The Players I'm Betting Everything On This Year

If you want to win your fantasy football league, you are in the right place. Today, we are talking about the players that in every single draft I'm doing right now, I am targeting. They are the guys that I am betting everything on this year. They stand out for one reason or another as the guys you want to be targeting in every single draft. So, without further ado, here are the players that I'm betting everything on.

And I'm starting with a guy that I generally avoided last year early on in drafts in Saquon Barkley. That worked out thankfully for a couple of different reasons. First off, offensive coordinator wasn't great, that's why he's gone. Offensive line injuries, dropping efficiency, all of that, right? But Saquon Barkley, despite a down 2025 season, his age 28 season where he had a lot of changes, where A.J. Brown was frustrated, the offense wasn't as efficient, he was still a quality back. It's not like he fell off the face of the earth and we can't trust him ever again. He still had 14.5 fantasy points per game while competing with Jalen Hurts for goal line touches and push touch, right? 14th overall at the running back position is not bad. It's obviously not great when you spend a first round and probably top five pick on him in your drafts last year. That's why he's a letdown. He's a letdown based on last year's expectations. But this year's expectations are much different. He doesn't go in the first round. He has a totally different aura around him, if you would. Nobody's thinking that he might be the number one pick in fantasy.

Now, the biggest thing you could point your finger to is the efficiency completely cratered. In 2024, the historic 2,000 rushing yard season, just 5.8 yards per or 5.8 yards per carry, amazing that year. Last year, just 4.1 yards per carry. Again, still not the worst efficiency in the world, 4.1 yards per carry, considering all the injuries. 4.5 yards per touch, not elite, but again, not like he's 3.5 yards per touch and he's fallen off a cliff. He was still breaking tackles, ninth most evaded tackles. He was still relatively explosive, top half of the league in explosive rating amongst running backs. Nine breakaway runs of 15-plus yards was top 10 in the NFL. So, like, efficiency, was it like 2024? No. Has it fallen off a cliff to the point where I'm like, Saquon Barkley is a concern, he's an avoid? Absolutely not.

The fact of the matter is a big piece of this had to do with the new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo last year, who's no longer there for reasons that are pretty obvious. Check this out. In 2025, the Eagles ranked 19th in points per game and 39th in run blocking, a major fall off from 2024. Again, that is a scheme issue. It is an injury also to the offensive lineman, but a scheme issue from the offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo to not get Saquon Barkley's yards open and not create any running lanes. So, do I think Saquon Barkley, who's now 29 approaching 30 years old by the end of this year, is going to get back to that form that we saw in 2024 of 2,000 rushing yards when you combine his receiving yards of 2,300 total yards, of 15 touchdowns, of one of the best fantasy and NFL seasons we've ever seen? No, I do not. This is a another offensive coordinator. There's no more A.J. Brown taking away defensive attention. They can load the box a little bit more. He's 2 years older, a lot more touches on his body. But, do I think there's a middle ground there, especially now as a second round pick in fantasy drafts? Definitely.

