94

And we have begun once again. Hello everyone. Hope that you've had a wonderful weekend, past weekend, and a wonderful week thus far. Right.

So this week, right, we'll be going live right today, which is Tuesday, which I already spoke about. Then Thursday, we'll be going live at the same time. So yes, we're on time, right? Not that busy anymore, right? So now we have all the time in the world.

Another thing that, right, I would like to just put out there is that, right, not because, and this is for like any of you that are like, you know, paying attention to anyone else while you're here, not because someone just, you know, just talks and talks and talks for an hour means that they're saying anything substantial, right? If someone is, you know, trying to communicate something that is worthwhile to you, right? They should be able to do it, you know, very quickly, right? And I believe that that should all be done in all their, in like, 30 minutes or under, right? No one should just be yapping about, you know, things that won't help you, basically, right? Their dog and their cat and what happened to their neighbor last week and so on, right? So pay attention to where you spend your time. Do not waste your time. Your time is limited, right? And always remember that if anything is free, you are the product. Right? That's just, you know, me talking, you know, cuz someone asked me a quote-unquote personal question.

Anyways, so here you can see that we have the economic calendar thus far. And tomorrow, we have ADP non-farm enrollment changed at your new accession, right? Which is Q3 of the daily cycle, right? So definitely we can expect, you know, expansion during that time. Thursday, right, which, you know, will be used in the last two days of the week to gauge a reversal, right? So, you know, just by saying that, it really does not matter which direction any market is going in, whichever market that you're looking at, it will be reactive to this, whether it's crypto, whether if it is, you know, crude oil, it's, you know, S&P 500, you know, the FX market, it does, it does not matter, right? This is, you know, NFP that we're talking about.

Also, you can see that we have Iran, you know, um, attacking Israel, right? I believe they're doing so as we speak. Hundreds of hundreds of rockets, right? Something that, you know, we haven't seen in a while, right? Some people say that, um, oh, this has been going on forever. Not at this scale, right? Not with this tension that, you know, you have almost every, you know, large or higher-powered nation, you know, taking part in, right? They're taking sides, you know, besides. Already, we talked about this two years ago, before, or three years ago, actually, right? Before any of this even came to fruition, right? Anyways, with that being said, you know that, right now, it's not that just that the risk is high. You know, the risk is always high. It doesn't really matter, right? All you have to do is follow, right, the rules that we lay here for you to be able to gauge the direction of price action, right? And if you're wrong, it does not matter, right? You have a stop-loss for that reason, right? And we've been right for, I believe, the last two or three weeks, right? I was two or three weeks, right? And just because, right, that happens. And even if we're right this week, if we're right next week, right, you should never, you know, try to put all your eggs in one basket. Meaning that you should never try to trade in that direction, all of your risk, right? Never do so. That's a terrible way to, you know, that will probably end up having your account blown whenever we're actually wrong, right?

So, yes, Wednesday, iPad news. This really doesn't matter, to be honest. Right? Only ones that matter are like NFP, CPI, right? And, you know, FOMC, right? And the reason why those matter is that it just, it's just that a large, larger amount of liquidity will just be injected into the marketplace. That's the only thing, right? The these names just do not matter, right? The reason why we did, we chose to not go live Monday was due to the fact that, you know, this is something that is, what I would say, it's not something that repeats itself where you have the Fed just, you know, deciding to go, you know, and speak on a Monday just as the market is open, right? And, you know, surprisingly, this happened, you know, right before those or, you know, quote-unquote attacks or, you know, whatever began to happen over in the Middle East.

So, yes, Thursday and Friday is where we'll be looking for the high and low, high-low week for, you know, majority of the asset classes that we focus on. Friday should be, or, you know, give us something to work with Thursday as well.

