Transcription
Hello everyone, good day. I hope you are doing well. Today, a market review with, well, quite volatile cryptos, BTC ETH which are correcting quite a bit, altcoins even more so. Whereas on the US market, SP500, Nasdaq, well, we are still at an ATH. So there you go, I will tell you a bit more about my plan for the coming weeks, coming months. What we have discussed recently as well, which we might be able to apply in the coming weeks, coming months as well. We will do a rather global review and we will look at some altcoins that I have been asked to analyze. I remind you, you currently have âŹ200 offered on the Become a Trader program. I was actually asked a question. I was told, "Yes, Nico, you talk about updates that will arrive if I join now, what are the updates that will be integrated into my offer later?" First of all, know that all the updates that will come in the coming months, even in the coming years, okay, are included from the moment you join the program. But if I have to give you a little preview of some things that will happen soon, there is simply a new trading setup that I am still developing, which is taking some time because I am really trying to perfect it. There are things I test, things I keep, and so on, but I think it's a setup that will be accessible to everyone because there are setups that will be much more complicated to use for some, depending on each person's psychology, money management. This one, I think it remains an affordable setup for many people. We will have a new module on psychology and mindset, but a module that you have truly never seen before, whether on YouTube or in other training. Okay? I think these are things that are taught in institutions, for all truly profitable traders. They have this mindset, this mentality that I will try to share with you, and it's something that very few share, certainly not in the way I will share it with you. There will be the addition of Discord lives. This is a first, okay, for people within the Become a Trader program. I will simply do lives, whether in small groups with people. We will see how it goes, okay? It will obviously be something that will evolve over time, but this is something that will be a big value, an added value that will clearly allow you to accelerate your profitability and even more personalized support. Okay? I am working on this right now, but in any case, from January 1st, 2026, all of this, well, not everything will be in place, but parts will be put in place: the new setup and the psychology/mindset module a bit later. other modules that I still have in mind. I'm not using all of this too much right now, but in any case, there you go, these are the next updates. I remind you, right now, the program will evolve into a new era from the new year, and you can currently benefit from everything that is already available, plus all the updates that will arrive, at the current price, and on top of that, I'm offering you âŹ200 because, for your information, it's the program's 3rd anniversary. So you have all the information by looking, by clicking on the first link in the description. You have over 30 hours of videos here, and especially, very few do this, but the profitable trader guarantee or your money back, which clearly allows you to take no risk. And you have plenty of testimonials that you can check right here. Testimonials on Discord, Trustpilot testimonials. You can go to Discord and directly chat with trained members. They will be able to answer certain questions you might have. You can also ask me myself the questions you have in mind. And if you even want to go see the different testimonials on Trustpilot, well, you can certainly go there. You have quite a few testimonials here, quite a few reviews on the training itself. So I invite you now to click on the first link in the description to activate your offer. Okay? You have a few days left, of course, this is not an offer that will last indefinitely, but in any case, for me, it's the best period to train given the market context.
So I'll start here with BTC. Clearly, I said that 2025, late 2025, was going to be a rather difficult period. We profited very well for a few months, from April to July, August, and now we are entering a market that is clearly much more difficult, but that's not a bad thing, I want to say. And there is a quote from Warren Buffett that says, "It's when the tide goes out that you see who's been swimming naked." And now the tide is going out, and that's when we'll really see who's been swimming. Those who don't have money management, those who don't have a strategy, those who don't know how to trade in a downtrend, because in bear market phases, there are opportunities. And I'll take up the question that was also asked to me on Discord. I was told, "Yes, Nico, if we enter a bear market, are you less active? How does it work?" If we enter a bear market, we can have a year of bear market. Every day, there will be a video. I will continue to take setups, I will continue to take shorts. And for your curiosity, in 2022, from a trading perspective, I had a very good year. I had a very, very good year. Okay? From an investment