This is basically what it comes out to. Brandon Dee puts this on Twitter. It's a really good tweet. He says, "Saquon Barkley's yards before contact per rush the last 2 years. 2024, he led the NFL 2.64 yards before contact. The guy was at almost averaging 3 yards before he was even touched in 2024. That is a scheme. That is an a healthy offensive line. In 2025, he dropped to 24th amongst all starting running backs. Brutal, bottom 10 in the NFL. Just 1.3 yards before contact." So, Sean Mannion, the new offensive coordinator's top priority, according to Brandon Dee, and I agree with him, "Fix the rushing attack and get Saquon more space. It is pretty obvious, especially with A.J. Brown gone. Your alpha wide receiver is gone. You're going to have to lean more on your run game. They have to focus on getting running lanes open." And I think they will. And I also think there's a world where Saquon Barkley becomes more of a pass catcher. You could see Zach Berman or Berman over on Twitter, Z Berman says, "It's not a stretch to speculate that Saquon could have a greater role as a pass catcher." Sean Mannion spent some time in pass systems uh with like some McVay and Shanahan systems. Running backs can have targets there, like Todd Gurley did with the Rams, 84 targets in 2017 and 18 on average during that span. And Saquon does have a history, if you pull it up right here, receptions, like he has these 90 catch seasons as a rookie with check-down Eli Manning. He has multiple 50-plus catch seasons. We know, just based on his uh expertise or I would say his experience in the NFL, go all the way back to college with Penn State, the guy can catch the ball. So, don't be shocked if you see a 50-plus catch season this year in the Shawn McVay offense. So, a different offensive coordinator that in my opinion could only mean good things. This offense was atrocious last year from a scheme perspective, and you're going to be getting maybe more of an emphasis on the run game with no A.J. Brown. Saquon, who now goes 13th overall in the second round, I really like him. I can't stop drafting him when I get this like 10th to 12th overall pick. If I have a turn pick and I end up with like a Saquon Barkley and James Cook double-tapping RB, I like that. If a Justin Jefferson falls to me and then I come back around and get a Saquon Barkley, two guys who last year had down disappointing seasons because of their quarterbacks or injuries or scheme, and now that's fixed in my opinion to some extent. If I get those two guys, Jefferson and Saquon to start a draft, I love it.

And I also love targeting Garrett Wilson in the fourth round of fantasy drafts because what's not to like about Garrett Wilson? The guy was absolutely dominant last year when healthy. The first five games of the season, he only appeared in seven games, two he left earlier with injuries, but in those five games when he was actually out there and healthy, 19 fantasy points per game, 9.6 targets per game, 76 receiving yards per game. He was doing this, producing like a top 10 fantasy receiver to start the season despite Justin Fields not playing well, despite the own Jets general manager saying they don't have like a quarterback. Like he's he's insulting his quarterback, Justin Fields. That's how bad the offensive environment was. Like look at this, the guy only played five fully healthy games, appeared in seven games, and he still led the team in receiving yards. His 395 receiving yards last year literally led the team. The next closest wide receiver was acquired mid-season for 301 receiving yards. No other wide receiver topped 300 receiving yards.

Now, look, part of this is because we know how bad the quarterback situation was last year, rotating different guys, injuries, or whatever it was, just bad quarterback play. And obviously when you're down your number one receiver in Garrett Wilson, things aren't going to be great for the overall offensive ecosystem. But that just goes to show you how important it Garrett Wilson is to this offense. The This is the passing yards the Jets threw for last year, 2,385. A historically bad number. I mean, it is absolutely atrocious. They were 500 less or so than the next closest team, only 140 passing yards per game. If you're a Jets fan, I feel completely bad for you. Despite this, Garrett Wilson still had success. In three of his four years in the NFL when he's healthy, he tops 1,000 yards. Despite this literally being his quarterback room, Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian, Tim Boyle, Aaron Rodgers at the end of his career, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Brady Cook last year, right? Despite the terrible quarterbacks, this is like Allen Robinson of the past years. This is like Terry McLaurin like never having good quarterbacks at the start of their career. Garrett Wilson is that next guy. He continues to produce and he's going at the end of round four, the 44th overall pick in fantasy drafts. Make it make sense.

