Transcription
Hi, I am Tom Lassing, Beursbox.nl. I am going to talk about the Caspian Sea. And that has everything to do with the war between Ukraine and Russia, but actually also with the war between Iran and the US. And I am going to show you exactly where that Caspian Sea is located and what it looks like there. Why it is quite remarkable. We see the Caspian Sea here. It is located here. And now Iran is found in the south. Russia is found here and we have Ukraine here. And Ukraine has proven capable of reaching the Caspian Sea from here over the occupied territory and over Russia and hitting ships there. In fact, hitting ships that are sailing to Russia's port. And Ukraine has simply said: "We are going to implement a blockade." Iran, and I find this remarkable, is still capable of sending weapons to Russia, so that Russia has more to defeat Ukraine. That is remarkable because Iran itself is involved in a war with the United States and regularly attacks the Gulf states and also carries out attacks towards other countries. And despite that, and despite the fact that the United States said months ago: "We have militarily defeated them," they are still capable of producing weapons in such quantities that they can still export them to Russia. That same ship then sails back to Iran with food from Russia. And so these two countries sustain each other. Ukraine occasionally puts a spanner in the works by occasionally torpedoing a ship, or at least hitting it with a drone. And that does not mean that the ship will sink immediately, but it will have to be towed to port. And the question is whether it will ever sail normally again after that. So it costs time anyway, and it costs a lot of money to repair or replace that ship. Well, Iran is understandably angry with Ukraine. But yes, well. Ukraine has been angry with Iran for a very long time, so I don't find that so remarkable. And the two countries are not so angry with each other that they are directly involved in a war. It is also very difficult to reach each other. It is possible. Iran has the missiles to reach Ukraine. So in that sense, it could happen. And Ukraine does not yet have the means to reach Iran. So if those two countries were to go to war with each other, there would have to be a technical development in Ukraine to achieve that, to then hit Iran. But I sincerely hope that no war arises between those two. But on the other hand, it is true that they are hitting each other at the moment, but via Russia. And that is, well, in fact, what is happening now. That Ukraine is capable of reaching the Caspian Sea is not so remarkable in itself, because they are also capable of reaching here in Russia. And then you already see that the Caspian Sea is also a possibility to reach. So in that sense, it is a technical development that is very logical. And Zelensky has already said that next year Ukraine's drones and missiles will reach 4,000 to 10,000 km. Yes, then Iran is easily reachable, but then even Siberia, and then deep into Siberia, can be reached by Ukraine. Why wouldn't I believe that? You see the development in Ukraine going so fast that I think it is indeed possible. And Iran also already has missiles that can reach Western Europe. So that technology is not really a world wonder. It is accessible to multiple countries. And yes, if you search on the internet, you can find it. After that, you will get a visit from some secret agents. But you can, if you really want to find that kind of data on how to make a ballistic missile, it's all findable. So in that sense, these are not things that are impossible, but you need the means and the money to develop it. You need to have the factories. Ukraine has the knowledge and the means from history to make such things, but they were mainly made in Donbas. And that is now largely occupied by Russians. The Ukrainians who lived there have largely fled to Ukraine. Not all of them. There are still a lot of people, and some people have also fled to Russia. But a large part of the knowledge has gone to Ukraine. And they are now using that knowledge to further develop it in other parts of Ukraine, but also in Western Europe. The fact is, Ukraine used to have a good economy in eastern Ukraine. In that part that is now occupied by Russia. The west of Ukraine was the poor part. There was also a lot of nature there. Underneath here is a truly enormous natural area. Above here is an enormous marshy area. So the core of Ukraine's economy was really here in Donbas. That's where heavy industry was. That's also where the soil was, where many interesting things could be found. And if we look at where the military power of Ukraine was, yes, that was mainly in Crimea. Because that was for the Soviet Union, and later for Ukraine, of course, also an important point to, yes, control the Black Sea. The Russians have always remained in Crimea. In Sevastopol, they have always had a naval port. They also had an air force base in Crimea. Only the problem became that Ukraine was actually hinting that they were going to stop that. And that was, I think, the main reason for Russia to say, well, we don't want that, because we want to keep Crimea. Because then we control the Black Sea. And then we actually have a kind of outpost, just like we have here with Kaliningrad. We have a kind of outpost for the Russian front, in fact, which is the border here towards the west. Because this is of course a fantastic location to keep an eye on Eastern Europe and to keep an eye on Turkey. And Kaliningrad is fantastically located to keep an eye on the Baltic states and especially Poland, but also think of Sweden and Denmark. So these are two outposts for Russia that they absolutely did not want to lose. So all the [ __ ] about why Russia started this war. I think it can be traced back to the fact that they didn't want to lose that outpost. And Ukraine hinted that the deal with the naval port and the air force base was actually on shaky ground. And Russia could not let that happen. Then they actually annexed Crimea, but Ukraine blocked the canal between the reservoir and Crimea, making water no longer available. And that was then the step for Russia to say: "Oh, then we have to create the land bridge, because then we can empty that reservoir again." That is no longer possible, because the Russians themselves destroyed the dam that created that reservoir. And they did that because they threatened in 2000, what is it? In 2023, they threatened to lose the war because Ukraine was on the verge of breaking through. And by letting that dam break, that entire offensive by Ukraine failed. So yes, and then you have the fact that there is still a huge water shortage in Crimea. And that makes Crimea untenable for Russia. It is far too expensive to keep maintaining it. They still do it, because yes, it's status, you know. But the military power that was there in Crimea is also gone. The port of Sevastopol is actually no longer used by the navy because Ukraine can reach it too easily. So the Russian warships are now here in the Black Sea and no longer here, because yes, that will be destroyed. Furthermore, you now see that Ukraine has free rein above Crimea because the Russian air defense there has largely been destroyed. It is constantly replenished by the Russians. They keep doing it, because they continue to consider it important that Crimea remains Russian. But the situation there is becoming quite untenable. Especially due to the blockade by the Ukrainians. The land bridge is blocked. Those trucks are attacked. Ukraine is constantly active on Crimea itself. And also here, the bridge that is here is hardly in use anymore. Yes, Russia has decided to supply Crimea with resources by ship. And Ukraine has hit at least 130 ships in the last two weeks, making that route no longer feasible. It is becoming increasingly difficult for Russia to maintain Crimea. Yes, the question is how they will try to do it, or will they give up at some point and have to leave Crimea? We will see. I will leave it at that for my part. Did you find the video interesting and informative? Give it a thumbs up. Do you not yet have a subscription to this channel? Subscribe then. Also press the bell. You will get a notification when I have made the next video. Also go to the website www.beursbox.nl. Sign up there for the free newsletter. Thanks for watching. See you next time. Bye.