Transcription
This crypto is one of the only cryptos to have exploded after the crash, at least to have held up very, very well and to have tried to move upwards. We will talk about it, obviously, we are talking about Tao today, which will also have its halving soon. So we will try to see technically what would be signals of truly sustainable growth or if this rebound is a huge trap. And we will also see the levels that can be reached. Just before starting, I remind you that our algo service is still available. 30 for SPT algos last week. It was the best week for these algorithms. I repeat once again, past performance does not represent and does not reflect future performance. I repeat once again, LIM algorithms, which last week made 30 TP. To access these algos, it is the first link in the pinned comment. It is free, all useful links concerning my content. It brings you back to this page. You just have to register on Bitgate, our partner link. So like this, hop, you validate the little verification and so you register. And once you are registered, you just have to click right here. Algo trading mentorship VIP Alcoin and crypto. It is a small video in which I explain absolutely everything about how to activate the algos on your account but also how to get the mentorship for free and how to access the VIP Alcoin crypto on Discord right here. It is totally free. This is where I will share the best opportunities on the market from my point of view.
So to come to Tao, just before the crash, we already had a Tao that was starting to accelerate. Then the crash arrived. So well, the whole market suffered the same crash. We came to recover the stops that we had left behind us for the past few months. So the low of 2024. We can see that we stopped perfectly here. I repeat once again, there are algos that are programmed to buy these zones. That's why we stopped falling here. And so then we went back well above the crash candle. Okay, so we look at when it crashed on the market. It crashed from here. We see that Tao quickly went back above this level and then it ended up going to seek major stops. What is this stop zone? This is what is called the previous quarterly high. So it is the high of the previous quarter. We can see that we came to recover the stops here and that for the moment the price was rejected once. So there are really two major levels that have been cleaned out.
Now, if we look at Tao in the long term, we can see that Tao is in a huge long-term range with simply a low boundary here that it has been defending for months, which is probably the base of its accumulation zone. This is probably where big players are accumulating. And then, we have two ranges. We have a range within a range. So, for me, we have an intermediate range here which is the middle of a larger range, quite simply. So I know, I know that's a lot of times the word range, but it's an exceptional range for those who get the reference a little. We are really in a range within a range. And so here for you as an investor, the best thing is to buy at the bottom of the range. Okay? Now the market came to purge for the first time. Well, for the first time, we came for the 4th or 5th time to purge, well, to come into this range bottom, we took all the stops and so on during the crash. If you were able to position yourself, huge and very, very good. If you couldn't, well, as long as we don't break free from the first range, as long as we don't break this range, nothing will happen. So a new bullish signal would be the acceptance of a Tao above this range. Like that, it could indicate that the next step is the upper boundary eventually. So that could be a signal for investors to position themselves in order to go for the upper boundary, secure part of the investment and then if it breaks, if all this is an accumulation phase and we have a second bullish leg on Tao after the first one we had. As you can see, we did exactly the same thing before. Now, that doesn't mean we're going to break this range to the north, I don't know. It might break to the south. Well, it's perhaps not what seems to me to be the most probable thing, but well, you never know. I forgot to say it, but we already had a range here. We can see that we had a similar accumulation zone. For those who recognize the Ws, we had two. We had a first one right here which marked our bottom, a second one which marked the rally. We even had a W within a W here. When your chart starts to draw this, especially on the weekly timeframe for cryptos, it smells very, very good. And when it starts to break, it generally takes off quite strongly. And that's what happened here.
Tao is now the leader in terms of AI. It's a project that is quite complex. Uh, I'm talking mainly for novices. So that's why well, we can make them buy quietly, huh, tell them "Yes, it's the future of AI and so on and so on without really knowing why people will buy." There is also the halving narrative which is rather good. I think in December, there is the halving. So that will again reduce the supply. So theoretically it will make the token rarer. Well, it's like BTC, I'm not teaching you anything new. So theoretically it could possibly make it gain some value. It can be one of the narratives why Tao can appreciate, but this structure must be broken. Here, we can see that we would make a huge W within a huge W. In fact, what was done here, well, it would be on an even larger scale and it would be a very good signal. But it must break, it must not be rejected by this resistance. It has been since January 2025. So in fact, if you take the year 2025 on an annual scale, we can see that well, we are almost close to the opening price. We opened this candle right here for now at 442. We can see that we are slightly below the 2025 opening price and that we cannot go above the 2024 closing price. For now, every time we go there, we are rejected, it makes a wick. So this corresponds precisely to the middle of the range and therefore well, our range within a range, huh, rather this small range here. And uh, it's important