perspective, not as good, for sure, because it's difficult to have investments that fluctuate when the market is down. But on my trading portfolio, I had a very good year, and the truth is, from a pure trading perspective, I had a better year in 2022 than in 2023. Now, in investment, no, my year in 2023 was exceptional given the pump we had, especially since I positioned myself well, but that's where you can see that in a bear market, you can perform in trading. You just need to have the right tools, the right strategy, the right method, but it's entirely possible. Of course, for those who invest long-term, if we enter a bear market, it's not where you will perform best, but that's not a reason to do nothing. You can have opportunities, you can clearly have setups that can be executed, there are still rebounds that can be interesting, and all of that is prepared. It is prepared. But clearly, if we have a downtrend for several months, 1 year, 2 years, I will still be here, I will make videos every day, I will accompany you, and I will clearly have short setups that could be taken. Now, yes, we clearly have a degradation that is underway. We saw it recently, which is why we were here, preparing our crypto cash balance, preparing for what's next. And if we continue like this, we will go back to looking for levels, the first levels that will be interesting to position ourselves. I remind you of my plan, which I told you about, there are three cryptos that interest me. Four with Solana, BTC, Ether, Hyperliquid, and Sol. These are really the four giants where if we have more significant retracements, I will look to position myself. And regarding other altcoins, why not, but for me it's a bit too early. I would prefer to have a bottom and better confirmation on BTC. Now, what is also complicated, you see, is that we have cryptos that are correcting while we have an SP500 and a Nasdaq here that are performing. And this is something I showed you. We very often have a correlation. I'll show it to you again. Hop. Uh, straight line, white. There. We very often have a correlation, not systematic, but quite often between the Nasdaq, the US market, and cryptos. We see the top, it aligns perfectly at the same time. The bottom too, all the rise here happens at the same time. You see we make a top here, we make a top precisely on the Nasdaq. Here, when we make a bottom, it's the same on BTC, all the rise happens the same way. And here, there is a decoupling that is underway. A Nasdaq making a new ATH and here a BTC that is falling. This is rare, but it happens. And this shows us that the crypto market is really weak because already when we have a crypto market that, for example, is falling, that is correcting with, for example, a Nasdaq on the other side, an SP500 that is sideways, we say that crypto, that cryptos are weak. But when the crypto market dumps while a Nasdaq is performing, that confirms to us that okay, something is happening on cryptos that is really not good. We saw it from a cyclical perspective, we could be at a market top here. This is clearly a possibility. In any case, for now, we clearly have a degradation underway. We are still monitoring the closes. Be careful, don't get too excited either. We see that we have had significant drops in recent weeks, on October 17th, October 10th, we have had such violent dump phases. What to monitor are the closes. If we start at the end of the day, there are still 7 hours left, to close at 100008 for example, no, that's not too bad. Anyway, I told you, there are two major levels. Okay? There is this level of $107,000, which is a very important level, and there is this level of $98,000. These are support levels. If we have a small deviation, re-entry, that can be good. However, if we start to have acceptance below with a rejection and no buying reaction, it's to go look for the next target. And if we really lose $98,000 and we don't manage to re-enter and we simply flip this support level into resistance, I told you, for me, it's a bear market, it's at least, at a minimum, $91,000 and why not go look for $73,000 afterwards. Now, it's in these kinds of phases that we can have good opportunities. After that, you need to have the tools, you need to have the knowledge, you need to train. And be careful, I'm telling you, for those who are starting and who might say, "Wow, if we go back that low, it will be a golden opportunity. I'll love it." Believe me, all those here who were in this phase, who said, "Ah, if BTC comes back to $30,000, $20,000, that's great, I'll be able to buy one, I'll be able to buy two, it will be like a sale, etc." Yes, many have this mentality when the market is very high. Except that when we are here, having seen it, when we are here in this phase or even at the time of the FTX crash, then yes, it's a sale, it's a fact, there are golden opportunities, except that people's mentality has changed. It's, "Oh, but no, it's gone down a lot. I think it will go down further. It will go even lower." In fact, the levels they had previously identified as interesting levels to position themselves. There has been a switch. I think it's fear, it's also the fact of not really having