Transcription
So, we had dropped Puka Nua in our rankings last week after the injury, but honestly, now that we are week through it and you have the week eight buy for Puka that he was going to miss regardless, I actually think there's a real shot that he's back in week nine. So, we will have Puka Nakua right back to where he was as the wide receiver one. I'm going to keep him in the same tier as these other names. If y'all remember back before he was injured, he was in his own tier, but now I think that he can have him alongside Jackson Smith and Jigba, who will be next.
JSN has been incredible. JSN is averaging 116 receiving yards per game. He's had 27 fantasy points and 30 fantasy points in back-to-back contests. Now, I am recording this before the Monday night game, so I'm not going to be able to let you know exactly what JSN does against the Houston Texans. I'm not gonna just go ahead and pull it up on Underdog Fantasy and give you a sense of what the projections say that he may or may not do. But he is currently high or lower 87 and a half receiving yards and higher lower 16.45 fantasy points which was the highest projection of any wide receiver this week including CD Lamb.
CD Lamb comes out immediately gives you the big receiving touchdown his first game back in here for the Dallas Cowboys. But realistically, you didn't have to have a ton of passing volume for Dak. You had multiple receiving touchdowns going in the direction of Jake Ferguson. But clearly with the Jaden Daniels injury, it was a tough spot for the Commanders with Marcus Mariota to keep up to make the Dallas Cowboys keep the pedal to the metal. But CD Lamb gonna be in a super good spot rest of season. Clearly fully healthy.
And then with Jamar Chase, I understand a lot of people are going to be upset with us having him this low because right now I mean he is coming off a game where he had 38.1 points. He had 23 targets, 16 receptions, 161 receiving yards. And against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Joe Flaca was just spamming Jamar Slants over and over and over and over again. But realistically, I do think that we have to at least acknowledge the fact that Jamar Chase definitely has the worst quarterback in this tier by far. So even if I think he's the most talented wide receiver in this tier, I'm going to put a discount on him.
Now, moving over to our next tier, we're going to be led off with Amra St. Brown. And honestly, um, St. Brown should probably be an S tier wide receiver. If you look at the projections for him tonight, he is higher, lower 75 and at receiving yards, higher, lower, 15.45 fantasy points. We'll see what he does tonight. And obviously, I'll be live streaming after the game tonight, updating these rankings for you then. Um, so just make sure you are subscribed. And also, we are about a thousand subscribers away from hitting 300K. So, if for whatever reason you're not subscribed, help us out. Come on.
Um, Justin Jefferson will be our next name with Jet. He had 10 targets this past week. Three games straight now where you've had Carson Wentz. I'm kind of forcefeeding Justin Jefferson where he's had 10 targets in every contest. He's actually only had one receiving touchdown so far this season off of 52 targets for a touchdown rate less than 2%. Realistically, you should expect some positive regression with this soon.
Going over and looking at Rasheed Rice, um Rice is coming off a game in which he had multiple receiving touchdowns for the Chiefs. Obviously is a red zone weapon. only had 42 receiving yards. We know Rice isn't like the biggest play wide receiver, but again with the Kansas City Chiefs, you are going to have consistent trips to the red zone and you are going to have Rasheed Rice heavily involved once they get to that area of the field.
Um Drake London, you have a really striking difference between the games in which Darnell Mooney plays and the games in which Darnell Mooney misses. Like you would think that it wouldn't make that big of a difference. And because it's a small sample size thing, I'm going to assume that it's more of a coincidence than anything. But a lot of those blowups that you have from Drake London where he scores 25 30 fantasy points. You are getting that mainly when Mooney has been out.
And then with Nico Collins, he's been very disappointing so far this season. He's actually only averaging 14 fantasy points per game, but he's already through the buy. He's currently a higher lower 73 and a half receiving yards on underdog. But what's interesting is I guess he's just very unlikely to score a touchdown cuz they have them only at high or lower 11.95 fantasy points which obviously you can say that the Texans offense is much worse than what you have with some of these like the Detroit Lions and the Kansas City Chiefs.
Now moving over to B tier. I cannot tell you how pissed it made me to watch Devonte Adams score three touchdowns to allow Bodaki, the 0 and6 team in my league, beat me and stop me from becoming the number one team in the league yet again. I unbelievable my I had the worst Sunday that I've had all season. I was so pissed. 35 receiving yards but three receiving touchdowns. Red zone monster.