to break it, it's paramount because if Tao manages to break this range, well, it would be one of the only assets that has momentum currently on the market. Because I remind you once again, you always have to compare everything to BTC when Bitcoin here is perhaps naturally at the dawn of breaking a bearish trend. I don't know if it will happen. Once again, I am obliged to talk about it because it is very important, but if we have fun closing and breaking this ascending low, we would have a big bearish signal on Bitcoin anyway which would perhaps indicate the beginning of a bearish swing. And we would have to see how Tao can behave in this scenario. If Bitcoin does not give this signal, meaning that Bitcoin holds its order block well and heads back towards its highs because Bitcoin is in a megaphone structure. The megaphone is a structure like this. That is to say, the dynamic no longer makes ascending or descending lows and highs. That is to say, we no longer make a dynamic like this or a dynamic like this, but we do this. And this is a rather dangerous and volatile dynamic. You see, the highs are ascending and the lows are descending. We can see it here on Bitcoin. Descending low, well, descending low, descending low again, high, high, ascending high. So we clearly see this megaphone dynamic. This dynamic which is quite volatile. If ever we were to break this low, well, which would indicate that we would still be in this megaphone, but if this megaphone breaks downwards, then it could accelerate on BTC. And so if ever we do this, that's not positive at all, even for Tao. So you have to understand that Tao is also subject to Bitcoin. A Bitcoin that puts pressure on its supports can prevent Tao from breaking its resistance. Now, a Bitcoin that holds its support zone well and heads back towards its resistance, I have no doubt about breaking the resistance on Tao. Why? Because Tao reacted much better than Bitcoin since the crash. You just have to look graphically at what happened. We can see that when Bitcoin started to crash, it started to crash from here. Tao was here. We can see that Tao was much higher than Bitcoin on the bullish recovery. Bitcoin stopped there. Tao went all the way up here. And on the other hand, here, we see that Bitcoin is perhaps already finishing this rebound. So it's a very weak rebound if that's the case. Uh, and here we see that Tao is correlating with BTC with a descending high. And so well, that would not be positive because if you have a Bitcoin that starts a bearish dynamic like this, Tao will now start to follow this dynamic.
And so for you, to position yourself correctly for those who believe in Tao, who accumulate it, and so on and so on, how do you do it? Well, first of all, there was this FVG zone, I had already talked about it in a short video a while ago which was a good zone. We reacted well in it. So there's no problem with that. Also, if I add another technical element, there is a breaker block here that did its job very well. So there's no issue with that. Uh, what you do is you draw your reload zone, quite simply. So here you take your lowest point. Don't worry, I haven't placed my Fibonacci correctly. We haven't taken the right point. There, we maintained 382. 382, you know the rule. You have to maintain 382 if you want to have a continuation and a new high. If ever the market forms this, for example, well, that would be super positive for a bullish continuation and to head towards our future range which is close to the ATH, the top of the range. On the other hand, if we come, we start to make Ms here and we break the first stop, there are high chances of coming to take a little tour, why not in this reload zone. And as the name suggests, reload zone, we reload. So it would be approximately here below the stops of the last intermediate candle right there. And so here, there will be a good zone to position yourself between 268 and 211 dollars. I don't know if we will get there, but if you have buy limits, it can be a good zone. And we also see that it can correspond to the bottom of the range. Anyway, a range must be treated as a range. If the market cannot break the top of the range, it will probably return to the bottom of the range. And so I remind you that in an investment strategy, we buy at the bottom of the range, we take profits at the top of the range, we don't sell everything because if it breaks, we are out, it's a shame, but we take a little profit, we secure and if it breaks, we continue to sell at the next boundary. That's theoretically what you have to do in a range. So this is not where you have to be all in, saying I hope it will break, because if it doesn't break, yes, we can possibly return to the bottom of the range. A trigger would be the loss of the first stop of the Daily Fair Value Gap. Really re-establishing ourselves below 330 dollars would be more indicative of a Tao failing to break its range and possibly returning to the bottom of the range. Don't forget that Tao is also subject to what BTC does. I doubt that if BTC starts to enter a bearish swing, I honestly doubt that Tao will break its range. For me, the most probable thing in the coming weeks, if there is a Bitcoin in a bearish Q4, Q4, what does that mean? it means the fourth quarter of the year, we will probably have a Tao that will, in fact, well, continue to range in its range, quite simply, because that's what it's been doing for months and as long as it doesn't break it, well, that's the most probable thing. So we must apply a range strategy. You can draw a FIB here as I did, and then the reload zone is a very good zone here to position yourself eventually if we ever return there. The catastrophic scenario, of course, would be Tao breaking its range downwards. Uh, again, it depends on your convictions. If you are convinced that Tao will be the next AI bubble that breaks its range to the south or not, you don't care. You will simply buy even here and it will potentially be extraordinary buying prices. Uh, but we need a bullish Bitcoin, otherwise it will be complicated.