Especially when you consider like he still doesn't have elite target competition. We'll get into that, but the last time he had elite target competition 2024 Davante Adams was still there getting a lot of targets from Aaron Rodgers. You still saw Garrett Wilson top 100 catches. He topped 1,100 receiving yards. He had 153 targets that season. Now he gets arguably the best quarterback that he's ever had in his career, definitely the best quarterback since that 2024 season with Aaron Rodgers and Geno Smith coming off of a down year with the Raiders. That entire Raiders ecosystem was terrible. That's why the coaches were fired, the quarterbacks were changed, the offensive staff was basically all replaced. Geno Smith now maybe in a little bit of a better situation. I say that as the Jets were the worst passing offense last year, but you know, different quarterbacks coming in, different coaches. Hopefully Garrett Wilson's going to be healthy. Some other pieces in the draft. Those pieces in the draft being a first round pick Canyon Siddique, being a That's a tight end. Being a first round pick wide receiver Omar Cooper. A healthy Garrett Wilson coming back. Breece Hall signs a contract extension and seems to be happier right now. So like your hope and it seems like we're saying this almost every other year for the Jets and they look good on paper, but your hope is that they look good enough on paper, not that Geno Smith is a top 10 quarterback in the Jets offense is top 10, but if they just go from being the dead last work worst, not even close worst passing offense last year and they can just be the 22nd ranked and Garrett Wilson is healthy and Geno Smith is healthy, that's probably enough. So yes, Garrett Wilson who goes as the 44th overall pick at the end of the fourth round in drafts. Heck, if you were drafting in a 10 team league, he's a fifth round pick. I like him more than Luther Burden who goes around him. I like him kind of similarly to Ladd McConkey. I take those guys interchangeably. I definitely like him more than Tutu Atwell and Mecole Hardman. I think his overall skill set and even his quarterback situation is better. So I'll take Garrett Wilson here. I can't stop drafting him at this point.

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Next up, I cannot stop drafting Christian Watson, whether he's a fifth or a sixth round pick in your draft. Right now, he is an absolute slam dunk for me for a bunch of different reasons. First off, like he's always been known as this injury-plagued guy, including last year when he had to come back from his torn ACL. But when he came back, he was arguably one of the five to 10 best wide receivers in the entire NFL. And if you don't believe me, just look right here. Over those final seven games of the season, the first three games he came back, he was getting ramped up off the torn ACL. Final seven games from week 11 on, he stays healthy, he plays in all of them, he averages over 15 points per game, the clear-cut alpha number one receiver for the Packers during this fan averaging a 24% target share, six targets per game, explosive plays left and right. He was a perfect fit for Jordan Love, who's going to take those deep shots downfield, who's going to give his wide receiver a chance, whether it's a pass interference or to make a crazy play. Watson was doing that towards the end of last year when finally healthy. And here's the proof of that. His average target distance was 17.8 yards downfield. When they connected last year and they connected often down the stretch, it was fireworks, third in the NFL. 1.8 deep targets per game was also fantastic. And if you start to scroll down at some of the efficiency metrics, it was the best season of Christian Watson's career. And this has been something that's building. He's been working through these hamstring injuries the last couple of seasons. He really dove in with like a study, um, I believe in Wisconsin at the school of medicine, and they ended up getting that solved. He hasn't had hamstring issues issues the last few years. And because of that, once he finally got over the torn ACL, number four in yards per route run last year. Top 10 in first downs per route run. Arguably the two most important and and sticky metrics for a wide receiver. What does that mean sticky? It means what he did last year, it shows that that's going to translate to future years as long as he can stay healthy. And if anything, he should earn even more targets or a bigger piece of the target share because Packers finally overhauled their wide receiver room, a room that was kind of rotated the last three to four years for the most part. What has changed? Well, Romeo Doubs is gone. He signed with the Patriots in free agency. They traded away Dontayvion Wicks. They didn't sign any significant wide receiver. Skyy Moore they signed as a depth guy, a special teams guy if he even makes the team. They surprisingly didn't draft a single offensive player besides a sixth round kicker in Trey Smack, which basically means you're getting Christian Watson the clear-cut wide receiver one like he was towards the end of last year, Jayden Reed on an extension as well, and Matthew Golden entering year two who outside of a playoff game against the Bears last year basically did nothing in his rookie season. There's really no depth here with Zavian Williams, Bo Melton, and Skyy Moore. So, they're really going to lean on these three wide receivers in the passing attack. Number one being Christian Watson. And Tucker Kraft who's coming off of his own torn ACL might not even be ready for the start of the season. So, if you're Jordan Love, who are you going to trust most, right? If you're Packers quarterback Jordan Love, are you going to trust the guy towards the end of last year in the final eight games that you had a lot of chemistry with, or are you going to trust Matthew Golden who maybe takes a step forward but we haven't seen it. Or are you going to trust a depth wide receiver? Or Tucker Kraft who might not be on the field or not be 100% the first four weeks of the season. I think he's going to trust and so are the coaches and build this offense around Christian Watson. If he can stay healthy, things are going to be great, especially as a fifth or sixth round fantasy pick.

