we start again? And that's always a problem, we can't know. There's always the timing that plays. But on the other hand, I am extremely bullish in the medium to long term, and I think that well, by the end of the month, we could start again strongly. Moreover, we have good news in this regard. For example, the interest rate cut. Look, the interest rate cut is almost 100%. And that, well, that can be a catalyst to truly start to rise again. So there you go, once again, anyway, you have to be patient, you have to have faith, and above all, you have to follow your plan. Alright, we'll meet on the BTC chart. So of course I entered a trade. You see, there was just here. I told you in the daily update that we had just retested the 50 of the large wick in daily here and that after that we had bounced. But then, you see, we had this crash. We had the long RLZ which is here. It almost did its job, but we went to look for a little bit lower precisely to liquidate as many people as possible. For the moment, I consider that the RLZ held, since we are staying within it. You see, we are closing within it. So, therefore, I think we could have a rebound. I'm not saying we couldn't go a little lower and start to rise again, but you see, I've put my SL below the previous low anyway. So well, possibly now, I think we could have a restart. Not necessarily today, once again, always the timing, very important. Today, you know, it's Saturday, generally there's not much movement, but tomorrow, Sunday, before the markets reopen, maybe we'll have a bit more powerful movements. So, I'm in it on both BTC and Ethereum. You see, it's the same here. So, on Ethereum, by the way, we can see that we had two RLZs. We had the first RLZ, it was from this movement here to the north here which gave 7 RLZ. We had a first bounce within it, but you see that after that we went to look a little lower. And this second RLZ, what is it? Well, it's the entire movement here, from here to you see that we perfectly bounced off it. It's the same, I'm in the trade, I'm almost, you see, at break-even, but the essential thing is that I wasn't stopped out. So once again, are we going to have a last bearish wave or not? Well, you know that well, it depends on so many factors, and notably geopolitics currently with Donald Trump and China. Moreover, he gives good news, he gives bad news, he gives good news, he gives bad news. It changes every day, it's extremely complicated. After, isn't it intentionally a bit confusing precisely to create uncertainty in the market? I don't know. We also saw yesterday, look at the Nasdaq, a big big drop. So of course, the Nasdaq had a big drop, the S&P 500 too. So of course, cryptos followed, and on the contrary, cryptos actually held up really well compared to the Nasdaq's drop. So what caused this drop? Well, there's a potential element of an answer, it would be this one. Look, the market drop could follow questionable earnings reports from two regional American banks, raising fears about risks in the banking sector and causing bank stocks, and therefore cryptos, to fall. Is it true or not? For the moment, well, we don't have more news. In any case, I haven't found anything on this. Was it manipulation again or not? Well, it's possible. In short, in any case, it seems to be possibly an element. There are other elements, you know, it's Donald Trump with China. Look, when I tell you that there's good news, then there's bad. There's good then there's bad. Here, look, this was positive. President Trump responds when asked if tariffs imposed on China will be maintained. So excellent news, you think "Ah okay, he's reconsidering, he's perhaps finding an agreement." Then, we have a second piece of news. President Trump declares "We will do well with China" In a positive way. We think there's truly an agreement that has been made, and now we have news with President Trump declaring that the November 1st deadline for the application of 100% tariffs could be moved forward. So well, there you go, that's bad news. So as I just told you, we have good news then bad. Good news then bad. So we don't know how to position ourselves. So well, clearly you just have to have convictions, tell yourself that there will be a positive resolution at one point or another, and that our last big bullish phase will explode in November and December and perhaps January. In any case, these are my beliefs, and that the tug-of-war between China and the United States will necessarily find a positive resolution. That's what I tell myself, because otherwise it would be a catastrophe for both countries. Also, what is not very, very positive, is that the shutdown continues after the Senate has again rejected the budget. So, therefore, it's really starting to be a lot, and that necessarily creates pressure on the markets as well. Let's move on to the good news, because we won't just talk about bad news. So the investment bank Citizen predicts that Ethereum will reach $7,000 by 2026 and $20,000 by 2030. Tell me in the comments by 2030 how much you see Ethereum reaching. I remind you that there is strong adoption currently, and I see $7,000 largely for the end of this year. So when they say 2026, maybe it will be January 2026. We'll be well into 2026, but I see $7,000 largely. I see between $7,000 and $10,000 for the end of this year on Ethereum. In any case, these are my beliefs, and $20,000 by 2030, but that will depend entirely on the adoption that can occur and the use by institutions of Ethereum, because we see currently that Ethereum is clearly adopted by institutions. Tell me again in the comments what price you see Ethereum reaching. And to finish, well yes, trendlines are very good, but here you see that this trendline is really quite good, and you see that each time we have a bounce on this trend, it's now five bounces. We are making the 5th bounce. So, will we start again afterwards? Well, in any case, as you know, I believe it. So yesterday, regarding ETFs, the market was not supported at all. Look at BTC, 366.6 million in outflows. And on our friend Ethereum, well, it's the same, we had 232 million in outflows. So well, that accentuated the drop between the traditional finance market which dropped and the outflows from ETFs, so of course it continued to drop on cryptos. Something positive though. Look, when I tell you that you have to be in fear and then there has to be a shift, meaning that people start shorting. Well, we are starting to see this shift a little. Look, here there are more and more shorters. Already, you see that here, there were shorters. Here, there were shorters who were present. We see the small yellow waves. Here, it's when there are more shorts than longs. Here, we see that there were shorters, and now we are starting to see, you see, quite a few shorters arriving. Well, here we will be in the positive, but if we continue to have more and more shorters this weekend especially, it could really be a catalyst to explode upwards and to make a big short squeeze. So, you know, this is something I'm also watching. And of course, we'll see tomorrow in the daily update if there are more and more shorters or if the longs have regained the upper hand. Well team, anyway, I understand, it's extremely extremely difficult to hold on. Moreover, altcoins always take big hits. So, it's really not easy. You see your portfolio in the red, I know it well. I personally believe that this is a last phase of capitulation where we are truly eliminating everyone before the last big bullish phase. Tomorrow, we will try to see why I still believe in this bull market and why I am convinced that we will reach new highs. On that, team, don't hesitate again to click the subscribe button, to like, to comment. We'll meet tomorrow in the daily update, and above all, above all, stay curious. Ciao!