a precise plan and not having respected their strategy. It's also all the noise on social media that told them there are two discourses. It's either, "No, it's better to wait, it will go lower." Okay, that's the first discourse, and the second discourse is, "Yeah, no, it's dead, it will never recover. This is not a good opportunity, it's the end, everything will go down further." There you go. Uh, well, at the end of the day, it's the same thing, it's that it will go down further, and people wait. People wait. If you are not ready now, if you haven't already drawn your levels, if you don't have your plan, or if you made the mistake, and I know some people are watching my video, which is being 100% crypto, well, you will regret it because you won't have cash in case it goes lower. And I like to say this phrase, and for me it's very important, and I try to repeat it to myself every day, not necessarily every day, but when I'm in a situation, even outside of trading, when I'm in a difficult situation, the mentality of many people is to find a miracle solution, to find a miracle solution that doesn't exist. Well, I've stopped with this miracle solution, which is to say, if I made a bad decision, to say, "Okay, I made a bad decision, there's no miracle solution, my goal will be to limit the damage." However, instead of saying, "I was unlucky, it's someone's fault," I will say, "Okay, what are the mistakes I made, the actions I took that are not great, okay? And that put me in this situation so that next time I don't find myself there?" Instead of looking for a miracle solution, for example, someone who classically, who entered a crypto that dropped by -99%, instead of correcting their mistakes and saying, "Ah, what did I do wrong? What can I avoid for next time?" well, they will say, "Okay, what can I do right now? Can't I find a crypto with huge leverage to make it back?" No, that's not the right approach. Okay? Don't look for a miracle solution. You really need to ask yourself the questions, the mistakes that were made and that can be avoided for the future. There you go. In any case, that's how I see things, and well, the plan, we'll simply put it in place. If we start to lose levels, that's not the case yet. I'm not crying bear market, we are still on support for BTC. We have bearish excesses, that's a fact. And Ether, yes, we have a slightly more significant degradation. We'll see all of that just after. We have a drop that can be scary, and I understand that. But if it scares you, it's because you are too exposed, it's because you don't accept that the market is falling. And if just a drop like this scares you, zoom out. Look at how high we are, and imagine the fear you'll have if we go much lower. I don't know if that's what we'll do, but you still need to prepare for it. Uh, after that, we are still at a support level. Drops like this can be opportunities because we are at a support level. That's a fact. There is no scenario where I would short this level. I cannot short a level like this that acts as support. It's out of the question. The levels to short are our upper extremities, and everything that comes back to the lower extremity are good zones, as we saw here, as we discussed here, these are good zones to look for longs with a stop loss below the low to invalidate in case we clearly lose this level. So, today, I prefer to focus on psychology, on mindset for BTC rather than technical analysis. My analysis from yesterday is still current, and for the short term, we are using moving averages. We are rather in a phase where for intraday trading, I would look more to continue the trend, as I did with Ether on yesterday's trade, we'll come back to it. And here for now, we remain in a downtrend. A bullish signal would really be to go back above the 15-minute, the 1-hour, and have acceptance above it. You see, we do things like this: the 1-hour rejects. Here, we reject on the 4-hour, we reject on the 1-hour, and when we really manage to go above the 1-hour, above the 15-minute, and have acceptance, you see here, well, there's a trend, there's an uptrend, and that's interesting to trade. And here, pullbacks into short-term moving averages are opportunities until we lose the moving averages, which always happens eventually. Okay? But when we have that, well, that's interesting. For now, we don't have it. You see, we're slightly going back above. The 15-minute is flat, it lacks volatility. It's the weekend, the 1-hour is acting as resistance. Ah, it clearly lacks pep. Uh, there you go, on BTC. Regarding Ether, I'll come back to the trade I took yesterday, which I closed as I told you, it's not a trade I wanted to keep overnight. Uh, in the end, it went well. I could have, it's true that I had set my stop loss to break-even, so I would have been triggered around midnight, 12:30 AM, 12:40 AM. In the end, I closed around 10 PM at the weekly pivot point, at the same place where I had taken my TP, my TP as well, which gives me a risk-reward of about 2.32. I didn't want to keep this trade, especially during the Sunday to Monday transition, which can create volatility, and we see it clearly. Well, in the end, I did well. In any