So here is where we will be discussing or, you know, introducing, you know, something that no one really, you know, knows about. You know, the basis of what we're looking for here, right? But the concept will, you know, just the concept will be used to, you know, get out of or understand when you will have just a large leg move in consolidation, right? So I'd id it as the distortion shift, right? It's, you don't really need a gap or anything of that sort. Will, would it be helpful to have one? Yes, it would be helpful to have one to have a gap there for price to, you know, react to, right? But it's not needed. What is it used for? To gauge direction, you know, to gauge directions in low probability conditions such as here where you see we have the US dollar right here, right? At those lows for the US dollar, you, what can you see? You can barely see price quick, right? Right here, you barely see price break below this low right here. Right? So here you can see that clearly, right here. Price break below this low. Right? But as you guys know, right? What do we usually look for? We usually look for price to close. It didn't close below this low. Right? So price failed to close below this low. But it did wick below this low. Right? Okay. Let's move on to the Europe. Here you can see that price closed above this close right here. But it did not, the wick did not go above this wick, right? So right here you can see that we have, you know, conflicting ideas within the price action. Right? So this is typically, you know, what you would see and you'd be like, "D, what do I do when I see something like this?" Right? When you see something like this, right? And it's very simple, right? You see something like this. Once you have this first wick, right? This, you don't pay attention to it. Well, you pay attention to it here, but you don't give it your full attention yet. You, after this, you, you need to see sequential SMT. So here, right, where you have this happen here, and then here, you have price wick below. Right? This does not need to be sequential, right? Where you have the wicks, right? So price wicks here, this close happens here, right? And on the lower time frame, which is the, you know, to this would be the one-hour time frame, what would you see? You see a position swing point somewhere around here. I'm pretty sure that you will. 100%, right? So here we see price failed to break below this low. Right? Here. Here you can see that price did break above this high. Meanwhile, you know, all of this is going on. If you pay attention, right? Price did not go below this low. And here, price did not go above this high, even after breaching this high again, which, you know, created sequential SMT. So here we'll just go and look for, right? We'll just go and we will just look at the one-hour time frame. Right? So here, right, and between this high and this high, right, there is a level that, you know, is created, which, you know, operates as how you would like to see a quote-unquote gap operate, right? Just rejecting price action. So here, price traded above this high. This was sequentially SMT. This is the Monday model, right? That we love so dearly, right? Or is that you have sequential SMT between Friday and a Monday? Right? This is what it is. So, yes, we had price trade above this high, which is, which is Friday's high. So this is what, you know, gave rise to this, you know, movement, right? And also, but something to always take into consideration is that you always want to have somewhere where, you know, price will move to, price will be gravitated to, like these lows right here, right? These lows are too clean, right? And I'm pretty sure that you have some, you know, form of new opening gap here as well. Actually, let me, okay, there it is. Right? So when you have all of these things overlapping, right? So here we had, even, you know, without looking at, you know, paying attention to the distortion shift, right? We had what? And what completes the distortion shift? First of all, you have to be in, yes, what the name suggests, distortion. Price should be in a tight range, right? You have price wick below here on the four-hour time frame. It's a wick here. It's a close, right? Price trades below here on the four-hour time frame. But here on the one hour, what is it? It's a close right there already. What is that? That is also a cracking correlation. So here we have price, you know, on the four-hour time frame, the one-hour time frame, price closed and go this low. But on the four-hour time frame, this is not close. It's just a wick. Do you understand? Meanwhile, we have this happening here, right? Price is trading below this low. And here we have price failing to trade here above this high right here. The main thing to take away is what? The Monday expansion model where you have Friday's high being left right here. Then, you know, we have here price leaving the new week open gap. And once this happens, price trades above here, what happens, right? Between Monday and between Monday and Friday, we have the revolving true open, right? So the revolving true open would be, what, in this case, the new week open gap. Price trades about, above the new week opening gap, right? Then it goes here, trades back, and, you know, gravitates to these goals right here. So that's just an introduction, right?

Anyways, here you can see that we had price, you know, absolutely do exactly what we wanted to see, wanted to do, right? So here we had price trade above this high. This is the E-mini S&P, right? Then it, you know, got, it took time before it fell to our profit target of this low. All of these lows right here, right? Remember we talked about this, right? There was no, price was literally here and wanted to see price this high and just drop and take all of these lows out right here. For the Nasdaq, as you guys, you know, you probably remember, right? We were focused on this gap right here, right? And remember what we said, right? Whenever you have, for, for example, you have prices at all-time highs, right? You already have price trading above this high. So price is already at all-time highs here. And this is how you know you can have a quote-unquote easy way of, you know, knowing what price might do. So here, price was trading above all-time highs already, right? While price was here below this higher time frame gap or this four-hour gap. Actually, it's a balanced price range right here. But, you know, you see it's the gap for, you know, my entry purposes, which you guys, you know, saw, right? It was obviously this, which most of you guys, you know, already know. Here we have the balanced price range. So here we have this gap right here, right? Price trade above this high. Price was already above this high. So it was easy for us to know that price would, you know, be rejected here. There was nothing here for price to reach to. So, what was the triads, right? What were they waiting for? The S&P 500 and the Dow was waiting for the Nasdaq to trade into this gap. How do you know that? How, how can you even, you know, sit down and trust that that would happen? Due to the fact that there is nothing else for price to react to. And for price to, you know, go lower, what's the main thing that you need? A sequential SMT or SMT. That's what you need. Here we have SMT, right? And yes.

