Transcription
CTM summer sessions late start today, everyone. Thank you for giving a little bit of extra time before we went live. Lots being done today, and I wanted to make sure that I was fully prepared for our session together so we could go ahead and cover and continue building Bitcoin here in the green, bouncing. I wonder if that rotation that we talked about is showing the beginning signs of underway. You could see over here, semiconductors have been coming off pretty substantially over here ever since Meta said, "Hey, you know what? We're going to go ahead and go from a buyer of compute to a seller of compute." But then again, how much more compute are they going to need to buy if they want to sell to meet client capacity? And over here, you could see that during that every other time we've seen semis coming off, we've seen Bitcoin crypto in decline every other time. And this is nothing more than a couple of days. It's nothing more than probably Bitcoin, uh, being exhausted on the sell side and of a bit of a bounce coming to the market. You saw obviously a lot of lever longs keep levering long and getting washed out and and now they're probably going for the shorts and or maybe it's something different. Maybe we are seeing a bit of rotation occur. Either which way, uh, we're going to keep monitoring it that is taking place right over here.
And it's interesting to see that right now we have, uh, outside of Tesla, currently long active. By the way, I found out this morning why we don't have the open P&L for stocks. Yahoo, which where the data was coming from, cut us off. Uh, the fix is probably only 30 seconds, 20 minutes, whatever it is, but it will get done for sure. And then we have over here obviously Solana on the Don Shaw buyside boost once a day, taking the lead over here, building a position. Solana does tend to lead big moves to the upside in Bitcoin and crypto. So it's interesting seeing here Solana on the bid so far. Now we have this morning Bitcoin on the buy side joining the party and Ethereum is currently here. Enter long pending. Now, that's still six and a half hours away. So we got a while to go on that. You can see Bitcoin here, buy side only entering. Guys, how beautiful to see this is buy side only to go from out on the sidelines. Bunch of tries over here. No takeoff and now once again, potentially seeing a turn in the market. Solana buy side boost once hour day, once a day traded on the six-hour time frame, currently in the market and now we have only one current open position on stocks. It's Tesla. It's currently underwater. Tesla getting rocked this morning along with the market and also we saw over here Tesla, uh, delivery numbers for Q2, uh, the total deliveries 480,000 verse 406,000 estimated. That's seems pretty good. Energy storage deployed 13 and a half gigawatts. Second best quarter ever. I don't know. Seems like pretty good numbers to me. If you look under the hood, no pun intended. Is there anything under the Tesla hood? If you look under the hood, uh, Tesla full self-driving subscriptions are going to be an absolute money maker. You draw you you you you add in the robo taxi revenue. It's not even a car company. I'm bullish, remain bullish on Tesla. Nevertheless, our positioning has gone from, uh, I'm looking for one. There we go. That's why I got messed up. We we we are only holding now along on Tesla. Ever since this wave that we rode up beginning in, uh, early April, then exiting, we've had one long TEQ stopped out 8%. And now Tesla on the other buy side opportunity. This one currently getting ready or moving against us at the moment. And then Strategy on the short side. Strategy able to lock in a nice 15% on the last trade on the on the short side and that was coming off of the back of a previous short side off of there. You can see, uh, you know, starting in in May. So that's part of the the wave up, but Strategy here, uh, providing a hedge against the missed opportunity on Triple Q and the current open against Tesla. And that's exactly where you want to be as you're waiting for that next momentum kick to occur. You don't know whether that's going to be to the upside. You don't know whether it's going to be to the downside. And if it's to the downside, outside of attacking on on the shorts, mostly mostly you wind up in cash, which is an absolute best place to be.