case, my stop loss was at BE, and in any case, if I hadn't put it, my stop loss wouldn't have been triggered. So, trade finished on Ether. I haven't had any new setups executed. We see that we are below the moving averages, and there could be setups within the 3-minute here, but I didn't specifically have the setup triggered at that moment. Uh, there you go, I wanted to follow up on the trade I shared with you here. A classic trend continuation setup, a setup I've been using for years, that I master well, and these are the best setups I like to use. And Ether, which again closed weekly, saving the lower wicks as usual. This time, we're starting to break through this Monday. We'll see, depending on how the close is. It's true that we have a more significant breakthrough here. Same on Ether, we zoom out, and yes, we are at high levels. And if we interpret Ether just as a classic chart, well, we are at an upper extremity, and we are rejecting. Potentially marking a top here, which in terms of closing, in any case, the top is marked. That is to say, in terms of candle closes, we have already marked a top. Now, I'm still watching the candles. But yeah, it's not great what we're doing on ETH. I told you that if we re-enter this level, we would have a high chance of reaching $3,000. And that's where my zones are ready, I know where to enter. Okay? I have the cash ready to be deployed. I told you I was ready to invalidate, reduce my exposure further, that I have no problem reducing it to buy back lower. And here, we are in a context where I know where I'm positioning myself on Ether, $3,000, $2,200. These are levels I will monitor that will allow me to potentially enter a position if we go there, if I get a buying reaction, etc., etc., but in any case, I have the cash ready, okay, at these extremities. Hyperliquid, we'll talk about it later, but for me, we are in a phase where, well, I am in mode, as I told you yesterday, I am in mode, I don't know if it will go very low, maybe the market will recover, and that's a possibility, but I am ready. And if it goes lower, well, there will be very good opportunities, whether it's BTC, Ether, or other altcoins. Opportunities we haven't had for a long time. And as I said with the quote earlier, "It's when the tide goes out that you see who's been swimming naked." I don't want to be swimming naked. So I am simply ready, and I will know how to position myself, what to do in case of another bear market. And well, the bear market lasted about 1 year. We had a full year of range. So, if we made a top here, it takes 2 years to truly find a correct chart, a good phase to start again in an uptrend. Is that what will happen? I don't know. Okay. But you have to be ready. Okay? You have to be ready. We are in a market that is a bit more mature. So perhaps have longer cycles, whether it's an upward cycle or a downward cycle. There you go on Ether. After that, if we take the chart as it is, in the short term, well, yes, compared to BTC, Ether is a bit more bearish since we have a close below this level, if we don't re-enter quickly enough. Okay? If we have a re-entry, let's say within the next three or four H4 candles, that's pretty good. We can assume that we had a deviation, re-entry, and that our objective would be to go back to the upper extremity. However, if we don't have a re-entry, or worse, we try to re-enter and reject, it means we really had a very ugly close here with acceptance below this level. We could expect a much lower retracement. So Ether doesn't have the best chart currently, which is why we are preparing buying zones. Uh, there you go for Ether. Before moving on to your altcoins, I'll talk about Hyperliquid again because Hyperliquid, you know, is, let's say, my favorite altcoin, the one where I had a very good performance from April to August. I remind you, average purchase price $13 on Hyperliquid, profit-taking on the rise. I repositioned myself here at $25 on this wick, sold at $30.38 from memory. And then again, I have buy orders ready. If we go back there, I could take a small position, a low exposure, because we are not at extremely low levels either, but I could reposition myself, okay, around $34-35 because we have marked a bottom that held well, but I would like to see a small buying reaction. Otherwise, the large part of my capital on Hyperliquid, well, of my cash ready to be deployed on Hyperliquid, will be if we go back to this zone, roughly $25, $27, $28, while always keeping, I always keep a small portion. Okay? For example, on Hyperliquid, BTC, Ether, we have a dump. I enter. Okay, I enter. We go to low levels on this, that's good. But I still keep some cash in case of a major dump, we go somewhere really unexpected. Okay, which happens very rarely, but when it happens, well, we're glad to have that cash. I'll take the example of Ether at $1,500. Here, I was very happy to have this cash in "warning mode," I don't know what to call it, but it's cash that is ready to be deployed when there's an uncertain movement. We don't expect it at all because I didn't think Ether would go that low. Okay. I thought it would hold $2,000, and the probability of it going that low