So, yes, if you, we go again and we drop down to the four-hour time frame, right? Looks a bit clearer, right? So here we have the opening of the balanced price range. This would be the fair value gap. If you remember what we said, when you have a balanced price range, right, within a fair value gap, then, you know, price would more than likely react to that, which it did, right? We had all of our targets hit, you know, almost perfectly. Well, actually, it was perfect. The main thing, right, which caused price to, you know, go lower was what? Yes, it's sequential SMT, of course, right? Between which days of the week, right? So, first of all, if you guys remember, we wanted to see, you know, Thursday, you know, place the high of the week for most assets, which it did, right? Here. And let me get this right here. Which it did, right here. So we had this happening Thursday, Thursday. But here, Friday was the high of the week. So we had this occurred between, you know, the days of the week due to the fact that the sequential SMT, right, did not occur between, you know, the quarters of the week, right? It occurred between Friday and Thursday, right? So that was what ding theory into, right? So here we had price trading above Thursday's high, right? Here we have price failing to break above Thursday's high. And the same thing here, which is, you know, what led to price dropping lower, right? So, we expected what? We expected expansion, which we did get, you know, to, you know, trade into the re, or rebalance the weekly gap that we had here for the Nasdaq. Here, there was nothing here to work with. Remember that. But we still expected lower prices. Here, there was nothing as well. But we got what? Sequential SMT. What was the main thing that allowed us to gauge that we might get sequential SMT right here? It was the fact that there's a gap here for Nasdaq, right? That's the main thing. That's the main reason why we expected lower prices. And here, as well, you can see that we had price draw to this high, right? And remember that we had these lows in mind, right? Which meant what, right? If price went above here, we want to see price return to here, or this was the main drawn liquidity, but also this was a drawn liquidity as well. We did high like this, right? Or we want to see price drop below here and then, you know, continue higher to breach above this high. And it's, you know, it's crazy how to say this. It's crazy how, you know, it's when we have an unforeseen event happening like a quote-unquote block, something that you shouldn't be able to predict, right? Is always in line with price, right? Every time, every time something happens, price, you know, basically dictates, well, yeah, I don't know if I should say like that, but whatever. So, it's what I think, right? Price dictates what happens, right? It's so if it's underway in price, then it will, you know, come to fruition in, you know, our actual real life. Right?

And also here you can see that we have the, the larger time frame. Right? We have these lows right here. Right? So I'll, so you can see and remember that we do not, this tiny, you know, wick below here, we do not consider it as a run query. I could even move it, you know, right here. You can see that these are actually equal both, right? Right now, what do we have? We have price in between. Well, price is pretty indecisive at the moment, right? And, you know, when it's not indecisive, we talk about it, right? This is how here we expect the price to go higher to this gap. That's really, that was what it is. We expect the price to go higher to this gap. When price was here, we expect the price to shift lower. So here we have price in between these gaps, you know, which is, you know, funny that we have, you know, high impact news events this Friday, right? It's funny that we have the non-farm payroll this Friday, right? Isn't it? Don't you think? What will be the purpose of that, right? And it will be easy to read a direction as always, right? As long as you see sequential SMT, either 30 minutes, you know, fully formed 30 minutes before or after, then price will just go in that direction, right? So, whichever it is, right? So, it's a one-hour time window, 30 minutes before the news or 30 minutes after, right? That's what it is. So here we have liquidity below these lows, these lows. And here you can see that between, you know, from this high and this high, you know, it's pretty close. So right here, we're just within consolidation, right? And due to the fact that, and this does not mean that, you know, it's going to be harder to trade in it any other time that it was, but, you know, you should be cautious in these conditions, right? Very cautious, right? Where you have no gaps for price to be drawn to, right? So here we expected price to be drawn here, it did, was drawn to this gap. Then from here, we expect the price to be drawn here, right? To this gap as well.

So I hope that you found this useful. We will be back Thursday. I hope that you study this one and remember that, right? I gave you everything as it is. I'm not going to, you know, beat around the bush, try to add an extra 20 minutes and something, you know, to waste your time, right? I need you to get it. I need you to understand what we're looking at. I need you to completely, you know, understand what's happening within my brain, right? As I try to transfer the knowledge to you. With that being said, right, I hope you found this useful. We'll be back here Thursday at the same time. Right. Exactly at the same time. Right. With that being said, I wish you all a good day. Good luck and good trading.