Transcription
Hello, it's Crypto and I hope you are doing well. We're back for a portfolio analysis of a large portfolio here, almost 1800 dollars. And you'll see that despite the fact that it holds 50% Bitcoin, there are many mistakes in this portfolio. ones that you can avoid yourself. I'll explain how, why, and how to benefit from what's going to happen at the end of this year. Once again, the analysis, we'll do it on Xifi, which is the application that I use and that I developed directly, which allows you to manage, view your portfolio, the risk level, to know exactly where you are concretely in your purchases, in your strategies, to be able to plan strategies, compare them, know the performance you will have, to be able to see and follow the news, whether it's for your own portfolio, whether it's directly for the entire market, and to be alerted directly to what's happening, whatever it may be, or if you have reached a key level in your strategies. In short, it's a perfect tool. to be able to validate whether what you're doing is coherent or not, and moreover, it's interconnected with most exchanges, and we're evolving very quickly. If you want to access it, it's in the comments in the description, and if you want to have your portfolio analyzed, well, you just need to be an Xifi member and propose your portfolio at the link below. So, it's a portfolio that is rather coherent. When we look at the structure, we see that we've had big profits on BTC with an average purchase here around 35,000 to 36,000. So someone who has been here for a relatively long time. We have cost prices of 2400, a little below 2400 for Ethereum. So we have a rather balanced portfolio with 27% Ether, 50% BTC, rather defensive, and this is the type of portfolio that generally works well in general times, and even more so in the market we've experienced in 2024 and 2025, where Ether indeed performed at the end of 2025 and Bitcoin performed overall throughout 2024 and 2025. And the large part of its PNL, which is 205%, so it made approximately 91,000 dollars in profit, comes mainly from Bitcoin and Ethereum, which represent 90% of its portfolio. And what's interesting to see is that from the moment we have a lot of crypto, which is the case, we end up with a whole bunch of crypto. If we look, we'll have a lot of cryptos. And well, all of these cryptos are strictly useless, just potentially decreasing a large part of the performance. And yes, because when we look at the general state and the percentages, past Link, even Tao, one could say, everything below 1% here is no longer useful in the portfolio's structure. unless they are risk lines, meaning truly micro-cap lines, and we make bets with small positions with an upside, meaning a very high probability of gain but also a very high probability of loss. It's useless to have so many cryptos and so many small lines when you go down a bit and see Doge here. So yes, 93% on Doge, but overall it made 171 dollars on the 90,000 it made. It's ridiculous. Okay. So that means there's no interest in having this line at all because it's an extra line to manage, and there's no way Doge will do, for example, x50 for it to start becoming really interesting for the entire portfolio. So that means there's no interest in having lines at 0.20% without necessarily a large upside. Same for Theta, Theta 0.19, although it's down 39%, but overall there's no interest, same for Pump.Fun to have a line at 0.05. There's no interest in saying I have a line at 0.05. That means I'm just bothering myself managing portfolios that are not coherent. Same for Polygon, same for Pepe, Cosmos, Beam, Polkadot. Well, we note that there are also many old cryptos in this. So that means this is someone who was certainly here in 2021. We'll also have Vechain which is in the same continuity. And we even see lines like Vechain which are around 0.44. So, it must have been around 1% of its allocation. but it's down 60% on it. And what's interesting is that when we look at the structure, we have the majority of its portfolio that allows for profitability. The lines that are interesting are relatively quite small. That is to say, we'll see BNB at 2%, we'll see Solana at 4%. I think it's mainly linked to taking profits. Okay, we'll have XRP, same, it's because there were 200% otherwise it would be at 1%. We'll have RSR, which is quite risky, and we have 1.85%. RSR being much riskier than Chainlink, which is at 0.85%. Chainlink is at 154% while RSR is at -16%. And here we see that weighting is essential in relation to the risk level and the upside. This means that there is a higher probability that Chainlink will rise, perhaps less strongly, but also a higher probability that it will not fall as strongly as potentially RSR. So Chainlink should have had a more significant weighting, especially compared to RSR. It's logic related to risk and the place of these cryptos in relation to the portfolio. There are old cryptos like The Graph GRT. Unfortunately, not much is happening with the protocol, and even if something were happening, no one is interested in GRT anymore, and GRT is not profitable in terms of structure, unlike, for example, Contrarian, which is in decentralized finance. It is much more interesting because it is a profitable protocol. It's talked about a lot regularly, and moreover, there's a significant buyback, and yet we're around 0.59% exposure, whereas it should perhaps be around Solana, BNB, or even a larger proportion. After the proportion itself, the interest is that we have 50 and 27, meaning 75%, a little over 75% that are on two large cryptos that are not altcoins. So it's rather poetic. it's that we have a defensive portfolio. Okay, but within this amount of defensive aspects, it needs to be coherent. to have few cryptos because that means only 25% are on altcoins, to choose three large altcoins and perhaps one risk line, but to have a coherent weighting, and likewise not to have cryptos that we drag from one cycle to another, there's no point in having them. It's better to directly cut a part of these cryptos and position yourself on those that are coming back or in any case those that have an appeal or reinforce existing lines, okay? or to manage a narrative and likewise not to jump systematically when there's FOMO as we can see here for example with STBL there was a lot a lot of FOMO around this crypto. We see that the cost price which was bought at 0.43, I don't know if it was bought at the moment of the acceleration curve, it went up to 0 on the way down or on the acceleration. On the acceleration means no profit was taken. On the way down means there was a notion of thinking it couldn't go any lower. Well, we're at -36%, and I think it can continue to fall. So you have to be careful with these setups too. And one last thing, always and always, we don't have any stablecoins here. So that means we are certainly 100% exposed. I don't see any cash that has been kept. In any case, it hasn't been entered into Xifi. Normally, it's supposed to be entered into Xifi. So we should have here the possibility of having cash and not being 100% exposed. Don't forget your exposure is the part of your portfolio that is in stablecoins versus the part that is exposed to the market, to volatility. The more we head towards a market top, the more your exposed part should decrease. There are profit-takings that must be made. Don't think it's going to the moon continuously. You must be able to arbitrate. Here, when I look at the portfolio, there hasn't necessarily been any arbitrage, and that's very important. To give you an example, we'll go here to simply explain this notion of exposure. But here, in this type of portfolio, we'll have 75% that are rather in solid protocols. We'll have 25% that are in altcoins. Ideally, what should have happened is that this part represents perhaps 70% of his portfolio, and that we have 30% of the portfolio that is locked up, okay? Rather in stablecoins, simply because this is someone who has already gone through a cycle, we see it clearly with Vechain, GRT. And ideally, one must not make the same mistakes and continue to take profits and stack those profits and not systematically put profits back into play. Second point, if we are to summarize everything we've said, well, too many lines, okay? There are way too many lines. You need to cut them, it's useless to have lines that are less than 1%. Okay? And even if it's less than 1% or at 1%, there must be a reason. It's absolutely useless to accumulate 40, 50 assets and keep them on life support without necessarily taking profits or cutting losses. Super important. Third part, having exposure. The notion of stablecoins is essential in your portfolio. Treat it like a crypto, and you'll see that things will go much better. I hope this video has taught you a lot. If you also want a new analysis or want your portfolio to be analyzed, it's simple, you can test Xifi in the comments in the description and share your link in the same way this user did. And I'll see you very soon for a new video. Okay. [Music]