Um, yeah, I want to give him the benefit of the doubt in the rankings, averaging almost 16 points per game when Puka is injured. Now, once Puka is officially fully back and healthy, then at that point, I think Puka probably goes back to being in his own tier in these rankings. And Adams as well slides down B tier.
Now, Ibuka will be our next name. It seems like he actually has a very real chance of playing tonight, which is extremely weird because my expectations once he had the hamstring injury against the ners would be that he was missing the next two weeks against the Lions and the Saints based off initial reports. But for him to apparently be this close to returning this week, I mean, I think at the very worst case scenario, you're getting him back in week eight, but you're also having Mike Evans return as well.
Um, George Piggins will be our next name. Um, Dak Prescott is looking like he's going to lead the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns. So, if that happens, there's a very real possibility that CD Lamb and George Pickkins are this year's version of Jamar Chase and T. Higgins from last year.
Um, Roma Dunay has his second game where he has slid him back down to earth in a dramatic way. I don't want to overreact though because realistically he's still averaging 15 points per game. And again, you go back two weeks ago against Washington, he did have that receiving touchdown called back where if that stood, then Rome would actually be even higher. But yeah, there aren't many players ranked behind Rome that have averaged more points per game than him so far this season. And then he's also through the buy, so you get him for an extra week and you still have the tiny tiny tiny percent chance that DJ Moore gets dealt.
Um Courtland Sutton is either going to give you 15 or more points or he's going to give you three or fewer. There's nothing in between. You'll never get a four reception, 40 receiving yard game for Courtland Sutton. It's either going to be six receptions, 87 receiving yards, or one reception for 17. It's the weirdest thing ever. But, I mean, honestly, if we just look at uh our weekly rankings next week, Sutton may be a top like eight wide receiver for us because he gets to go up against the Dallas Cowboys.
And then AJ Brown gives you the massive blow up where he has multiple receiving touchdowns. 121 receiving yards in this game against the Minnesota Vikings. And very clearly if the Philadelphia Eagles are going to have to throw the ball, AJ Browns and Devont Smith will be great. We'll talk about Smith in just one second. But if they are not going to have to throw the ball, then it's going to be a spot where they have a really low floor.
Now, I'm going to be 100% honest with you. Please understand that when we are making a rankings list, it is extremely difficult to show the true value gaps that you add between some of these names. Like the value gap that you add between say like a Marsh Rice to Nico Collins, that gap from seven to nine or let's go Rasheed Rice to Devonte Adams, right? That gap from 7 to 10 is a larger gap for me than wide receiver 16 to 28 in our rankings. These next 12 wide receivers are all about the same. They're all players for me that when they're healthy, you got to put in your starting lineup. If we were predicting points per game going into the future, they're all going to be within about a point per game at least in my projections. So even though Crystal Lave is wide receiver 16, when we look at Keenan Allen who's wide receiver 27 in just a second, understand they are very very close together with a lav. You had some trade rumors. I think that they're still very much valid just because this Saints team isn't playing for anything. You get the big spike week this past week showing that he does have the upside and the efficiency is actually trending in the right direction. And we've s seen now for back-to-back weeks where his yards per target and his yards per route run have actually swung. And what's really interesting is you've actually had decent projections for the New Orleans Saints with Spencer Rattler under center over the past two weeks as well.
Mike Evans will be our next name with Evans. Um you can pretty much be guaranteed that this team wants to try to get him to a thousand receiving yards. If Baker can, he will force feed the ball in that direction. Um, realistically, I still think that Ibuka's shown enough where he's probably the wide receiver one for this team in the long term, but Evan's still going to be very capable. The concern I would have is Godwin possibly coming back after the buy.
Um, I'm not the biggest Z Flowers guy. I know Zay Flowers looked really bad over the past few weeks, but it was frankly because, you know, no Lamar Jackson, so the offense was garbage coming out of the by-week. I'm expecting Lamar to be good to go. Flowers will be much better.
Um, Tedo McMillan only averaging 11.9 fantasy points per game, but every single game this year, he's had at least five targets. I understand that Bryce Young's horrible. Y'all know I'm not a Bryce Young fan, but I do expect the rookie wide receiver to continue to get better as time goes on.