I wonder if Tom Lee is right. Tom Lee. Let's go ahead and listen to the video over here. We got it right here, pulled up. And I got Tom Lee. No, I thought I had Tom Lee. Thought I had Tom Lee. Hold on one second. By the way, jobs numbers coming in today. Uh, much lower than anticipated. Uh, I'm not going to make any assumptions on that at the moment. And then, oh man, Tom Lee was like, "Listen, I think we're going to have, um, a moment here where it truly feels like a bare market and then coming into the end of the year, we're all of a sudden going to turn this around and move to new all-time highs pretty strongly." Is he just keying off of the seasonalities of a midterm election year? Is he just keying off of, uh, this this chart over here? Momentum volatility after such a short runup as we've been looking at, uh, together over the last few weeks. I'm not sure today in this moment. It certainly feels like he is correct because this certainly feels extremely bearish here this morning, uh, yesterday. You're seeing significant carnage across all of these risk assets with Bitcoin, uh, and crypto just providing today, this week so far, a glimmer of green and it's nice to catch it on the rotation is so much as that we have been attacking very strongly, uh, the short side of Bitcoin and crypto and the buy side trying as on stocks and and then all of a sudden, you could see that turn in rotation. That's what we're trying to nail. Cabbie. Yeah, I I have it ready to go live. It's going live when I put out the Google and now I have the Amazon to throw in there. But this is a good chance, just one second here, to kind of frame everything that's going on. And I did, I tried to yesterday, uh, explain a lot of of what's being built here. And the the most important is the engine itself. And that takes a significant amount of time. Uh, and I was, you know, yesterday trying to just recap over here like how we're able to to model, uh, well on on Google, on Amazon. Uh, it's, it's not there yet. And I believe that there's probably significant amount of, uh, time and progress that will be made. I mean, it's pushing out those those Amazon, those Google templates and and they're strong. However, uh, I would say it's still in the infancy stages, and that's this is an immense infant. If so, now in, uh, I want to get to the point where I could be like, "Okay, this week, every single one of our sectors, I want to be able to go ahead and have a CTM, uh, template, you know, spit out and and we will be there, but we're not there today." And you know, obviously Cababie this morning, uh, making sure to to get back to you on, uh, the automation, figuring out what's going on with the dashboard and a gazillion other things. So, like I am working on a bunch of things at once and I feel like we're making really immense progress, but we're not there yet. And I'm waiting, uh, a little just to the right time to roll out the Google, the Amazon. Right now, we have a wave coming off and we're sitting here peddling out, wondering when, uh, if the tide's going out for a while here or whether or not the next wave is coming in. And it would be nice, just like when we had V5 released, uh, after that last wave peaked, to go ahead and have those out as soon as possible. Uh, so, we'll get there. This is another work in progress over here. Let me see before we get into this, which I want to spend some time with you right now, whether or not there's something else to to touch base with. First, uh, people must be wondering, is the fractal of 2019 about to play out? I wonder. I wonder. Uh, no, we would need obviously over this next week a significant, a significant, uh, move up in order to kind of be following that fractal. But I guess you could say that from the bottom, this is the bottom we're putting in over here. Uh, you know, about as much time as it, Oh, that's interesting. Almost as much time as it took it took to kind of retest it. So, that could put us down. That could put us significantly. That puts us back towards the end of midterms. So we could have a bounce obviously June, right? I mean, July and then August, September retesting it and f and then it would just match the seasonalities of a midterm election year. It would match the momentum seasonalities. It would match the, uh, Tom Lee, we're about to feel like a bare market before we rise like a phoenix. I'm not sure. I'm so excited. I'm rocking and rolling and, uh, we're making significant, significant profits. Oh, you can't bring in the in the football into this conversation. Listen, um, the Tesla short though was a banger. We got to get that out. I think it's a Ace has said before and it's something it's a meme that sticks in my mind and the meme is we want to be, I lost the meme. Something like we want to be the best on the short side, better. Not sure. I'm not sure exactly what the meme was, but whatever it is, it it hits hard. And then I wonder, I wonder because in a bare market, think 2022, our stocks did great in so much as that they're on the sidelines for the majority of the year and a couple of like buy side attempts, even even small pro. But conserving capital in a bare market is second to none. It's absolutely the be. It's it's fantastic. Yes, it's nice to make money in both up and down markets and all the time. Um, anyway, ah, listen, I'm I'm Yoyo Kazy Mexico. Uh, I lived in in Mexico eight years. My family's Mexican, so you know, I learned, lived, absorbed the culture, and part of that is obviously football. So, um, there it is. Uh, yeah, that's true. That's true. That's true. Vaket, that's true. Uh, let's go. Um, I I believe in, well, I believe SpaceX is going to absorb Tesla. I believe that more importantly in full self-driving. Uh, I believe in the immense data collection Tesla cars provide for XAI. I believe that, um, I believe in the robots. So, some people would like to see Optimus in their kitchen today, but listen, sometimes these things take time and, uh, let's see where we're at a few years from now. But if if Optimus is able to actually come to fruition, I think that you're going to see millions of them, millions of them, uh, sold. You have to be Mexican to know that, or or or from Norway. Um, so let's just jump in. Yeah, SpaceX is something that again, we've talked about it going in and it was, listen, I really would like to own SpaceX. I believe that if Elon is able to pull off, you know, data centers in space, there is actually demand for the compute. There's an insatiable demand for demand for the compute if they're able to pull off actually building their own chips and I I think that it's going to be an absolute blockbuster, except that a lot of insiders, their liquidity is going to be opened up for them and they're probably pressure. There is a chance it just gets away and you you never get the chance to to get in at a lower price. That's very real. We'll find out. Boom.