We can look at the Tao BTC chart. So I'm doing it myself because it's only on Bitfinex that this chart exists and it's not very liquid. So here again, we can see that on Tao's side, huh, what would be needed is to break this last descending high against Bitcoin. That would be an excellent signal. That would give us a big structure like this with the wick taking the stops, the W. And so then we could say "Okay, Tao is going to break everything against Bitcoin." But we see that Tao since February 2024 has been in a bear market against Bitcoin. That is to say, it had a big rebound. We did not manage to make new highs. We made a descending high and since then we have made a new bearish leg. And for now, there is no bullish structure here. Really, I'm talking about the dynamic theory of Dow, that is to say ascending lows and highs. We have a low, we have a high, we have a descending low and for now we have a descending high. We would need to break this high to have a nice market structure. That would be good. So that's what we need to observe as well. There is a small breaker on the weekly scale here that we can observe. Returning below this weekly breaker against BTC, well, that would indicate that unfortunately it was just a stop hunt and that we will quickly go back down, which would not be good at all. So Tao against Bitcoin remains in a bear market currently. We see that it performed well. You see the difference when we make these structures, then it breaks. So we would need to do the same thing. We would need to break this descending high and then we could have a phase of appreciation of Tao against Bitcoin again. That would be an excellent signal. For now, we don't have it. So all of this is important. Also, what needs to be observed, well, it can help, but it's the market dynamic overall, especially for AI.
So I have some indices here that I have already made and we will take a look. I will just take a look against Bitcoin. So this is one of my indices against BTC. Well, we see that the AI market is getting destroyed against Bitcoin for the moment. In the stock market, there is a big bubble, there are many stocks that are exploding. Well, just look at Nvidia, but on our side in crypto, there is a total disinterest from the market. We see that Nvidia, moreover, is starting to slow down a little here. We see this at the momentum level. If I put an indicator like MACD, there, we see that we have small bearish divergences here. So we have the beginnings of more significant divergences, particularly here. We see that the indicator is much lower than what it did before, but this big divergence here is not yet confirmed. On the other hand, here, we have a small divergence. So, we see that the momentum is slowing down, but we can see it with our eyes. Anyway, I have already taught you that when the market starts to re-enter the highs it breaks, it means it is starting to diverge. Moreover, there is a breaker block, well, breaker block, well, there is the gap, but let's say there is a structure shift marker here that remains to be observed on Nvidia. So even in the stock market, we see that Nvidia is starting to slow down. The AI narrative is perhaps starting to fade and perhaps we are due to retrace a part of this leg. We could have the first stop, well, eventually. And so a market that gets shaken, well, it's not necessarily very, very good for the AI market in crypto, knowing that it is already in huge difficulty. So Tao is holding up well. Now it has returned to the top of the range. It's not yet the ultimate signal. A good signal would be breaking this range. And again, play accumulation strategies in a range. We don't know if we will return there, but if we do, you'll be glad to have Tao at the bottom of its range because that's how we will accumulate. And we see it here, if the price turns around here, it's not by magic. It's not here that the market decides to turn around for no reason. No, it's because there are big buyers who are buying at these levels. We see it, the price came for the first time. It launched a new leg. A second time, it launched a new leg. A third time, it launched a new leg. Here, again, everything was bought back immediately. There are clearly big players accumulating here. So theoretically, for me, what needs to be done is to accumulate with them. Will we return there? Once again, I don't know. But in any case, if we return there, it's really a very good zone and you have to play this range strategy. And if it breaks, it's an excellent signal to go for the top of the range.
Now, and I will end this video with this. My goal is not to sell you opium, it is just to make extension objectives. What would be the objectives of this range break if it were to happen? There are two ways to calculate them. Well, several ways, but I will give you the maximum objectives. There is the first which is to take the highest and lowest point and uh make an extension objective of 1618 to 200%. So there, that would give us between 1177 dollars and 1419 dollars. That's the first objective. Then there are objectives that I use a lot which are derived from the number pi. If ever we were to do this, I will calculate the extension objectives for this zone. So I will proceed like this. I take this high, this low and I will give you the levels. First objective which is in confluence with an objective we have already seen, 1271. Second, we have here approximately 1990 dollars. And we have the final objective which is between 3075 dollars and 3800 dollars. We can see that on the previous structure, this is where we stopped on the other pump before correcting, before making another rise, but it is indeed in this zone that we stopped. So there we were at 99 dollars, there was an objective between 367 and 460. We went up to 394, so in the zone before correcting sharply. So there, if we do that again, the zone would be between 3000 dollars and 3800 dollars. I am not saying that we will reach these levels. Again, these are mathematical objectives. If we ever break this huge consolidation, these could be objectives that the market might try to reach. If ever this, if we zoom out in the long term and suddenly it forms a big breakout, well, we will see it as a re-accumulation zone in a huge weekly before the pump. And then of course, since the crypto market generally forms bubbles, well, it's a bubble that will burst and we will probably retrace 90% of the movement as it has always been done here on Tao. Moreover, I think we must have retraced at least 80% of the previous movement. It's normal, it's the crypto market. Yes, we went to 80% here, it's basic. I'll stop here for today. I hope you enjoyed it. If so, don't hesitate to bombard the blue thumbs, subscribe, leave a little comment. Thank you very much to those who play along. Once again, I remind you of all the links in the description box for lots of free content. Don't hesitate.