Um, Garrett Wilson from a points per game perspective would actually be higher than this in our ranks. I'm going to assume you don't get Garrett Wilson back until week 10 at the very earliest knowing that the Jets have the week nine buy. But also, this Jets team's not playing for anything. So, if I was Garrett Wilson, I'd be fine just rehabbing and collecting paychecks to be honest. But that's just me. I'm not a a warrior athlete like Garrett Wilson is.
And then with Debo Samuel, um God knows what this injury is going to be like. He didn't practice all week leading up to the Dallas game. I mean, he didn't practice all week, but he still played against the Chicago Bears two weeks back and he clearly looked injured where he only had 15 receiving yards in that game. So, it will just be very important to monitor what we have with the injury updates with Wilson and Debo and I'll make sure that we keep you updated every single day going in the future.
Now, um DK Medaf is my wide receiver one on my team. And you're going to think, Mason, the wide receiver one on your team is the wide receiver 22 in your ranks. Yes, that's how damn bad I currently am. Like I said, I've now fallen to five and two and I just lost against the worst team in my league. Um DK Mechaf is averaging about 14 and a half points per game, but he's actually only at six targets per game. If you look at every wide receiver that we have put in these rankings so far, I mean, I'll just give you a little sneak peek as well. Every wide receiver that is wide receiver 31 or better in these rankings is actually averaging more targets per game than DK Mechaf, Meetaf's just been running hot with touchdowns. So, I am worried that they're going to fall back down.
Lad Man McConkey, Quinton Johnston will be our next two names. Lad's actually only averaging 12 and a half points per game. Like Quinton Johnson's up at 16.2. The Big Q very clearly has been the wide receiver one for the Los Angeles Chargers. I see no difference with how you value these players. I see no difference with how you value Michael Pitman and DK Medaf. They're almost the exact same guy for me. Obviously in games in which you have no Josh Downs, Pitman will be ranked dramatically ahead of DK Mechaf in my weekly rankings, but once you eventually get Josh DS back in, I would be worried that the Pitman targets go back down to like six to seven a game.
Devont Smith crazy high ceiling and thank god we got the 33-point performance. If y'all go ahead and look up my current underdog basketball team status, they are cruising and Devont Smith is helping with that in a big time way with this kind of spike week. but super inconsistent, right? You have, I mean, a total of four games with fewer than 10 fantasy points for Smith. So, you're gonna have these massive spikes, but you're gonna have these massive duds as well, which is good in baseball, but in your regular league, it's going to be tough.
Um, Kenan Allen gives you a big spike this past week. Keenan Allen actually had been pretty bad for a 3-week stretch where he had 8.7, 10.8, 6.7 points leading into this, but now he explodes 429. He was the wide receiver three on the week. So, like I think you'd be excited about Keenan and then Jaylen Waddle. Um, I know that we just nukeked this dude in our ranks. And again, like I said, realistically for me, the wide receiver 28 and the wide receiver 16, it's about the same thing. But dear God, please send Jaylen Waddle anywhere but Miami.
Now going down to E tier. I am recording this before we have the update with a Brian Thomas injury, but with how bad Brian Thomas has been this season where so far he's had one game this year with more than 12 fantasy points and now he's injured, I would like, if you're ask me at the time of this recording before I get any injury updates with Brian Thomas, I would trade him for any wide receiver in C or Dtier. like at this point it looks like his rookie season I don't want to say it was a fluke but we're not getting back there.
Um looking at Jordan Addison. Addison comes through with a massive massive game almost 22 fantasy points. It's the first time this year that he does this with volume as well. 128 receiving yards. My concern again is I do think that Justin Jefferson here is eventually the long-term alpha and I'm a little bit worried about what that means for Addison's target share.
Um, Travis Hunter will be our next name. Travis Hunter, you get the massive breakout game this past week. 14 targets, eight receptions, 101 receiving yards, and the receiving touchdown. They don't really play him at all on the defensive side of the ball. They just pretty much allow him to be an offensive player. And if Brian Thomas is truly injured, you would assume that that actually continues going into the future.
And then looking at what we have with Marvin Harrison, Marv, I mean, you thought like, oh, okay, he's actually able to play from the concussion. I guess he's viably No, Marvin Harrison has zero games this season with 20 or more fantasy points. Marvin Harrison in his career has played, I want to say 24 games, and in those 24 games, he's had two games with 20 or more points. He really is just a name.