All right, let's take a look at this. And I'm very excited about what we're building over here. By the way, first quick look over here. And 10-year continues to be elevated over here. I wonder if it's pricing in actually the AI buildout, which is supposed to be at least the the new Fed chair Wash believes it's going to be incredibly deflationary. However, right now it is incredibly inflationary as the buildout just causes demand for things like memory. Guys, I saw, did are you guys familiar with the Micron memory trips that are built alongside these GPUs? I don't know. That's a story for another day. Um, now it is, and you saw Apple just raising their prices and and it's true. You see that PlayStation raising their their prices for the console. It is right now inflationary. I wonder if that's what's being priced in over here, or is the bond market have a better read about what's about to happen in the Strait of Hormuz? Could be either one of those things. I'm not really sure which one it is, but, uh, it doesn't seem like things are progressing in a positive way. I would say the two sides are currently, as far as I know, not even talking. However, I wonder who really wants the Strait closed. I don't know. Questions. Lots of questions. Uh, you can see over here the yen gaining. I wonder if this is causing a little bit of the risk off as well over here. Sharp move in the yen here today and you know, just breakout retest so far. Loses that structure though, we could get a further further move down. We'll have to keep an eye on it. That's all we could say. We'll have to keep an eye on it. This is, Oh, let's take a look at the weekly. We have tomorrow's trading day and then we know that we're looking at, uh, Friday stock markets closed ahead of the July 4th holiday. That's a bad weekly looking candle thus far. What is what the story is saying is well, it's a battle between bulls and bears, but the bears winning this round this week with a large wick being left off. Lose this structure over here and then we could see a deeper correction. Tom Lee will be taking victory laps if that were to occur. And as I said in the title of the video, while we're mostly in cash right now, I I don't believe this is anywhere close to the top. I believe that we are going to see a strong resurgence. But listen, I've been wrong many times before. Um, and that is really where it has to hit home to you of why the sincere importance of having a system to position around is everything. With that being said, I feel like that what we've built out over here between stocks, Bitcoin, and crypto is extraordinarily solid. And right now, this year, I'm looking to go so much further, whether that is through, uh, further additions. We saw the diversity vis, uh, video Brownie Brown talked about and why the more templates we're trading, the smoother that equity curve, uh, appears to be, or whether it's going ahead and you saw my 2026 momentum approach the scan and like this, this isn't gone away. This is looking for the criteria of strongly trending stocks over here and saying, is is that what we're looking for momentum entries on, which probably so, but at the same time, the sector rotation and the leaders over here and then adding two things to them eventually that is going to have the option of CTM mo templates on top of it and then also here, I continue to work out in the lab of, uh, this this angles. Now, this was work that was done originally on Bitcoin and with Bitcoin, by the way, uh, a lot more work has been, you guys saw the presentations I was doing on this as we're building here together. I'd love to build together with you in real time and what turned out to be was that you need to lock the price bar, the price to bar ratio, which when you're working with one instrument is not a problem. It is a problem here when I'm working with many. So, let me talk about that first with you. But hold on one second. Let me just start at the bottom. And boom, boom. But I guess not at the very bottom. I didn't get there yet. What I guess I guess I what happened here was I went undo. Let me start at the top. And right now we see that, uh, speaking of that, those memories, Micron here has been on a blockbuster move. This is a long way from the top, just into, uh, the the sell signal over there, 40%, but then again, currently and it would be locking in over there a nice 78% if that were to happen. Now, this doesn't entail underbellies, which would look like we're right into the underbelly right now. You could see it. We're right into an underbelly taking place right now. But this is over to here. Once that does break, that's the exit for the long and then the new, uh, entry will be readjusted to whatever the top price, um, point is on the three-day chart leading into the, um, the break of the of the exit signal and then you'd be waiting for the next entry. Now, I'm building here in real time. By the way, I put I put up the timer on and it's a three-day chart and it's listed here for four days, three hours. I don't know. I don't feel like writing TradingView support. Find out what's going on over there. But, uh, here's the daily. Hold on one second. I don't even know why that why is that closing in two hours? Someone help me out there. It doesn't make any sense to me and I don't get it. Um, so could the four-day chart or the