This off season he signed a major contract extension, 4 years $110 million, and you don't just give these types of contract extensions before his season's over, right? He would have played this year on a contract year, so they're trying to get ahead of it, and once he has a good year, which they're expecting, they'll have to pay him even more money. So, they go out there, they give the guy nearly $30 million per year. If that's the case, this is going to be their clear-cut number one. They also extended Jaylen Reed. They didn't give him that type of money. They didn't choose to sign Romeo Doubs. They didn't want to give him that type of money, right? They traded away D'Onta Foreman and Wicks for a reason. They needed the money for Christian Watson. So, really all it comes down to is this, Christian Watson's injury history. Last season, he didn't have any. He came back from the torn ACL, and he was fine the final seven games of the season. The year before that, unfortunately, yeah, well, he had a chest injury, right? But it didn't really limit him all that much. Uh the year before that, unfortunately, he had the knee injury. He had the ankle sprain. The year before that it was just hamstring issues. The good thing is, we haven't had a hamstring issue, knock on wood now, in nearly three seasons. For a speedy wide receiver who's become much more than just a speedy wide receiver. He's been a nice intermediate to deep route runner as well. Yards after the catch player, we saw it last year based on his efficiency. If he avoids those lower body hamstring and knee strains, he's going to pay off this price tag. A price tag that currently has him as the 63rd overall player in fantasy drafts. So, as of this recording today, he is a sixth round pick. He goes next to guys like Jahan Dotson. He goes guy next to guys like Rondale Moore, who's not even a clear-cut number one or number two in his own offense. Next to Byshow Johnson, who I like Byshow Johnson, but if we're talking about across different positions, it's Christian Watson all day. Somehow Jameson Williams, the clear-cut number two receiver, probably third option behind Jamaal Williams, maybe fourth option on a week-in and week-out basis behind Sam LaPorta. Somehow this guy is going ahead of Christian Watson. Doesn't make sense. Watson, in my opinion, has the better quarterback. He maybe has arguably a better offensive environment, has the better play caller, and oh yeah, he has a higher chance for more target share. So, I'm taking Watson there whenever I can in round six, even at the end of round five.

And I'm also coming around and taking a lot more Kyle Pitts right now. Where he currently goes is like a seventh round, sometimes an eighth round fantasy pick. Look, the room for Kyle Pitts is thinning out right now in terms of his competition. If we look at it, Darnell Mooney is now gone. He left this off-season. He signed with the uh New York Giants. So, what are we looking at? We're looking at Drake London, just like we had last year. We're looking at Jahan Dotson as maybe the team's number two receiver. Olamide Zaccheaus? Like, this is what we're a rookie and Zachariah Branch, who's like a gadgety guy. A Dylan Drummond, Vinnie Anthony. I've never even heard of Vinnie Anthony, and I do this for a living. Like, if Jahan Dotson is your number two wide receiver, Kyle Pitts has no target competition to be the number two option in this offense. Kyle Pitts, the guy that we already saw last year have that breakout season that we've been waiting for, right? The former first-round pick, fourth overall pick. What did he do last year? Finishes as a top-five fantasy tight end, earns a career-high 118 targets, plays every single game for the third straight season. He finally seems healthy. 928 receiving yards, 88 catches. Uh started to get used a little bit closer to the line of scrimmage. 10 and 1/2 yards per catch last year compared to previous years being 13 yards per catch. Had to operate more downfield. Didn't work out as much. He will have another new offensive coordinator this year, but if they can take anything from last year, use this guy shorter parts of the field. And it makes sense that they do, especially with London being a very good boundary downfield receiver.