Um, Tiggins I have on my team. I also have Stefon Diggs on my team as well. So, I would really like to go through and rank them higher than this, but I just think that there are such shaky projections every single week. Terry Mccclure and I have no idea what the injury update's going to be here. Xavier Worthy looks banged up. Like, what's the upside with Worthy now? Back-to-back games with only four targets. I actually drafted Worthy in a lot of underdog basketball drafts and a big mistake that I made to be honest. And then Ricky Pieraw, we need to know the injury update with. I have no idea at this point.
Now going down to F tier. Wandell Robinson may need to move up in these ranks. Again, if we were looking at sportsbook projections, they were actually very low on this offense for the New York Giants coming into this game. But what we need to now rethink about and what we now need to have to re-evaluate is Wandel Robinson under the assumption that Jackson Dart is an elite level quarterback. I don't elites a poor choice of words, but Jackson Dart is going to give this offense above average quarterback play and Wandell Robinson has no target competition.
Matthew Golden at the beginning of the game for the Packers, he looked like he was about to have a massive breakout like on a single drive. I think he had three targets, three receptions, but then he falters out, ends up not doing much. And I mean, we're not that that far off from Jaden Reed returning.
Um, Jameson Williams, massive boom bust wide receiver. You're going to get a lot of games with fewer than five fantasy points, but pick the right matchup and it'll go over 20 and some. Like right now, his median projection on underdog is high or lower eight and a half points, but obviously the ceiling is crazy.
Looking at Khalil Shakir, um, Shakir's yet score 20 fantasy points in a game this season. Shakir's careerhigh fantasy points is 21.6 six and this dude's in his fourth NFL season and obviously Josh Allen's been balling for a while.
Um DJ Moore not trustworthy whatsoever. I know he leads this team in receiving this past week but still his target volume's very consistent but consistent in a bad way. 56555 not interested.
Um Chris Godwin I mean the dude's so banged up and now you have Mike Evans and Ibuko looking like they're going to be the wide receiver one and wide receiver two. I actually really like drafting Chris Godwin, thinking that we had a lot of late season upside in basketball drafts. That looks horrendous at this point.
Um, Jacobe Meyers wasn't producing when he was healthy and he's definitely not producing now. I mean, you haven't had a game with double digit fantasy points since week two. I think the hope is he ends up getting traded.
And then going over and looking at Brandon Iayuk. This is the highest that we've had Brandon Iayuk in our rest of season rankings so far this year. But every week that goes by, he will be climbing higher and higher and higher until when he finally returns. He probably will be up there around like wide receiver 30, wide receiver 31 for us. And then he could continue to rise if he performs well.
Romeo Dobs will be our next option with Romeo Dobs. Again, you'd have to be somewhat concerned if you end up getting back Jaden Reed that the volume does go away or that you end up getting just a breakout from the rookie and Matthew Golden.
Jawan Jennings super banged up. Um, and also just this entire offense is one man and one man alone with McCaffrey.
Keon Coleman doesn't look viable. Josh Down, Straight Tucker, Jerry Judy, Kendrick, all these guys look like bombs.
Realistically, the big thing I want you to take away with this rankings list is wide receivers 16 through 28 are all the same. You're probably starting them if you play in a regular league like a 12 team format, two wide receivers, two flexes. If you play in a super shallow format where you only start two wide receivers, one flex, and it's like a 10 team league, then I could see you benching one of those wide receivers 16 through 28. Wide receivers 15 and above are the must start names. And then wide receivers 29 through 37. Um I have the upside to turn into must start players but also have the downside where they just give you four points in any given week. And then the guys in tiers F and G I'm probably not that excited to start to be honest with you. But I think that's all I got for you. I really appreciate you. And of course if you wanted to check out any of those projections like Jameson Williams higher lower eight and a half fantasy points for tonight's game. Ah Ahmad Russ Brown higher lower 15.45. for five fantasy points for tonight's game. I'll leave the link to underdog fantasy in the description as well as the comment section. If you use code flock, you are going to be getting $100 added to your account after you play your first five. And on top of that, you'll be getting a free Baker Mayfield pick high or lower half a total yard. Plus, you'll be getting free questions that you can ask in the live streams. And we're live streaming every single day until Christmas answering your fantasy football questions. Underdog is the number one sports app in the app store because it's an incredible app. It's available in almost every single state and they have the best promos in the industry right now.