where it's saying the on the three-day, the the four days is that pricing in the closed trading session on Friday and the weekend? Maybe that's what it is. I don't know. I'm here to to to build with you in real time and and wind up figuring out. So, I want to I want to cover a couple of things with you today. And one of them is the difference between the static and non-static here and then eventually get it to where we're just m. Here's a great real-time example. You have over here SanDisk, now looking to close a long entry, which then sets up the movement for what would be the next buy entry. I'm building in real time. This is lab work. This is actually called se sector rotation lab work, just like the other one was Bitcoin lab work. This is not a system we're trading off yet. But I fully believe that it has immense opportunity to become one, which is why we're going to be spending time continuing to to build off of it. Now, a lot of things are unknown at this particular point. Uh, and including that sounds, again, I can't stress enough. You can see what happened over here. Here's the entry. Here's where you move it off to the bottom, the bottom of the, uh, of the price before entry and a daily closing below here, right? Because I'm looking it out on the three-day. I know on Bitcoin, I don't know here. I'm going to figure it out with you. We're going to have it as like black and white as we as we can make it. But when when is the exit, right? And is that on the three-day close or is it on the daily closing below? That that's an unknown that needs to be established and that that'll be established by as we continue to go over each one looking back and finding out what that is. But that's that's an unknown. The other unknown is this, right? Let me show you on on Nvidia. Here's Nvidia and nothing is is locked right now. Ah, um, Ace, I was looking for the meme. I mentioned to you early where you said something to the effect of, we got to be the best on the short side. We got to be prepared for the short side. If I I gotta I gotta coin this meme of yours. So if you remember it, let me know. Nvidia here. This is where I need your eyes, y'all. Right. So let me finish. We have a big breakdown occurring over here today on Western Digital. You could see over here and come down to the daily. You could see the daily here crushing it. Now, the exit cannot be intraday. It needs to be on the close. Whether that closes the three-day ultimately, whether or not we're just doing the scanning on the three S and daily, that's something that I'm going to establish. I don't have established right now. Um, Seagate Technologies coming in. You could see a turn happening over here. I see a turn happening in the market. And if this stuff breaks down, it could be a while before we see, just like when Bitcoin broke down over here, as a massive 25% draw down. By the way, is that an underbelly? Well, not I'm not using this for underbellies. This is, uh, position trading. But over here, you can see the potential Bitcoin getting ready to burst up through an underbelly. Yep. The video, uh, semi is getting rocked and rolled. Wondering if that's what's causing the rotation into Bitcoin and crypto. So coming into a, uh, point right over there. I'm just trying to give the feel of what's happening. Memory is getting absolutely crushed, right? Uh, all AI plays are getting crushed. Thanks Zuckerberg over there. Now here is something that I have to show you. And you could see the wick below intraday over here on, uh, June the 9th. Now I'm gonna make this static. First of all, let me show you back over here. I could go over to Micron and, you know, perfect fit. And with all of these, not just one, but when you're looking at all switching back forth, I'm going to lock the bar now because again, on Bitcoin, I I use it locked. And then it's going to show you that that wick didn't come below, which is worthy of of note here. Right? And now if I switch over to to another, so I don't know how to reconcile that because I I would like to have it locked, but I don't know how. Like maybe if I go, hold on, let me just try. I guess it's not locked anymore is the problem. Yeah, it's not locked. That that one stayed. Yeah, I can't reconcile that. That So there's the there's one of the frictions. Hey, there's nothing easy about it ever. So, I'm under the impression I can't lock it because if I lock it, I would need an individual, um, uh, template for each one. And that's not what we could do. I need to be able to toggle back and forth and be on the same template between all of them. So, that's one friction. And listen, this is what it's all about. Building is having a gazillion obstacles you need to overcome. I'm pointing out all of the obstacles today with the or not all the obstacles, the obstacles I'm coming across as we come across them so that as I troubleshoot them, you know what's going on and that we're able to, uh, lean in together if anyone has any input. So that's where we are on this process and, um, just want to make sure what something else I wanted to show you though, a good example of going, uh, back and forth to catch the air. I'm not going to do it now because it's not it's not upon me. Is that the words are not coming out. So, I'm not going to do that. But that would be terrible. That would be terrible. Vodka.