Now, here is Kyle Pitts' game logs last year. Towards the end of last season, as you might remember, if you especially if you had him on your fantasy team or you had to face him, the guy was absolutely dominant. In five out of his last six games last season, he was finishing as a top-10 fantasy tight end. 15.2 points per game, 15. 45.6. Remember that I think Thursday night game, 11 catches, three touchdowns, 166 yards, 18.7. And then there's the game that he didn't do it, 3.6. So, at the end of the day, Kyle Pitts seemed to finally be healthy last year, seemed to be used in a better spot that actually fits him in the offense, and because of that, he rewarded fantasy managers with a dominant season despite not having some great quarterbacks. Now, heading into this year, he's going to have a new head coach, a new play-caller, Kevin Stefanski, somebody that I really like, somebody that has made tight ends around him really good. You just look at last year, Harold Landry had a top-10 tight end as a rookie. The year before that, David Njoku was a borderline top-five tight end week in and week out for two seasons under Kevin Stefanski. He knows how to call a run game, he knows how to call an offense when he actually has quality to average at best quarterback play, which he'll have this year, average at best, and he knows how to get his tight ends involved. It's also worth mentioning that Kyle Pitts did sign a big contract extension this offseason, 3 years, $54 million. They believe that he's 100% at his best, that's why they gave him the money. I think there's a lot more out there, a lot more to go get, and a lot more things towards grinding, towards his what he said based on his contract extension. So, this is good to see. They paid the guy, right? They let other guys walk, Darnell Mooney. They didn't make any big splashes in free agency or the NFL draft. They said, "We're taking our guy, first-round pick Drake London. We're taking our guy who broke out last year, first-round pick Kyle Pitts. Those are the pieces we're investing in in this offense passing attack-wise, and obviously Bijan Robinson."

Here's another nice quote from Zane Da Honey. He basically just pulls all the stuff going on in the offseason. He said, "The Falcons wanted the new coaching staff, Kevin Stefanski and his team, to get ample time to evaluate what kind of person Kyle Pitts was before fully committing." Lots of really positive quotes from the head coach, offensive coordinator, passing game coordinator, and head coach and tight end coach. Certainly sounds like we don't need to be worried about his route share. So, there's a bunch of stuff in here. Kyle's been a really good player, as you can see right here, in this league for a number of years. He's coming off of a great season where he's shown where his talent is, blah blah blah blah. Basically, they said like they like the guy. It took them as much as like 1 to 2 weeks to realize they like the guy. He has the talent, they could work with him, so they gave him a contract extension. Now, your biggest concern is basically going to be like can Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix or the combination of that this season actually provide a sustainable offense for one uh Kyle Pitts. And I would say yes. Michael Penix literally just did it last year, and so did backup quarterbacks. Tua Tagovailoa, although the concussions have been concerns, when he's actually healthy and going out there with a decent play caller like he had with Mike McDaniel, you see some of these big seasons of 4,600 passing yards, of 67 and 72% completion percentages, right? A lot of those are check-down targets the last year or two, but he can provide good offensive seasons for his pass catchers. Jaylen Waddle, Tyreek Hill the last 3 years or so, right? So, whether it's Tua or Michael Penix, I think there's enough there for Pitts, especially it's not like he's a third-round pick like a Colston Loveland. He's going around seven or eight. He could definitely pay that off. Specifically, he goes as the 75th overall player. Somehow going behind Harold Landry, who in my opinion worse offensive situation, worse offensive situation, worse quarterback play, more target competition overall. Maybe he doesn't have a Drake London there, but has more target competition. Um so, going behind him at the tight end position is just an absolute joke. Give me Kyle Pitts there all day long.