was very low. But I was very happy to have deployed that cash at that time. And well, on Hyperliquid, I have generally the same thing in case we go back to low levels, $12-13, or even lower. But in any case, my buying zones on Hyperliquid are here, very, very low exposure. Then, everything that goes to $20-25, there is a good intervention zone. I'm not saying we'll go there, I'm just saying that if we go there, well, I want to be ready. And it's out of the question to buy Hyperliquid at $45-50, we are at much too high levels. Solana, same, I put it on my list of interesting cryptos, but we are really high on Solana, and for me to position myself on it, it would have to come back to around $100, around $100 or below. It doesn't interest me at all to position myself, especially since we are losing a support level, it's much, much too early, and especially I'm much less interested in entering on Solana, I would prefer to strengthen my position on Hyperliquid. There you go, regarding these four cryptos. After that, yes, there are altcoins that are correcting more than others, but what's crazy is to think that we have a US market that is at ATH, that continues its upward trend, and cryptos that are correcting. So I'll just take the list of altcoins that were asked to be analyzed. You can now put in the comments what you want for future videos. I do three per day for those who have just joined the channel, I generally do three per day. One video each day, always at this frequency, for over 3 years now. I started videos in 2022, it's quite a job, but I always enjoy interacting with you, and especially, I started it to have a trading journal for myself. I share my trades, I share my analysis, etc., and it's also a follow-up for me. But I know it has gone much further, developing this community, it's a real pleasure to be able to train some people and to help you, to accompany you daily. So, Virtual, I was asked for an analysis. We are not in the best zone to enter a position. We had a big pump, a big dump. Okay. We had another big pump, coming back to this small sideways phase. Generally, on this type of altcoin, I like to draw a Fibonacci and everything that reaches 0.886 is generally a good zone. You see, we are really at very low levels here, and on this type of pump-and-dump altcoin that doesn't form too many structures, that are much more complicated to analyze than altcoins like BNB or Solana which will have more correct structures. I like the 0.886. So yes, you have to be patient because it's an 88% drop, but generally it gives very good entries. Here, we have a correction phase. We have filled this imbalance zone, and here we were in a good zone, certainly, to take a long, for buyers to defend this low, it's in this zone that they will manifest, which has been done. Now, in my opinion, we are not in the best zone to position ourselves. It would be good to reach this small W pattern that we have formed, a small pattern, but we could have a larger structure here. But yes, here we are clearly not in the best zone, in my opinion. I prefer to have a retracement. Especially now, given the context, I wouldn't position myself just anywhere. And on altcoins like this, we are not on a very high market cap altcoin. At 73, we are at what, 923 million market cap. It's still good. Almost, yes. 65% of the supply, it's not incredible either, but it's better than some cryptos that have only 20-30% of the supply in circulation. It's better to have an invalidation and precise entries rather than positioning yourself here, for example, and we just retest our lows, we are already at -50%. On altcoins like this, you need to have very good entries, okay? And have clear invalidations and also take your profits. Someone who positions themselves here, we have a x3, x4 if we push. You shouldn't hesitate to take profit when you have such performance. I know many push you to look for x50, x100, that's what we see on social media. But for me, the professional investor in cryptos, given the context, is content with 30%, 50%, x2 on some altcoins. They won't start, they keep a moonbag, they keep a small part of their exposure on the altcoin, they don't take 100% profit, but they secure at least a minimum. Then, I was asked for an analysis of GNS. For me, these are very complicated cryptos to buy, especially given the context. Why? Because here we have a crypto that doesn't have its full supply in circulation. From memory, we see 300 million market cap, 1.37 FDV. FDV is simply the market cap if the entire supply were in circulation. So, yes, we are rather in a situation where it remains complicated with a lot of supply to be released. It's normal, it's a young project. I remind you, that's the problem with young projects, tokens are locked in smart contracts that will be unlocked over time, but this can clearly create selling pressure on the project. We already saw it clearly here from December to April, and the rebound we had here, well, it's not the rebound of the century either, given the drop we had. Well, we are still reaching rather low levels, okay? Now, we remain in a downtrend. Here, we have a bearish momentum. We are often told not to catch