All right, y'all. Thanks for letting me jump in a little bit late today. Tomorrow, uh, have I have a lot more to continue presenting. Right now, I'm getting back to building. We got Oakland Tesla position. We got new Bitcoin position just taken. Ethereum on deck. So this has worked extraordinarily well. Uh, what my thoughts on this Ace is, let me just jump back over to here, or let me jump over to here. Hold on one second. The the Google and the Amazon, they were, um, they were done exactly like that, right? Leaving out post 2023 forward tested on that and they were, uh, they continued to outperform, which is really positive. But like when I put on my my my trader, uh, hat, I say, well, that was up and to the right, so you would expect, or I would expect during that period that that's exactly what I want to see, would be continued performance. Don't forget all of these assets that we're looking at as far as well, we're looking at tech assets that continue to basically be, uh, in a bull market since 2008, 2009, or the bottom of 2008, have been in a massive secular bull market. So, these are assets that are meant to be traded in in uptrends and, you know, you never know when you could hit a dot bubble burst occurrence or or something like the great financial crisis where it takes just longer to get out of it. Uh, but at the same time, um, so that's my one worry about the 2023. I I like that they were able to continue to perform well outside of 2023. That was a good sign. But maybe it would have been better if 2020, like it was a period where, you know, after the the great runup of the end of 2020 into early 2021, it was sideways into into down on on the walk forward, then I would feel like, oh, well, that's that's authentic. Uh, and at the same time, the differences that you would need to understand is, okay, we're we're in uptrending assets and now we're doing a walk forward and we would expect the performance to degrade if it went to sideways to to downward price action and some people or machines might, uh, interpret that as being poor work walk forward and it's not. So there is a ton of nuance. I also like the at a sample data, uh, modeling, and that's the issue there. Our Bitcoin and crypto performs very well at a sample. Uh, but anyway, um, but I I think it's the correct thing to do as you're as you're saying to continue with the add out a sample data. I'm just bringing up the reality that that was the beginning of a bull market. Guys, there's nothing easy about anything. Do you remember how long since 2023 in this massive bull market, what your feeds have looked like as far as the doom and gloom the whole time? Unbelievable. There's nothing easy about it at all. Which is why knowing when to be in the market, having that systematic approach to keep you out of the market, and then going through a period like 2025 on stocks, it was just you a massive consolidation. And it's just at that point, you're treading water. You're you're literally on your surfboard and you're just like paddling gently with your hands trying to maintain until that next big wave comes in. That's all it's all about. I agree. I was hoping for that the other day. Um, we we do. Let's plan that. I feel like ever since I got back though, it's been, uh, thank goodness, thank God for the opportunity to be so dialed in, but there's so much that I'm playing catchup on. Uh, so I'll be there very soon. Um, and again, it's it's it's only that one day where I I I I did this work on Amazon. I've had the even opportunity to continue building. I feel like I'm in the infancy stages, but we're going to get there all the way. Yesterday was a lot of, uh, you know, the TradingView update and we were getting, uh, that that error message which was, uh, taken care of obviously on on the V5 and then I was going back to to our V2 and, uh, I spent literally the whole afternoon. I mean, I watched I watched the game yesterday while at my desk working and I was able on the V2 to solve every reason for it and it was still showing up and ultimately it's erroneous is on on TradingView's part and it does not affect whatsoever the, uh, any of of of the of the system, but, uh, you know, it it's a question of clicking off on on V2 the era, but to to affirm that, to confirm that, and all of the upgrades and whatnot took a significant amount of time. That's just what it is. There's like whatever comes up needs to be addressed and then you continue building and then you get and then like, you know, it it's an exponential growth of of, but it's all going to come together. It's a big, it's a big, uh, whirlwind in the hive. And I was thinking about that this morning. I was like, well, man, I need to I need to to because if you look at what happened in in 2024, 2025, there was almost a, um, let me let me word this correctly, like a siphoning off of of talent and it it kind of changed the dynamic and way CTM worked together. And I I want to bring that back. I need that because when I'm showing you what I'm doing in the lab, like either way, I I'm going to build it and do it all. I want it. I like I believe there's extraordinary merit in it. I want it. I want to be able to share it with you. Uh, but the more eyes on it, the more ability for people to to collaborate together. And same thing with Ace, uh, the conversation you initially had with me and and everyone else that get involved the better, right, for for CTM. Nevertheless, like I'm not going to like I have to keep going because all the all it's it's this immense desire to build and create so that CTM just has this immense edge and I I'm really excited for it. Um, all right, everyone, great to spend the time here together. Tomorrow we're back at it. Friday markets will be closed. Uh, tomorrow is Friday. Probably. I don't know. I'm going to maybe Friday we won't go at it. So, we'll figure it out. Uh, right now I'm going to get back to building. I'll update you all on Discord whether or not we do go live tomorrow. Uh, but for now, everyone have a beautiful day. God bless you. Thank you for being a blessing.