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And finally, maybe the player that I can't stop drafting the most that I'm building a lot of my drafts around right now is the late round quarterback Kyler Murray who somehow goes as a 10th round, a late 10th round fantasy pick by the way right now. This is a guy who I just think he's going to win a lot of fantasy championships as long as he stays healthy and basically just Justin Jefferson stays healthy this season. Here's what you need to know about Kyler Murray. Deal with injuries last year, weird contract situation, they didn't want to play him because they wanted to have some trade value, whatever it was, it doesn't really matter. Look at this according to Bryce De Grado over on Twitter. Kyler Murray finishes as a top five quarterback basically at all points in his career. Five out of his last seven, all five healthy seasons. He's also been top 12 in six of his last seasons on a point per game basis. Finished as the QB2 as well in his career based on current schedule, second easiest schedule this year, best situation of his career. Like everything is just good for Kyler Murray. Look at this. Easily the best situation that he's ever been in. When you have Justin Jefferson, in my opinion the best wide receiver he's ever played with. Jordan Addison, in my opinion the best wide receiver two he's ever played with. You could argue the combination of Hopkins and Marquise Brown earlier in his career. And then Jauan Jennings, definitely in my opinion the best wide receiver three he's ever played with. Still has T.J. Hockenson. Still has especially if healthy this year a borderline top 10 elite offensive line. Has Kevin O'Connell a play caller with veteran quarterbacks who's only been good, who's only produced top 12 week in and week out veteran QB Sam Darnold, Kirk Cousins, Joshua Dobbs, Nick Mullens, you name it. Heck, even Carson Wentz was looking good with like a lower body injury last year on his limited sample. Actually got Justin Jefferson to 100 receiving yards. Kevin O'Connell knows what to do with veteran QBs. And that's just backed up right here. You can see these quotes from Get Up right here. Kevin O'Connell is going to scheme up layups basically like no other coach. Now you have Kyler Murray who's going to expand the scheme with his legs. J.J. McCarthy couldn't have done any of that easy stuff last season. So you have Kyler Murray when he's like at his best he's a top 10 or top 12 quarterback in the NFL. When he's at least healthy he's definitely in that quarterback 12 to 20 range, no doubt about it. Way better than the 29th ranked uh quarterback room from a passing yards per game and points per game perspective that the Vikings had last year under McCarthy, under um Carson Wentz, under whoever was out there. And keep in mind like Kevin O'Connell's veteran quarterbacks over the last five years they're averaging a top 12 fantasy finish and none of them were as mobile as Kyler Murray. It can only go up from there in terms of your floor and your ceiling as a fantasy QB.

So what are the concerns for Kyler Murray? Well, he's going to a new team, right? Uh there's a situation of course with the injuries. Like if you just look at the past seasons in terms of games missed, we know that he missed a lot of games last year. We know that he missed the season before of that. Uh no time in 2024, but in 2023 you're missing nine games. When you're a mobile quarterback with a torn ACL on his resume, right? These knee injuries. It could uh just lead to you missing time. You could take a big hit and then everything is over. But if we say he stays healthy, or at least stays healthy for 13 to 14 to 15 out of the 17 games, I don't know how Kyler Murray does not pay off for you. At this point, best coach of his career, probably, right? Uh best situation of his career, a solid offensive line. If he's healthy with his wheels, he should be like a sixth or seventh-round pick, not a round 10 pick. I'd be shocked if in late August Kyler is still going as a late 10 late 10th-round pick, especially once people start watching content like my videos, right? Like he's going around guys like Jordan Mason. An RB1B on his team doesn't have pass-catching upside. He's going around guys like Dalton Schultz, who I don't hate this year, but do we really think Dalton Schultz is the type of breakout player or Jake Ferguson in this range like a Kyler Murray? No, I don't.

So, these are the players I'm betting everything on this year. We got guys across all the different positions. We covered all four positions here, and those are the guys that as of this recording, I like right now. I'm going to get in on my lineups, and I believe you should as well. Now, with all that said, if you want to see the complete opposite players of this video, the four players that I believe will break your heart in fantasy football, call them busts, call them avoids, whatever you want to do, they'll break your heart, well, check out this video right here. You want to reduce the mistakes you make in fantasy drafts, so make sure you do not draft these guys at their current ADPs.