a falling knife. Well, here's a concrete example, meaning we are reaching all these support levels. Okay? It's a fact, we are at an interesting level to position ourselves. The problem is that we have reversed our dynamic, and if I put moving averages, we clearly have a trend here that is bearish. Let it load properly. Hop, we see it below the 1-hour, below the 4-hour, below the daily, the 15-minute acting as resistance for a while. You have to wait, you really have to wait for the price to stabilize. Find a buying interest, even if it means entering higher, it's not a problem. But before that, a small pattern like this that tells us, "Okay, buyers are showing up, we're entering a range, a range that breaks upwards." That's already much more professional, in any case, and an invalidation below the structure or below the low, because we don't want to hold a crypto that makes a new all-time low. And I remind you, if we go into a bear market, take cryptos, be curious to research old cryptos that have experienced bear markets and have never recovered. For example, EOS. Someone who says, "Ah yes, I won't invalidate because it's very low, we're breaking important levels like this." Well, that means the person keeps their capital, and they see their capital melt away. And in addition, they immobilize capital that they could have put into another crypto, another asset, and so on. These are cryptos that will never recover. So if we have a bear market, altcoins will look like this, okay? They will break major support levels and will never recover. To contextualize EOS here, we are in 2020, it's as if BTC, if we compare BTC, if BTC made the same move as EOS, it's as if BTC broke its $3,000 level during the Covid crash and continued to go lower. There you go. Not all altcoins will do that, but I think there will be quite a few if we continue to correct. Uh, Virtual, GNS, we have, and the last crypto, Ave, which in my opinion is also a very good crypto that has its place in a wallet. Here, we are still a bit too high. It's complicated to enter here because if I take a Fibonacci to see the resistance zones, we rejected around 0.5. We are still close to 0.382. Uh, for me on AV, the golden zone is here. This is really the best zone, the zone. If you have it, it's perfect. As we bounced here, we came back to this level, we bounced well, we are still about -50% away from reaching this level. Yes. So these are really interesting zones. Now, if we have to set a bottom before, we can put a Fibonacci here. We are currently in our reloading zone between 0.18 and 0.786. So we are in a good zone. Now, we remain in a downtrend. So be careful, we see it clearly, we have lost the 1-hour, 4-hour tunnel, it's visible. We are in a 3-day tunnel compression and 4-hour tunnel. We have gone below the daily tunnel. So, let's take into account that yes, AV might be coming back to interesting levels, but we are still in a bearish dynamic, and it can be interesting for those who hesitate between the two: between positioning themselves aggressively at support levels or waiting for an inversion of our dynamic. Divide your capital by two. One part will focus on major support levels where we have hit several times before, and these are weekly or even monthly support levels. When we invest long-term, it's weekly and monthly levels that we invest in. And another part of the capital will be when we have a reversal pattern, a positive dynamic. We enter a bit higher, but at least we have conviction, which is that we are in the direction of the trend. Here, we have a buying reaction. If I take an example, you see this downtrend, and now there's a part that can say, "Very good, I'm entering at this major support level, I'm also entering at this major support level." So, one part is engaged here, one part is here, and the other part that I showed you will wait for a W pattern like we have here and to go back above the moving averages, for example, above the 4-hour, and the person will enter here. They won't have the lowest point, but at least they are in the direction of the trend. There you go, for those who hesitate on how to position themselves, you can position yourself in these two ways. Uh, I've covered everything, I've said what I wanted to say. Don't hesitate to join the Discord if you have questions, if you don't know what to do in this kind of context, the most important thing is to train yourself. There is an offer now, you will never find this program at such a low price. With everything that's coming, it's really a gift. Clearly, the gift I'm giving you here is magical. You won't find this, okay, especially with the support that will come afterwards, you won't find better elsewhere on the market. Especially, we are really on a serious program, not all the clownish courses you can see on the internet, with real support. It's private messages, we do audios, we really go deep in the support, and for me, it's the best program you'll find, especially at this price. You have all the information, and especially you can activate your offer by clicking on the first link in the description. I wish you a very good evening and I'll see you tomorrow for another video.